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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    Competitive September games, baby!
  2. chpettit19
    Keaschall has actually played 1B. I'd go with him way before I'd move a legitimate CFer all the way down the defensive spectrum.
  3. chpettit19
    Not confused at all about Emma not being called up. They aren't going to call him up and put him on the bench like they did with Gabby. And they aren't ready to sit Larnach or Bell enough to give Jenkins and Emma all the ABs. Even if that should be the move at this point. As for his time in MN being done, I don't think so. His trade value is not likely to be very high. I'm positive the Twins would get numerous buy low offers from rebuilding teams looking to grab a top 100 prospect for almost nothing. The Twins aren't DFAing him as those same teams would be ecstatic to grab him for actually nothing, and give him a season to see if he looks like an MLBer. Their only play with him is to put him on the opening day roster and give him a month of everyday ABs and see how he looks.
  4. chpettit19
    Their range and athleticism are pretty similar, but Houston's hands are noticeably better. That is a real factor, too. Being able to get to the same number of balls is 1 thing, the other is catching them. I believe Houston would catch a higher number of the balls he reaches. And he isn't Keaschall throwing the ball. If Houston hits enough to be an MLBer, he's the SS and Culpepper is the 2B. Houston isn't considered "the best defensive prospect in the system" despite his arm. His arm is part of that. He can let it rip pretty well himself. Sorry, I'm not putting the "elite defender at the major-league level" at 2B because the other guy has maybe a slightly better arm. And that's all it'd be, slightly better. Houston is the SS if he's a major leaguer, and I don't think it's a particularly close call.
  5. chpettit19
    See above.
  6. chpettit19
    I'm fine with that, too. Just pointing out that sending guys back to AAA, even elite prospects, is not some crazy idea that no other team does. It happens all the time. Jackson Merrill was hitting .280/.336/.360/.696 after his first month+ and 110 PAs. Chourio was worse at .206/.257/.351/.608 and struggled even more his 2nd month. Jenkins is at .125/.263/.281/.544. If he ends with a sub-.600 OPS, it's entirely reasonable to start him in AAA with Keaschall-Buxton-Emma across the outfield. Not predicting he does that, and if he gets it up to .650+, he should absolutely start the season in the majors. But his numbers are really, really bad right now. AAA should absolutely be on the table if they don't improve. He controls his own destiny there.
  7. chpettit19
    Unfortunately, Pohlad has sold the "we care about winning and are done rebuilding" message since he took over. Going with the youth movement (that should've been done this year) would be a complete 180 from what they've been preaching. Not spending would be a complete 180 from what he's been preaching. They've put themselves in a place to have to keep going down the "compete" path because they wanted their PR points.
  8. chpettit19
    Neither was Mike Trout and they sent him back to the minors when he was performing better than Jenkins is right now. Neither was Byron Buxton when he kept going back to the minors because he wasn't performing. Sending struggling players with options back to the minors isn't "treating them like a fringe prospect." It's normal roster management for MLB teams.
  9. chpettit19
    If he ends the season with a sub-.600 OPS and doesn't absolutely destroy spring training, I'd have no problem sending him to AAA to start the year. Get Emma the ABs in the majors and bring Jenkins back when he's got his groove going. Milwaukee, Cleveland, and Tampa all send guys back to the minors if they're putting up sub-.600 OPS numbers for a month plus.
  10. chpettit19
    I believe you mean Lackey, but your point is correct here. The players listed on the original comment were essentially all Falvey guys. Which is to be expected considering how long Zoll has been in charge. Would actually be quite noteworthy if he came in and turned over most of the roster and/or farm within half a season.
  11. chpettit19
    How many contract talks happen without ever being reported? I don't think "it wasn't reported so I'll assume it was never offered" is a good thought process. But to each their own. I think this team is bad at developing players worthy of extensions. And I wish they'd do more pre-debut extensions. But I don't think they're significantly better or worse than the average MLB team at extensions in general. I think people overestimate how many extensions the average team does with guys pre-debut, pre-arbitration, or pre-free agency. I think the number is much, much lower than people realize. Especially for teams playing in the sort of budget waters the Twins play in.
  12. chpettit19
    Yeah, I addressed him in another post. The FO was never going to spend 25 mil a year on his age 34 through 36 seasons while their payrolls were being slashed. He absolutely would've been a nice addition to this team for the last 3 years, but if that's the only guy people can point to, I'm not real impressed with the "FO are failures because they never extend anyone" arguments. Generally speaking, taking 25 mil a year chances on starting pitchers in their mid-30s is not a good investment. Even if that one would've been nice to have next to Ryan, Lopez, et al.
