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Everything posted by USAFChief
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Article: Twins Won't Rule Out Trading For Lance Lynn
USAFChief replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
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Article: Twins Surprised Season Still Happening
USAFChief replied to RandBalls Stu's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Moral victory flags fly forever! -
Well, like I said, I'm not sure who you recall, but acquiring and demoting someone else doesn't change the fact Smelzer is unusable until at least Sunday. I would rather have another arm available.
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- jake odorizzi
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You are correct. I still send Smelzer down, he's probably unavailable until at least Sunday. He basically had a "start" yesterday. I have no idea who you call up, mind you.
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you want to go into Chicago with a six man pen, one of which is Torres?? Let's hope the FO is smarter than that. Give him a weeks pay if it makes you feel better, but "great job, Smeltzee, your plane leaves at 11."
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On July 24th, Parker was DFA’d.
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when I was 18 I drove to South Dakota and back for fireworks. 15-20 miles an hour over the speed limit both ways. Didn't get a ticket. I should probably expect similar results every time, don't you think?
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If there’s recency bias in looking at Parker, I’d contend it’s in thinking a couple scoreless outings are an indication of long term effectiveness. Parker doesn’t have the pitches to be successful on his own accord. On nights when he’s facing weaker hitters, can get a called strike to start the AB, and his split finger is some what controllable and deceptive, he can get some outs. Any professional pitcher can do that...sometimes get some outs. Hitting is hard. But he is never successful based on his own merits. He succeeds only when hitters fail. Good pitchers also get those outs, but sometimes add outs by actually beating hitters. Throwing fastballs by them, in fastball counts. Breaking off sliders that are darn near unhittabe, IN the strike zone. And still do some of that on nights when it’s NOT all working. Chapman had nothing last night, but still got out of bases loaded, no outs, allowing only a rather shallow sac fly. I rather doubt Parker would have allowed that little damage in a similar situation, We need s couple three of those guys. Like other good teams feature.
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HIcks has played 51 games this year. Buxton 75 Not that I liked the Hicks trade--terrible from the moment it happened--but in this case, he's played less than Byron.
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None of that has played out yet, and it's tough to argue the Twins would be worse off with Realmuto. There were people crowing about avoiding Verlander, too. Can you point me to your post where you predicted, at the time Realmuto was traded, that Garver would have better offensive stats in late July, 2019? Otherwise, crowing about it now is sort of...hindsight-ish, no? Or if we're going to do this, what was your opinion of the Pressly trade, at the time?
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And I'll go out on a limb and guess you were opposed to a Verlander trade. Did I get that right? There are two sides to every coin. Besides, explain to me how the Twins would be worse off if they had traded for Realmuto. At the cost of, say, Lewis. And then traded Castro for whatever. Would the Twins be worse off?
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And I haven't ever said "blow all their ammunition." I've said "don't hold on to any specific ammunition" if the return meets your current needs. I believe "X and Y and Z are off limits" is self limiting and ultimately you're better off if you make those players available...for the right return of course. It's impossible to "blow all their ammunition" anyway. They have, what...150 minor leaguers? I read all the time about how deep the system is. How could trading a half dozen of them "blow" all the ammo?
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The Twins have had a bottom farm system since 1991? For the record, I'm reasonably confident I never specifically listed Lewis as tradeable for Realmuto. I don't think I've ever assigned specific names to specific trade proposals. I don't really follow the minor leagues closely enough to be able to reasonably assign specific names. Not that I would have been opposed, I guess.
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Perhaps you're right, extreme caution has worked so well for us. We're so fortunate we let Jason Tyner soak up postseason DH ABs instead of wasting minor leaguers on an improvement. Holding on to all those pitching prospects has produced how many CYA winners again? It's hard for me to keep track. Bottom line: We've collected one postseason series win since 1991. 6 postseason games won since 1991. Zero postseason games won since 2004. One postseason game played since 2010. I want more than that. YMMV.
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In your first example, Pineda started and pitched 4 innings. By rule, can't get the win. Perez came in in the 5th, and pitched 3.2 innings. Hildenberger and Harper combined for 1.1 innings to close a 9-3 win. Pretty easy to say Perez should get the win, he pitched the bulk of the relief effort. In the second example, Gibson was removed with 2 outs in the 5th, with a 6-3 lead, but had just walked two hitters to load the bases. Hildenberger got the final out in the 5th, preserving the 6-3 lead. Nobody else pitched more than an inning in a game that went to the 9th with the Twins leading 14-4. I'd say Hildenberger probably was the "most effective," and certainly had the highest leverage. In your third example, the Twins were up 15-0 in the bottom of the5th, when Berrios gave up four runs, and left with 2 on and 2 out. Duffy came on, suffered through dropped foul pop that should have ended the inning, but got the K. He then pitched a scoreless 6th, again surviving an error, with 2 more K's. Harper later pitched an inning, and Adams the final two innings of a game that ended 18-4. Hard to argue that Duffey wasn't the "most effective."
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- mitch garver
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I want to make the playoffs in 2019, and not doggedly hold on to players who will have no impact on 2019 on the premise they may someday help garner "numerous future playoff appearances." Pretty loaded language, IYYM. You can't guarantee those playoff appearances any more than I can guarantee a good 8th inning reliever will help get to a WS. But I'm pretty confident of this much: we will seldom be in a better position to make the playoffs than we are on 23 July 2019.
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Interesting question. I guess I'd say, yes, because Harper wouldn't have changed Thorpe's effectiveness, just his final line.
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- mitch garver
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I remember the Twins turning two in one game: One was with Brunansky at the plate, which I didn't remember. Sweet.
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yeah, I don't understand that. Hold: A hold occurs when a relief pitcher enters the game in a save situation and maintains his team's lead for the next relief pitcher, while recording at least one out. One of two conditions must be met for a pitcher to record a hold: 1) He enters with a lead of three runs or less and maintains that lead while recording at least one out. 2) He enters the game with the tying run on-deck, at the plate or on the bases, and records an out. http://m.mlb.com/glossary/standard-stats/hold edit: I guess Brock nailed it...can't get a hold before the "W"?
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- mitch garver
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If the starter doesn't go five, They often award the W to the pitcher who throws the most innings. In some cases, the pitcher who got the most critical out(s). A case could be made for either Duffey or Thorpe last night. Personally, I thought it should go to Thorpe.
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- mitch garver
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