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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    I think your assumption on how baseball players lift is incorrect. Even when I was in college in the early 2000s we were being trained to not lift to add bulk but to focus on range of motion strength. You think MLB teams aren't aware of this?
  2. chpettit19
    How do you explain the NFL? Or the NBA?
  3. chpettit19
    That's the interesting thing about that survey, to me. I voted "optimistic" on it, but it was before the Ishbia news broke (if I remember correctly). I voted the way I did because I am (was) optimistic we'll get new ownership and that's just an exciting thing for me. The survey is really just a look at the overall "vibe" around an organization as the definition of "optimistic" is really up to each individual voter. The real shocker of that survey is .3% of Dodger fans not being optimistic. How spoiled can you be?!
  4. chpettit19
    Sure, there's difficulty in managing a roster with injury prone players. But there's even more difficulty in managing a roster with less talent. No, they have Bader precisely because they can't develop their own average at best, all glove, no bat players for league minimum. Even if Buxton played 150 games a year this front office would bring in right-handed veteran outfielders. Kyle Garlick and Jordan Luplow weren't here because of Byron Buxton. Harrison Bader is going to start a whole bunch of games WITH Byron Buxton in the outfield. Stars that stay healthy are obviously better than stars that get hurt. But stars that get hurt are better than average players that stay healthy. And stars that get hurt that only make 15 mil a year are better than average players that also get hurt and make 6 mil a year. The Twins are better with Byron Buxton and Royce Lewis. The fact that it's even a discussion is mind blowing to me. The Twins have literally 0 chance of replacing their combined talent for $17 million. No chance at all. Any difficulty they bring in managing the roster because of their injuries is less than the difficulties in not having them. Emma and Jenkins are hopefully stars that will play WITH Buxton while he's healthy and without him while he's hurt.
  5. chpettit19
    Easy to say they're doing their jobs poorly and they should get rid of these guys but not so easy to come up with a better answer on what they should be doing, huh? 3B: .254/.320/.410/.730 wRC+ 108- tied for 10th best in baseball SS: .283/.350/.459/.809 wRC+ 129- 4th best in baseball CF: .263/.321/.465/.786 wRC+ 122- 3rd best in baseball
  6. chpettit19
    Let me know when you come up with a plan for a championship team that doesn't include stars for the Twins or any team.
  7. chpettit19
    That wasn't your point. You've stated numerous times that Miranda hurt himself because he didn't have the arm to play 3B and he was trying too hard to improve his arm to play 3B in the majors. He hurt his shoulder in 2023 because of that and then his back last year because of his shoulder. That's always been your argument. Until now. His arm is fine and was fine. As displayed by the fact that he threw as hard as Lee and harder than Bregman last year. You think the Twins don't have Drs and trainers who know where Miranda is at in his recovery but you do all the way from Brazil? Again, you're just making stuff up by saying "underlying conditions." The Twins give Miranda physicals. They take scans. They put him through drills. They know where he is from a health and recovery standpoint. 1B isn't some magic position that is going to save Miranda. It wasn't some magic position that was going to save Kirilloff. The guy retired at the age of 27 because of injuries. That wasn't because he had to play OF. He had to have his wrist bone surgically shortened for goodness sake. He has a back condition that had nothing to do with playing the outfield. He hurt his shoulder diving for a ball at 1B. The idea isn't at all the same between Keaschall and Miranda. Keaschall isn't playing the field at all. Miranda is. And your argument for Miranda isn't that he shouldn't play 3B this year. Or that he shouldn't have played last year. It's that he should never have been playing it. You're trying to move the goalpost now because you're realizing you've been proven completely wrong. Keaschall isn't healed yet. Miranda was healed. Your argument has always been that Miranda never should've been playing 3B to begin with. Your argument has always been that he hurt his shoulder in the first place because he tried too hard to strengthen an arm that wasn't strong enough to play the position. Not that he was injured and should've been given more time to recover. The Keaschall comp doesn't work at all. Miranda went from completely healthy to hurt while playing a position he'd played the majority of his minor league career. Not at all the same thing. And not at all about his arm not being strong enough. Your argument about Miranda and third base has been wrong from the beginning.
