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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    This sums it up well for me. I agree with Ryan on defensive metrics. They suck. I'm very skeptical of a 100 run differential between the best and worst guys. You're talking about someone who can make 200 more outs a year just to get into that range... That said, Hunter is old and he's slowed down. He can still hit, which is definitely a plus, but I don't see him solving anything defensively.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    Put me in the category with Thrylos, Jokin, and RB. This was a good trade by the A's. yes, there's risk here. I get that, but I'd do this same trade 100 times over if the offer came in for Plouffe. The reward makes it worth accepting the risk. The reason I've largely been against trading Trevor is b/c I don't think he'd net that type of a deal. With that said, Donaldson is better player, but both are similar in terms of financial impact. With this setting the market, what could we expect for a guy like Trevor?
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    I would sign him. That said, I think the Twins would say no to that deal. Dozier will sign closer to 6/35 then he will 6/45. That deal you have there is probably the top of end of what Dozier will make right now if you go year to year, though I think your initial arb number is a bit high (expecting closer to 2-3M). I don't see the Twins doing this where they absorb the bulk of the risk.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    Is Arcia moving to LF in this deal? Me thinks Hunter will be playing in LF, not RF.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm guessing they would be asking more for Meyer or Berrios, to which I say no thanks. If they are open to acquiring some young, cheap, nearly ML ready arms like Darnel or Gilmartin, sign me up.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    Honestly, I think this is Nishi part 2. I could be wrong, but I am not losing sleep over this if they don't get him.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    I think it takes less than Kepler. LA has 5 OFs for 3 spots, 3 of which are under contract, and the best 2 are the cheap ones. Kemp can be had by anyone willing to pay has contract. I don't think that will cost Kepler, b/c I don't see a bidding war.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    Not sure I'm terribly excited about this. He may have been better than his league, but are MLB hitters worse than Korean hitters? I somehow doubt this, unless the Twins think they can shave a significant number of walks off of his totals. Anyways, I highly doubt he's going to the minors to start his career, so this is probably your 5th starter. Wonder what they plan on doing now with Milone and Pelfrey.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    Having Hunter around to teach a guys like Arcia/Buxton the finer points of defense wouldn't be a bad thing, but I'm not sure I want Hunter playing LF. If the Twins are talking Hunter on a 1 year deal, then I have to assume they are pretty sold on Rosario taking over in LF.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm not ready to hand Rosario the LF job. He did well in 100 ABs at the AFL after doing poorly in the equivalent of a full season in AA. Hicks has been better in AA FWIW, and while that isn't a predictor of future performance, giving him the job out of ST is a recipe for disaster. If they are convinced that he's the LF of the future, fine, go get a 1 year stop gap and let Rosario develop in AA/AAA. He can get a cup of coffee for an occasional DL stint, but I don't want to be counting on him next season. As for me, I think he has more value as a CF or a 2B. I'd probably pursue Kemp and let Rosario force me into trading from strength to address a weakness. Maybe I'm wrong, but I tend to think that a LF return on a Rosario trade (if he played 2B or CF) would be better than the LF that Rosario would be.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, I think they are closer than people realize. They really need to do something about LF, and if they can get a high upside pitcher, that would help too. I also think Plouffe, Arcia, and Dozier will improve.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm hoping a pitcher is the top player on the board. I'd be fine with Aiken. He's got ace potential, and if he's still there at their pick, I'd take him. Worth the risk in my opinion.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    I think I'd pass here. I'd rather get Anderson.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    In hindsight, I think it would have been better to roll the dice on his final season and offer him arb.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd trade or non-tender Swarzak. Theilbar wasn't bad in his role and I'd likely keep him around.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    The givens, Gilmartin, and Wheeler. I wouldn't be surprised if O'Rourke made it, especially considering that I think Duensing is done with the org.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    I beg to differ on the Hardy trade (the first one at least). It was the right move at the right time. It isn't like Gomez went to Milwaukee and was instantly a stud. He sucked there for a while too. The problem with the Hardy trade was the Twins' medical staff and the return on the investment when he was traded to Baltimore.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    I honestly don't see his value this season in a trade. Sure, if Seattle offered Walker, I wouldn't hesitate, but to me he has a few too many question marks to really net a nice prospect. I doubt you get a Meyeresque type prospect for him or a stud LF in the high minors, and that would be what I'd want to execute it.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    I didn't say I was unwilling to trade him. Just wondered aloud if trading Kepler was selling low. Saunders is a buy low guy, not what I'd call an average MLBer at this point. He was OK last year but also injured.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    The Dodgers have 3 OFs under long term contracts and 2 studs on cheap deals right now, and some potential studs in the pipeline. They have too many outfielders. Kemp is practically untradeable given his contract, so he can be had for next to nothing in terms of prospects. He's an above average player, but very overpaid, and he's a CF. I think in LF, he's an above average defender, or at the worst, average. Etheir is also under contract, but he's not good anymore (though he is cheaper). I don't think the Dodgers will be able to trade him, and I'd be disappointed if the Twins targeted him. I wouldn't mind getting Pederson, but the big difference here is that he WILL cost the Twins quite a bit in terms of prospects, where a guy like Kemp can bridge the gap and not cost the farm a thing (just the Pohlads). For those reasons, I think that if the Twins can afford it, I'd get Kemp. Not saying I wouldn't be OK with Tomas. My concern with Tomas though is that he's going to cost close to the same (though he'll come with a couple more years) and his defense is questionable. Like others said, he's a prospect. Not a bad get, and he could be an anchor for quite some time, but there's more risk here for what will likely be the same price.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    I think Eddie's chance of making the team in 2015 spring is less than 10%. I do think we will likely see him in MN at some point next year if he can build off of his AFL success.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I won't complain if they do it, but I think I'd rather have Kemp in left who can play above average defense with his production. Granted Tomas will cost 100M for a few more years than Kemp, but there's more certainty with Kemp as well. Either way, I won't complain.... As for Rosario, I don't think he's a slugger in the mold of Tomas, and given that he's yet to do well in a full season of AA, I'm not ready to hand him the LF job. Hicks outperformed Rosario in AA for what it's worth. Rosario strikes me as a guy who can be a very good MLB player (10-20 HRs with a bunch of doubles and a decent average while playing above average defense), but I'd much rather Rosario be doing that as a 2B or a CF which means he's likely traded. I'd personally leave him out of the discussion for the time being.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    I have no problems with these types of candidates. They have some experience internally, but quite a bit externally and enough to know (and hopefully the skillset to say) when things don't make sense.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd rather they get Rasmus for CF, find an LF, and use Jordan as a 4th OF. If his 'breakout' is for real, he'll still get plenty of PT.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    He has quite the resume with other teams. I don't mind this promotion at all. He hasn't been on the 1 Twins Way line of thought his whole life. I think this is good.
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