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diehardtwinsfan

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Everything posted by diehardtwinsfan

  1. diehardtwinsfan
    I think you trade him when Sano forces it, not until them. If Sano rakes in AA next year (and possibly AAA), then Plouffe becomes and offseason trade candidate or the default LF if that is still a problem. I'm not sure I'd want him in the OF as I think I'd rather keep him at 3B.
  2. diehardtwinsfan
    I'm with Seth here. If Buxton dominated AA/A+ like he did last year in A/A+, I might be up for this experiment. But he wasn't that good in Fort Meyers and he didn't finish one game in AA. He needs to not only earn it, but simply show he's healthy. I don't want another Hicks situation, and I especially don't want to see valuable service time eaten up b/c a kid was promoted and wasn't ready. I'd say the same for Sano, though I could see starting him in Rochester to open the season and giving him a call up sooner than later. Moving both of these guys up looks more like desparation than anything. Regardless of which, it won't be hard to find a CF on a 1 year deal. What the Twins really need to do is figure out LF.
  3. diehardtwinsfan
    The problem isn't with the Twins though. Meyer is a top 100 prospect which means that there are a lot of people wrong about him. May was a bit of a different scenario in that he was more of a reclamation project. I agree with the other posters here. Regardless of the results, I make those trades 10 out of 10 times. Both guys came into this system and have developed quite nicely I might add, so much so that a guy that people had written off just 2 years ago (May) is now looked at as someone who can be in a major league rotation, and despite his control issues (Meyer), he's still looked at as a potential top ceiling guy or shut down reliever. Scouting is an inexact science. Expecting perfection where there is often failure is just unrealistic.
  4. diehardtwinsfan
    I think we will be thrilled if he hits .320 with 30+ HRs in AA. I'm not holding my breath on that. I'll be thrilled if he can maintain his A+ BA and keep the power. This is going to be a very big jump for ABW.
  5. diehardtwinsfan
    This is a problem though that starts in elementry school, and honestly, I think it's more than just culture, there's a wiring component (and in my opinion there's different wiring for each gender that contributes to it). My 8 year old daughter really really really wants to be a cheer leader. I don't think that's her culture telling her to aspire to it as for the most part, we've shielded her from that. There's something about it that appeals to her at a very very very basic level. To answer the other question, it's a mixed bag. There are plenty of professions where looking good is part of the job description... or at least, it really helps. Most sales roles fall into that category, and it doesn't matter if you are male or female. The better you look, the better you will sell. That's just how it is. It helps in journalism too, though in my observation, both sexes (at least for TV reporters) tend to be appealing to members of the opposite sex. While looking good is a part of it, there's personality, coming across as intelligent, and dressing professionally that comes into play too. That said, at the end of the day, it's about the ratings... and quite honestly, the FSN girls get better ratings. As such, it will continue to happen until it no longer gets that result, and I'll be honest in saying that I don't think that will ever change.
  6. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't remember comps, but potential middle of the order bat was something that was listed as a ceiling. That said, he was never considered a cant miss type though for what it is worth, so needing time to adjust to the majors is certainly reasonable.
  7. diehardtwinsfan
    The issue with these trades always comes down to risk vs. reward. You are right in that there's no way we should trade 3 years of a CF for an RP, even a lights out one. That's why no one liked the Span for Storen ideas that were percolating during the Bill Smith era. However, that's not what has happened here. Ryan traded the CF for a pitcher with 1 upside and a decent shot at making it and with a floor of RP. If Meyer doesn't pan out and becomes the RP, it sucks for the Twins. That doesn't mean the trade was the wrong idea. That's where the risk comes into play. There is no such thing as a pitching prospect (as prospectors like to say), and with pitching prospects, the amount of risk an organization takes on is even higher as they are far more likely to get hurt or not develop as planned. This is why a finding a #1 guy in AA or AAA is impossible. Teams won't trade them. This makes it even more difficult for a team like teh Twins who at the time desparately needed pitching. In the end, it was the right move. Time will tell if it works out, but I'd do that trade 10 times out of 10.
  8. diehardtwinsfan
    You can see a nice progression in his OPS the second half of the year with a > .700 OPS in July and a > .800 OPS in Aug/Sept. I'd say something changed. Hopefully it carries over.
  9. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't see why both cannot be on the ML staff next year. For the Saber reason alone, I'd probably prefer Molly, but something tells me that Dougie could bring some advantage to the clubhouse as well, particularly in motivating and relating to younger guys as well as helping out on teaching defense.
  10. diehardtwinsfan
    I remember this story, though I thought it was some guy named Johan Santana that Dougie was asking about.
  11. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd like either one of those. I do hope they both end up on the ML staff and I also hope they bring in a couple of guys from other teams.
  12. diehardtwinsfan
    I don't think May is really eligible anymore... at least in my opinion. He's going to be off most of the lists this offseason. Rogers is way too high. His development is encouraging, but he won't amount to much more than a back rotation guy if he cannot miss more bats.