  8. chpettit19
    No, you miss the point. I provided you the numbers for their arms. Alex Bregman has a weaker arm than Jose Miranda. Brooks Lee has virtually the exact same arm strength as Jose Miranda. But you don't care because you've decided you're smarter than the numbers. You're smarter than radars and computers so you know that Miranda was hurt despite the fact that his arm is clearly strong enough to make that throw. Just saying "underlying condition" doesn't make the facts go away. Jose Miranda played over two thousand innings at third base in the minors without getting hurt. TWO THOUSAND. He had 438 assists. That means he made that throw 438 times in games alone. So not even counting practices where he likely made that throw well over 1000 times. He had another 284 innings and 66 assists at shortstop in the minors. 1173 innings and 200 assists from 3B in the majors. At all levels, over 9 seasons, Jose Miranda has played 3416.2 innings and made 662 assists from third base. In practices he's made the throw from third thousands of times. Just saying "underlying conditions" like it explains all that away is meaningless and doesn't outweigh facts. He didn't wait until he made the majors and then suddenly decide he needed to work harder and strengthen his arm for 3B where he'd spent the vast majority of his minor league career. You love to say "it's common sense" until common sense disagrees with you. It doesn't make any sense at all that he'd spend most of his minor league career playing 3B then make the majors as a 3B and then suddenly go crazy trying to strengthen his arm that is already strong enough to play the position. If Miranda's arm is "overtaxed at 3B" but it's the same strength as Lee's then why aren't you worried about Lee? Where is the "common sense" in that? If it's stronger than Bregman's why isn't Bregman hurting himself making that throw? Simple answer: it isn't overtaxed and his injuries aren't from playing there they just happened.
  9. chpettit19
    For sure. He, unfortunately, has his own injury concerns, but Emma, Jenkins, Keaschal are possible answers. I think many of us agree that development is the answer to almost every question. You can pay Correa 30+, Pablo 20+, Buxton 15+, and all the other guys their arb numbers if you're developing behind them. It's not easy and you're not going to hit on anywhere close to 100%, but you have to be able to hit at a better rate than they have.
  10. chpettit19
    I wish they'd stay healthy. I definitely get the frustration. I get frustrated, too. But they're better than anything we'd replace them with. And they aren't expensive. Lewis especially. But even Buxton. Correa is. But last year was the only time here he didn't play at least 135 games. Every team deals with injuries every year. Every single one. The Twins aren't special. Yes, Buxton and Lewis are hurt way more than usual, but that doesn't mean the Twins deal with more injuries and need more "starter level backups" than everybody else. It's actually a bonus knowing where you're going to need your injury fill-ins. Every team wants starter level replacements for their starters who get injured. The injuries to other teams don't all happen to bench guys. But they don't all know it'll be at 3B and CF. Theirs may be LF or SS or 2B or 1B or C or RF. The Twins have had incredible SP and C health the last couple years but people want to focus on the injuries even though the Twins are league average overall. The Twins failing to develop a useable CF option for league minimum is the problem. Having to go out and get MAT, Margot, or Bader types is the problem. You should be able to develop a guy who can play OF defense and OPS+ 70-90 to backup Buck for 750K instead of 4-7 mil. Keirsey may be that guy now, but his injuries held him up too long. If they have a glove only guy like MAT or Bader from the system all these years its not such a big deal to work to have Buxton healthy by the time the playoffs roll around and have him for that time of year.
  11. chpettit19
    There's no magical position where guys don't get hurt. Guys get hurt at every position. Freddie Freeman is a star and plays first base and was hurt all playoffs last year anyways because you can get hurt playing any position(he's also not playing today because he's hurt). Third base is not a physically demanding position. Ronald Acuna Jr gets hurt playing in right field, not center field. Royce has been hurt running the bases 2 years in a row. Fernando Tatis Jr has been injured swinging his bat. Your suggestion isn't an answer to anything. Yes, "occasional star-quality performances" are enough to win a championship. It's exactly what the postseason is. A one month stretch where you need to get hot and get star-quality performances to win a championship. You don't need Buxton and Lewis to be stars for 6 months of the regular season, you need to get in the playoffs and have them be stars for a month. Go ask the Dodgers and their fans. Remember that Corey Seager fella I mentioned that you deleted out because he "had nothing to do with the point you're making of the Twins paying part-time players full-time salaries?" Well, he's making a "full-time salary" (32.5 mil/year) and was a "part-time player" in 2023, but was there for the postseason and helped Texas win a World Series. Hey, if you think the Twins can replace what Lewis and Buxton do for $17 million, more power to you. I think you'd be hard pressed, but at least you wouldn't have to worry about a star getting hurt. Because you wouldn't have them.
