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Loosey

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Everything posted by Loosey

  1. Loosey
    I think you keep all 4-5 outfield prospects through next year. Worst case scenario is one of more of them fails and their value plummets to a point where you can't get anything for them. Best case scenario is all of them turn into starter caliber OF's and their value increases and the Twins can then trade the worst good outfielder for help. At this point I don't think they will get the help you need elsewhere for either Rosario, Hicks or Kepler. Buxton is the only one who would get you a good haul, but he isn't going anywhere. My thoughts are wait until next offseason.
  2. Loosey
    Looking back on Bill Smith's tenure he did do a lot of good things for the club. His problem seemed to be as soon as he would make a great move, he would go out and make a mind boggling move that negated the first move. Terry Ryan does neither. He just stays the path and never deviates, occasionally adding a piece here or there he sees as undervalued.
  3. Loosey
    I think the safest use of him will be to never let him pitch again because he might get hurt. I mean why gamble on him getting him hurt when we can be assured his arm will stay healthy if he never throws another pitch. *Sarcasm*
  4. Loosey
    If they are worried about his arm, isn't it a gamble to have him pitch in his next start? Every time he pitches it's a gamble. I would rather use those "Chips" I'm gambling with in big leagues rather than AAA.
  5. Loosey
    Terry Ryan treats young pitching prospects like the guy who gets a first row parking spot and then never drives and gets rides from other people because he doesn't want to lose his first row parking spot. The Twins have a possible future all-star pitcher in the organization but don't want to use because (pick your reason). I remember back when the Twins were one legit bat away from going from a good team to a great team and had a chance to get Alfonso Soriano in his prime for Matt Garza when he was the #1 pitching prospect on the team. Ryan said, "nope" and didn't want to give up a prospect for an immediate gain and shot at actually making noise in the playoffs. The Twins didn't advance past the 1st round. Fast forward a few years later Garza is dealt for Delmon Young and the Twins never get what they had hoped out of Garza in a Twins uniform in actual performance or in trade returns. I think Berrios is a better prospect than Garza, but it is the same treatment of pitcher with Ryan. There is no guarantee the Twins will make the playoffs this year or any year after this year. I wouldn't agree with trading Berrios, but using him to improve the team by actually rostering him would help the team this year. Look at the National's, they were going to win the WS every year so they shut down Strausberg in the playoffs a few years ago. How many WS have they won?
  6. Loosey
    This means that Terry Ryan never once thought about bring him up due to his age. Which is a horrible reason, I don't know how age has a correlation to skills in this instance. Terry Ryan has shown that he and the Twins organization are fine with "just being competitive" like they were in the first 10 years of the 2000's. Why make a move that could make the team even better when they are "doing fine" right now. I would like to see him fired, but this season's success has bought him another 5 years especially since the team most likely will be even better the next few season. So I don't think we can expect any changes coming anytime soon.
  7. Loosey
    If he is 80% of what he is during this current stretch, I would like him to be the starter for the next few years. Maybe he "figured' it out. His approach seems completely difference. Look at the walks to strikeout ratio.
  8. Loosey
    I'd be fine if the brought him back as an "Outfield Consultant". Basically do the same thing he does now except never play in a game.
  9. Loosey
    Probably a dumb question. But is there a metric that is essentially BABIP but includes HR's? It seems like HR hitters BABIP could be skewed due to having more than an average amount of their hits go over the fence. So a normal good hitter has a higher BABIP because a high percentage of hard lines drives go in the gap for doubles, while a HR hitter has a high percentage of his hard line drives go over the fence no being included in the BABIP.
  10. Loosey
    When every time you put the ball in play it is hit hard you are likely to have a higher BABIP than if you were a normal human being. I assume as he strikes out less he will hit a few balls that result in weaker contact and will reduce his BABIP and Line drive rate. But if that happens with less strikeouts he could conceivably still maintain a respectable batting average, OBP and Slugging percentage. So basically by simply putting more balls in play his BABIP will like regress more towards the mean. That being said I doubt he will have an average BABIP the way he hits. I wouldn't be surprised if he consistently has a BABIP in the .350+ range. Either way it won't matter much if you hit it over the fence (or into the catwalk) every time you aren't going to get out much.
  11. Loosey
    Being that my parents live in Florida, I have seen how people there live in the summer. It is like 110% humidity during the day and hot. Finally in the evening it is bearable to go outside. So what better place to go after being stuck inside all day than to go watch a baseball game in a drab circus tent. If they had a retractable roof (I hate them, but you sort of need one in Florida) and a better location I would guess they would have a decent fanbase during winning seasons. As it stands now no one wants to spend a nice Florida evening in a stale dingy place that is hard to get to.
  12. Loosey
    Thanks a lot Parker, Now I have Tik Tok in my head. But I should have known there was a Ke$ha reference on the horizon today since I woke up this morning feeling like P-Diddy.