  13. chpettit19
    Fully on board. Shoot, I'd add a Pratt style extension for Houston to the list. But that is not the same as what people are talking about for Jeffers. Nobody was calling for a Jeffers extension until 2023 at the earliest. When he established himself. Edited to add: The Bradley deal actually would be more like the Jeffers situation. Nobody was calling for a Taj extension this offseason. Or at least very few would have been. But now he's established and the extension is not so easy to execute. Like not wanting Jeffers extended until he broke out. And then the player can see the massive check at the end of the rainbow. Keaschall is pretty close to this, too.
  14. chpettit19
    Taylor Rogers was traded for Emilio Pagan so that's an interesting dynamic. But, that's 4 of 7 relievers. This FO very clearly doesn't believe in paying relievers. And I'm not sure having Jax and Duran with more control really would, or even should, have changed what happened last year. Speaking of Pagan, though, when were they supposed to have extended him before he hit free agency? After his first season when nearly this entire site was calling for him to be non-tendered? He's an awful example of what we're talking about. He was here for 2 years and his first was atrocious. Joe Ryan is going to hit the market as a 31 year old starter who collapses in the 2nd half of seasons but will demand a salary as if he doesn't. The Twins got his prime. I have no problem not paying him past his prime on an extension. The Twins were never going to pay Sonny Gray when they were having their payroll slashed. I'm sorry, but I can't put that on the FO. They really weren't going to pay him 25 a year for his age 34 through 36 seasons. I don't put him in the same category as those other guys. He was a trade acquisition who worked out perfectly. Jeffers is the one who'd have been nice to get 2 or 3 extra years on for cheap(er). I don't buy any of the other 6.
  15. chpettit19
    How many guys have they had worth extending in that time period? I agree it's disappointing, that isn't my argument. My argument is that they aren't some extreme outlier who never extends players, but that they have, in fact, extended players but they've had a pretty extreme lack of extension candidates of late. Who are the big name Twins players who walked for nothing that the Twins failed to extend since 2021? But the real point I'm trying to make is that it's a ridiculous argument to say that any player who leaves the Twins without an extension is a failure by the FO as if the player doesn't have the option of saying "no." The FO can't force guys to sign deals. And they shouldn't be overpaying to keep people. They've been an extremely flawed FO, but the extension thing isn't something I believe is a good argument against them.
  16. chpettit19
    They also extended Kepler, Polanco, and Sano. How many players have the Brewers extended in the same amount of time? How many players have the Twins had that were worthy of extensions? What percentage of those players did the Twins extend? I'd absolutely love to see the Twins do Chourio or Pratt style extensions, but that's not the type of extension we're talking about, and most people around here want players to "prove it" first. How many extensions of proven MLB talent have been done in Milwaukee? Yelich and...? Beyond Milwaukee, how about Tampa, Cleveland, KC, Detroit, Pittsburgh, etc.? How many established MLB players are they extending? How far off are the miserable extension failure Twins?
  17. chpettit19
    What extension could have been done? Are there reports out there about Jeffers being open to an extension and the Twins refusing to do it? I never understand this stance that the FO screwed up by not doing an extension. The players have free will. They're allowed to say no to any extension offer. The Twins could certainly offer obvious overpays that would give them a good chance at getting the player to sign, but the reason they're called overpays is because they're paying more than they should for the player. Generally, a bad idea. It's certainly possible I missed, or have forgotten about, reports that Jeffers was begging for an extension and the Twins refused to pay him a reasonable amount. But it's not just automatically the Twins screwing up when there isn't an extension.
  18. chpettit19
    Expectations and the AL not having 6 teams above .500 consistently. That's who's to blame for the perception that there's some collapse happening. The Twins are, and have been, hitting projections pretty dead on. Mid-70s in wins. In some weird way, fans have taken them not losing 110 games and being "in contention" because of the historically horrific AL to mean that they've over-achieved somehow. They haven't. They're still a bad team. They've been below .500 nearly the entire season. Falvey, Zoll, Joe Pohlad, whoever was making decisions last year and most of the offseason is who is to blame if you want to point fingers at people. But this was the plan. Zoll and Tom Pohlad get blame for the nonsense expectations, though. The problem isn't the Twins being bad this year, again, that was the plan. The problem is that they tried to pivot from that plan 3/4 of the way through it and hurt their chances to come out the other side with a team really capable of competing. The Twins were at .500 on April 22nd. They were below .500 on April 23. That's 24 and 25 games into the season. They've been at .500 4 days since then. They've been above .500 1 day since then. They've now played 140 games. In the last 115 games, they've been at or above .500 for 5 of them. The idea that there's "another second half collapse" happening is nonsense to start with. They've been bad all year.