  12. chpettit19
    So is everyone else in the league. Welcome to pro sports. And, again, ROYCE LEWIS MAKES 1.625 MILLION. That is not "full-time salary" no matter how many times you want to say it. And Buxton's 15 mil is not "full-time salary" either. A player of his talent level being paid a "full-time salary" gets paid over 30 mil. He's getting paid a "part-time salary." Sorry to break it to you.
  13. chpettit19
    Fine. Cut them. Trade them. Now you have $17 million and only need one starting 3B and CF. Find even remotely as much talent as Buxton and Lewis for $17 million to build your team with. Good luck with that. Not a lot of starting level guys out there for 8.5 mil. Harrison Bader doing it for you? It sucks they can't stay healthy. But you need stars if you want to win at a high level. They're stars. You need them. So you need to develop talent behind them to get you through the times they're down and hope they're healthy for the postseason and you can go on a run. Or you can get rid of them and give up all hope.
  14. chpettit19
    I won't add Correa to the list because he doesn't belong there. He played 136 games his first year here and 135 his 2nd, That's the point. You delete the entire part where I list numerous other players playing less and making more because you have a narrative you want to sell. I'm not buying. Buxton and Lewis are contributing commensurate to their salaries. They're outperforming their salaries. Lewis makes less than 2 million this year. He'll outproduce that salary in a month. He isn't getting "full-time money." Correa missing half of one year doesn't suddenly make him a "part-time player." Until you can name anybody even close to their talent level to replace them then your strategy is just as much "hope" as keeping them around. Putting less talented guys out there for more games and "hoping" they are suddenly better players isn't a strategy either. So, back to my original question to you. What's the other plan? For any or all three of the guys you think aren't meeting their pay. Trade them? Cut them? Bench them? Move Buxton to a corner, Lewis to 1B and Correa to 3B (hint: there's no magic position on a baseball field where guys don't get hurt)? You're the one who thinks there needs to be changes. What changes should there be that isn't just a strategy of hope? How are you going to replace the 3 most talented players on the team or keep them on the field more without hope being your strategy?
  15. chpettit19
    He makes 1.625 million, so, yeah, keep him on the roster and pay him while he's on the IL. Every team has injuries. I don't know why fans act like it's just the the Twins. Buxton and Lewis are extreme, that's it. Ronald Acuna Jr has had 2 ACL tears, another season with an ACL sprain, multiple with back injuries, multiple with groin injuries, and has only played 119 games three times in 7 years (less than half the time for those counting). He's on a $100,000,000 deal. Should the Braves trade him? Cut him? Last year they lost Spencer Strider, Acuna (to his 2nd ACL tear), Austin Riley, Sean Murphy, Ozzie Albies (only played 4 full seasons in 8 years), and Michael Harris II. Should they trade any of those guys or "stock the roster with fragile, part-time players at full-time prices?" But then they actually got over 103 innings out of Chris Sale for the first time since 2019 as he wont the Cy Young for them. "Fragile, part-time player at full-time price" paid off pretty well there. In 10 major league seasons Corey Seager has played over 120 games 5 times. Helped Texas win a World Series, though. Oh, and the Dodgers. And he's on a $325,000,000 deal. Some fella named Trout has played 100 games once since 2019, 140 once since 2017. And he's making $426,500,000. Stephen Strasburg helped the Nats win a World Series and had a $245,000,000 deal while making 30 starts 3 times in 13 seasons, and just 8 starts after 2019. And those are just the guys I can think of off the top of my head. The Twins aren't special. This is just the world of professional sports. It sucks. Buxton and Lewis are most certainly extremes, but they're not the only ones. Go ask a Reds fan about Ken Griffey Jr. Shoot, even Red Sox fans got pretty fed up with Pedroia, and he was a hero around there. You need stars to win. Buxton and Lewis are stars. It sucks they can't seem to stay healthy. But neither of them are expensive in the grand scheme of baseball salaries, and moving them without stars to replace them wouldn't make the team better.