  13. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd like to jump on this a sec. I understand the desire of some (even if I don't agree) to keep payrol at 52%. That said, I think I can safely say that we have no idea if that payroll number is at 35%. This, to me at least, hilights a lot of my frustrations with this debate. What we do know is that revenues have dropped due to lower attendance and that the Twins now get a comp pick which could be b/c of this or simply a change in their revenue percentage in relation to the league, or both. I think it's a very dangerous precendent for us to determine what exactly that number should be when we only have educated guesses as to what the revenue actually is.
  14. diehardtwinsfan
    yeah, I think trading Plouffe will be an issue next season as long as Sano comes back healthy and hitting. Until then, I'd keep Plouffe at 3rd for another year. I also think that if he builds off of this season, he's going to be worth quite a bit more this offseason.
  15. diehardtwinsfan
    I know everyone is just waiting with baited breath for you to announce my name On a more realistic note, I if you could get TR, that would be nice. I always enjoy listening/reading him.
  16. diehardtwinsfan
    You left off the Pirates (27) and the As (25). Without those two, the average payroll of the playoff teams relative to the league is between 9 and 10. With those two, it's closer to 13. That's not a strong correlation.
  17. diehardtwinsfan
    I guess I cannot really argue with that. At least with them, you get a few good years out of them. But yeah, the Angels are already regretting the Pujols contract, and he's going to play into his 40s.
  18. diehardtwinsfan
    well, I think the defense issue can be solved by a real CF and a good LF option. The Twins defense goes from horribly bad to pretty close to average as Arcia is really the only gaping defensive hole at that point. That's probably why I want Kemp so much. He can provide better than average offense and better than average defense in left. The CF can provide average to below offense with good defense. Hicks can get the call when he earns it. As for the rotation, yes, they allowed too many runners... Problem is that the defense was a large part of that. That's what FIP is telling us at least... and the eye test concurs.
  19. diehardtwinsfan
    I have a sneaking suspicion that the guy who wanted Kubel, Bartlet, and Guerrier wasn't the GM... call me crazy, and you might be right.
  20. diehardtwinsfan
    He could be had for a song. Teams won't give up prospects for the right to pay a guy 100M to play a position at a 50M rate. I don't think the Twins would need to give up Plouffe. They'd likely need to trade a C/C+ low minors type guy with some decent upside.
  21. diehardtwinsfan
    I think this right here is the rub for me. Higher payroll doesn't cause more wins. The Twins went out and spent 48M on Nolasco, 24M on Hughes, and 12M on Pelfrey. The first two were pretty much universally lauded on these boards. Which one was better? They also already had money tied up in KC and Hammer that they weren't just going to burn. They got rid of KC and Hammer, and the team improved. They spent big money on Morales, and that got them nothing. They got rid of him and called up Vargas, and the team improved. It's easy to look back an the FA market in hindsight and say 'you should have signed player X', but the reality is that with the exception of the top tier FAs, most of the others carry with them a pretty significant chunk of risk tied to that cash.
  22. diehardtwinsfan
    I think payroll is a big picture item. I also think it's a context specific item. There's a time to bump it up, and there's a time where it makes little sense. The danger as I see it is that when it becomes a mandate, you see real large contracts given to guys who have no business getting them. I'd add that some here seem to be arguing for said mandate, even though Pohlad was clear that this was a guideline. I'm all for spending where it makes sense, but given the FAs out there this season, the only one I'd probably spend big cash on is Scherzer, and I suspect I'd balk long before he gets the deal he ends up signing. When the team starts spending to a mandate, they end up with a lot of contracts that they cannot easily shed, and likely at a time when the kids have established themselves. I think I've made my recommendation clear in other threads, I'd probably go out and get Kemp, who can be had for his salary and nothing in prospects. He's overpaid, but a pretty decent bet to maintain above average production in LF for the remainder of his deal. This won't put the team anywhere near the 52%. Heck, it won't even push them above 90M. Seems like there's plenty of middle ground here.
  23. diehardtwinsfan
    That's just it. It isn't just Sano. It's Sano, Meyer, Rosario, Walker, Wheeler, Kepler, and Harrison. All of them (except maybe Wheeler) look to be average to above pieces... several of whom could be stars. Adding Stanton and Latos might turn a 70 win team to an 80 win team, but I can say with certainty that some of thoe prospects will pan out and add far more wins over the life of their careers. This has Garza for Young written all over it... I'd be up for trading prospects when there's one or two gaping holes needing to be filled, but no way in this stage of the Twins development would I think it's a good idea to give up that type of talent for that short of a rental.
  24. diehardtwinsfan
    Exactly, this was a salary dump more than anything else. If you want that, go get Kemp. You can get good production simply for taking on his salary. There's no way I'd part ways with Sano for a couple years of Stanton.
  25. diehardtwinsfan
    I'd say unequivobally no. These two guys won't turn around this franchize. The guys you are moving most likely will.
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