  19. chpettit19
    Whether or not it was a blunder (Tom's decision) depends on the actual goal. I believe their goal is to sell this team as soon as they can get the number they want. I think they're hoping that happens after the new CBA puts in place revenue predictability and consistency. And if that's the goal, I don't think Tom made a blunder. He did what he was supposed to do, and that's everything you've described...get as much of the fanbase back on board from a PR perspective as possible to help improve their sale number by saying nice words and making minimal moves. I don't think Tom cares about the baseball blunder because he doesn't care about the baseball team. He cares about his portion of the sale. And he's improved his position there. He won't care about the baseball blunder until/unless he gets stuck with the team he doesn't want in a league without newfound revenue predictability for years to come and he sees that he shot himself in the foot by making a short-term play but getting stuck with the long-term consequences.
  20. chpettit19
    This is a pretty good summary of what I want. I don't like the use of the word "parity" because it too often turns into people arguing about WS champs, playoff teams, division winners, etc. and how they are distributed along the payroll spectrum, but I agree with this idea. To me, it's about a level playing field. I don't at all expect the Twins to suddenly be more successful if the league gets their floor/cap situation just because they're forced to spend more. They still have to "make good decisions, draft well, develop players and manage (their) roster properly." But they don't have to do all those things at a level higher than the large market teams. Milwaukee, Tampa, Cleveland are all pretty consistent playoff teams these days. But that's because they do those things better than just about anybody not named Dodgers. And even with being 3 of the 5 best run organizations in baseball, they have nearly no chance of winning a title. All I want out of every CBA is to set the playing field at a level mark where everybody is playing with the same tools at their disposal. Make it about owner's abilities to hire the right people, and those people to execute a plan. I'm fine with dynasties if those dynasties are earned on a level playing field. What I dislike is going into every baseball season knowing half the league is just playing for a participation trophy no matter how successful the FO is at doing their job.
  21. chpettit19
    Do you feel he isn't a realistic signing? Not trying to be a dick, just trying to see what your thoughts are that lead to "I just don't see a realistic hitter to sign." Seiya is likely going to be pretty expensive. No idea what the Rays would want for a year of Yandy. But I'd think Arraez and Arozarena are both gettable at a reasonable number. Fully agree that the FA options are not great, but I think there's an opportunity for an owner who truly wants to compete and is willing to spend (man, I'm full of jokes today) to make a move or 2 to bring in a legitimate hitter for this team.
  22. chpettit19
    I guess it depends on what you mean by realistic, to me. Is Yandy realistic? Probably not to sign because they'd be crazy to not pick up his option. But maybe in trade? They've been trying to move him for years. Arraez feels realistic, though. You wouldn't take Luis Arraez on this team? He'd probably be my first call when FA opens. If Pohlad really means he'll invest/spend (good joke, I know), Seiya Suzuki as the primary DH with some OF time would be a great fit, I think. If they came out of this offseason with Arraez, Yandy, and Seiya in their lineup, I'd be feeling pretty good about things. How realistic that is a whole different thing. But I'd be happy adding any of those 3 without a doubt. Arozarena is a little intriguing, too. If they can get any of those 4 on short-term deals, I'd be quite happy. Those are 4 legitimate MLB hitters. Prices and contract lengths (or trade pieces for Yandy) being big factors in things, obviously.
  23. chpettit19
    This will be my last reply. That is not what I said. What I said is the players are not idiots or so easily manipulated that the manager yelling for any old reason is going to get them pumped up. They didn't think it was dirty. If they did, KC, Clemens, Lee, Lewis, Kremer, anyone on the infield would've let Vargas know. But they didn't. Because it wasn't dirty. The manager making a fool of himself while storming onto the field to yell about a clean play as if it was a dirty play would not make those full grown adult men go "Oh, my gosh! He really cares! He has our back! I really need to play so much harder now that I know he's willing to defend me when I don't need defending!" It'd make them say "Why are we wasting our time listening to you yell about a clean play like an idiot when we should just be playing ball? Go sit down."
  24. chpettit19
    Yes, he did slide towards the base. The only reason he didn't reach it was because KC was so far in front of it and he was avoiding taking KC out and/or getting hit in the face with a baseball. This isn't worth arguing about. If you think the players would've been pumped up at watching their manager make a fool of himself while they all knew he was yelling about a clean play, cool. You do you. But I don't think the players are idiots or so easily manipulated.
  25. chpettit19
    I think it looks pretty ridiculous to make those statements when the players themselves don't react in any way, shape, or form suggesting they thought it was dirty. Players tend to overreact far more than underreact in the heat of the moment. Especially if they think it was something that could've hurt them. Not a single player on the Twins team (that was shown on TV, at least) looked upset in the least. They were just trying to steal an out with the review by getting technical with Vargas not having reached the base.
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