  16. chpettit19
    Do what? Trade him for pennies on the dollar and put in the less talented players you're already putting in there? Just cut him and play the less talented players you're already playing? They're having him train as best they know how. They have world class doctors and trainers coming up with his training plans. What exactly should they be doing? What better option do they have? Nobody is going to give them some killer package for him. When he's healthy they put him out there because he's amongst the most talent baseball players on the planet. When he's hurt they play somebody else. What else can they do?
  17. chpettit19
    Bobby Witt Jr is in the in the discussion for the best non-Shohei player in baseball. Their rotation should be solid. But I think they take a step back. They lead the AL in BA w/RISP last year. I don't think they're going to hit .282 w/RISP again. I don't think they're going to pitch quite as well. I think they'll be in the upper 70s or lower 80s for wins.
  18. chpettit19
    It's not complicated. Get your best hitters to the plate the most. Figure out who your 4 or 5 best hitters are and put them in the top 4 or 5 spots. Save the platooning/pinch hitting guys for the 5 or 6 through 9 holes. Outside of 2023, the team has been horrible at pinch hitting. Pinch hitters as a whole pay a price compared to their normal batting line. Stop putting platoon bats at the top of the lineup only to pinch hit for them later. Put your 4 or 5 best hitters at the top of the lineup and leave them there all game, every game. Not because major league hitters get confused by hitting in a different spot in the lineup but because creating lineups is simple. Get your best hitters to the plate as often as possible.
  19. chpettit19
    Wait until you hear about pitchers hurting their arms throwing baseballs...
  20. chpettit19
    This looks right to me. Only real battle left is Martin vs Julien probably. And that comes down to where they are comfortable playing everyone and whether or not they'd prefer to get a specific guy everyday ABs in St Paul.
  21. chpettit19
    People think the Twins need a new training staff because they clearly don't know what they're doing? Imagine having Spencer Strider, Ronald Acuna Jr, Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Michael Harris II, and Sean Murphy all get hurt on your watch last year. Welcome to pro sports, folks. Injuries happen. It sucks that Buxton and Lewis have them happen so frequently, and Correa has had the foot issue in back to back years, but the Twins aren't special. They aren't some crazy outliers. The Dodgers lost roughly 84 rotation members last year (slight exaggeration). The Rangers had a ton of injuries. There are injuries all over the league every year. It happens to every team.
  22. chpettit19
    One of these players was handed the 3B job going into 2023 and then hurt his shoulder. You've spent 2 years blaming playing him at 3B for that arm injury and then his back injury last year. You call for Rocco's head for making this decision and setting that player up for failure because he just doesn't have the arm for 3B and there was no way he wouldn't get hurt doing it even though he'd played there 2145 innings in the minors. The other 2 players are Royce Lewis and Brooks Lee. Player 1: Max MPH throw: 83.2, Overall 81.2 Player 2: Max MPH throw: 85.5, Overall 83.7 Player 3: Max MPH throw: 83.1, Overall 81.5 All of those arms are below average. Spoiler alert, Royce is the middle one and he's now hurt. Pick out Lee vs Miranda. Player 1 or 3. Who should start at 3B and who is having his career threatened by playing him there because his arm isn't strong enough? Bonus Player 4 not on Twins who just signed a $40 million/year free agent deal as the defending AL Gold Glove winning 3B: Max MPH throw: 82.5, Overall 80.7 Bonus question: Should Boston move Bregman to 1B to save his career because he just couldn't possibly play 3B with that arm while leaving Devers at 3B since his arm has a max throw of 87.9 with an overall average of 84.7? Or can we just put your arm strength argument that isn't based on anything real to bed?
  23. chpettit19
    Spoiler alert...according to this article by Anthony Castrovince, they are not. Looking at the staffs on this list, I'd put the Twins in the top 10. Somewhere in the 6-10 range probably. What do others think? Would you put the Twins in the top 10? What do you think of this ranking in general?
  24. chpettit19
    That's a much better explanation of what my point is.
  25. chpettit19
    Based on the last few days worth of lineups, it looks like Miranda may be losing PAs to Bader as well as they've been putting Bader in the OF with Wallner DHing over Miranda in a lineup with all the other guys who are expected to be everyday guys.
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