  13. Loosey
    That would be a great idea, In my opinion and makes sense. Start the game with Pelfrey for 2 innings (he lately seems like a 4 IP max guy and doesn't usually get hit until then lately), Then give Berrios his shot in inning 3-4 . Then Milone in 5-6. Then Jepsen, May, Perkins.
  14. Loosey
    As stale as the Twins have been the last 4 years they really have an exciting future core coming up. If If most of these guys reach their potential we could be in for a fun next 5-10 years. Buxton, Hicks, Rosario, Kepler, Sano, May, Berrios, Duffey. I can't remember having young excitement like this before. Even in the early 2000's, those guys were good, but there was nowhere near the level of expectations this group has.
  15. Loosey
    I've been very critical of Mauer this year. However, his defense is not the part of his game I would be critical of. Is he gold glove caliber? No. But I think he is very solid there. One other thing I thought might be of note to point out (It is only one data point actually) but before Mauer got "concussed up" in 2013 he was a .320ish career hitter with an .880 OPS. Compare that to Justin Morneau. Before his concussion he was a .290-.300ish hitter with an .880 OPS. He played 2 and half seasons after that concussion where he struggled, both with power and hitting for average. However in his 3rd full season back he ended up winning the NL batting title. I know they are both completely different people, but I believe that something happened with Joe's timing/hand eye coordination after his concussion. And I hope that 2 plus season removed from it, like Morneau, will bring back that timing and coordination. It could be a stretch to believe that and that it could improve, but Morneau improved, maybe so can Mauer.
  16. Loosey
    I think it is in part because many baseball announcers have been around the game a long time and are in the group of people who don't think advanced metrics are important. They are they guys who will argue that BABIP doesn't matter if a batting average is high. Take Dick and Bert, they seemed thoroughly confused as to why 2015 Danny Santana was a shell of 2014 Danny Santana. If they took at look some of those BABIP it would explain a lot.
  17. Loosey
    Terry Ryan retires from GM but keeps a consultant role within the organization and they hire someone from within. But really, one nightmare for me is they declare May is a full-time member of the bullpen and no longer a starter. Even though he has been great in the role. Due to this they do not address bullpen other than the obligatory 34 year old veteran they sign for 2 years and $4 mil.
  18. Loosey
    And just think how happy we would all be if those 2 games in NY didn't end up the way they did. The Twins easily could have taken 2 of 3 from NYY but whatever witchcraft the Yankees have on the Twins came into effect that series. If they even win one of those games they would be 5-2 on this road trip and a half game out of WC. But even give the fact we are talking about the playoffs and saying things lilke "if we had just won that one game" on August 24th is exciting after the previous 4 years.
  19. Loosey
    It would be nice for the Twins to have an unheralded prospect come in and exceed expectations by a wide margin (Dozier is one, Johan Santana is another). I know there have been players who have come in and contributed but it would be nice to get another All-Star level guy develop above where their "ceiling".
  20. Loosey
    I am not even talking about making big moves at the Trade Deadline. The bullpen has been a house of cards all year long and he had to known that. There were many internal options he could have made as well as picking up more than a Jepsen at the trade deadline while giving up nothing of substance. The whole Trevor May starts one game, instead of bringing up Berrios and then handcuffing the the bullpen for a 4-5 days struck me as "not having a plan". What did he think was going to happen? He had better options to do better and chose not to.
  21. Loosey
    How about, I don't agree or like whatever his plan is. And if he has a good one in my opinion his execution has been sub-par.
  22. Loosey
    I like the pieces in the lineup. I just don't see the Twins having a rookie bat 3rd. Even if he is deserving. And why are we even speculating that someone other that Joe Mauer is going to bat 3rd. Even though he shouldn't, you damn well know exactly where he will be in the lineup. I honestly think Sano would be a great 3 hitter. If he continues with his patience I think he would be great there.
  23. Loosey
    The Twins need someone with a real vision and a plan. I don't know if Terry Ryan has that. He has considered the Twins a playoff team since 2012. He never sold out in the years he could have in 2012, 13 or 14. This year when they really had a chance at the playoffs he sat on his hands and did nothing to improve the team because he doesn't have a plan.
  24. Loosey
    If the Twins wish to really compete, they need to consider any other deal that has failed as a sunk cost and not really take it into consideration when trying to extend someone of Sano's caliber. I'm positive there is a way where both the Twins and Sano can both win in a long-term deal. I don't know what the numbers would look like, but Overpaying in the early and Arb years and getting a discounted price in first year or two of Free Agency seems to satisfy A lot. Sano gets financial guarantees of somewhere in the $75-$100M range by the time he is 30 and the Twins lock him up for two years at a discount. When all said and done if correctly done Sano will make close to what he would have made by his career's end doing it this way due to having Arb Years bought out and giving discounts on FA years 1 and 2. Possibly make a little bit less, but the Twins are the ones taking the most risk in this scenario.
  25. Loosey
    But it isn't the start of the season. It's mid-August. In Mid August I'm pissed!
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