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PDX Twin

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Everything posted by PDX Twin

  1. PDX Twin
    From the Washington Post: They separated MLB history into three periods based on the number of rounds of post-season play. In the 25 years of two rounds (LCS and WS), the 1987 Twins were the least likely to prevail. I knew that they were big underdogs, but didn't remember that they actually had a negative run differential during the season. Amazing!
  2. PDX Twin
    That might depend on what "school" and "college ball" are. None of us really knows what academics and college sports will look like even in the spring. That's another big question mark for players at a very uncertain time.
  3. PDX Twin
    The Twins are positioning themselves in case MLB decides to change the format of the competition to Home Run Derby, which seems to be the trend.
  4. PDX Twin
    It would be interesting for comparison's sake to know what the average WAR per team per draft is, both in those years and in general.
  5. PDX Twin
    Bravo!
  6. PDX Twin
    Kind of unbelievable, but I guess they might as well make money somehow now that baseball is shut down. https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2020/05/23/pensacola-blue-wahoos-rent-ballpark-airbnb/
  7. PDX Twin
    More from the Post: It looks l like you can now rent the Blue Wahoos' stadium in Pensacola through Airbnb to stay overnight and have a whiffle ball game on the field! https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2020/05/23/pensacola-blue-wahoos-rent-ballpark-airbnb/
  8. PDX Twin
    Saw this lovely article today by one of the country's best sports writers. It sounds like 1924 rivaled 1991 for excitement! https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2020/05/22/1924-senators-had-big-train-instead-baby-shark-similar-ring/
  9. PDX Twin
    And Chicago in January would be upackerable?
  10. PDX Twin
    Looking at your list reinforces the impression I had during the season: the Twins were unusually, phenomenally, unreproduceably lucky in terms of injuries. Except for Sano (briefly), Buxton (more frequently), and (at the end) Kepler, almost all of them were to players who weren't really any better than their replacements. Maybe the Twins have a lot of durable players who are simply not going to get injured. Or maybe they were very lucky. We won't ever know what would have unfolded had there been a 2020 season, but to expect a repeat of this good fortune seems optimistic.
  11. PDX Twin
    Dean Chance came to the Twins from the Angels in a trade for Jimmie Hall and Don Mincher after the 1966 season. He was selected by Senators in the expansion draft, but only stayed for a matter of hours (according to BR):
  12. PDX Twin
    And also a highly competent hitter in an era when that mattered.
  13. PDX Twin
    Whoever did the ratings for the game must have been a Red Sox fan. Such success seems improbable...
  14. PDX Twin
    Is that a response to "knock knock"?
  15. PDX Twin
    I was privileged to be at that game as an 11-year-old in 1965, sitting in the sun down the left-field line. That was a truly amazing NL team with Mays, Aaron, Clemente, Robinson, Banks, etc. Among the NL stars who didn't make the team were Curt Flood and Lou Brock! And of course they had Koufax, Drysdale, Gibson (not Kyle), and Marichal to throw the ball.
  16. PDX Twin
    Among all the positions, statistics seem the least useful at first base. Most of the variation in errors that results from a good vs. bad firstbaseman are other infielders' errors. Plus, the firstbaseman gets so many routine chances that fielding percentage drifts irrelevantly close to one. Are there any defensive metrics specific to first base that measure the difficulty of each throw he must catch and how well a player does on difficult throws? That would seem like a better metric than fielding percentage or coverage of zone on ground balls.
  17. PDX Twin
    Does he talk about the financial and social segregation aspects of new ballparks? At the Met, everyone was essentially together. Some tickets were more expensive than others, of course, but it was a communal experience and if you put up the price of a box seat you could be sitting next to a CEO. The Metrodome allowed for private boxes, which created huge revenues for the club(s) and allowed the privileged to drink better liquor, eat better food, and avoid mingling with the masses. Target Field extended this model to include not only private boxes, but segregated the entire section behind home plate. Again, more revenue and more tiers of social segregation. Attending baseball games, like so many other activities, has become much less of a "shared social experience" in the last 50 years. Perhaps a small cause, or perhaps a small result, of the polarization that is so apparent in our economics and our politics.
  18. PDX Twin
    This seems almost absurdly optimistic from where I sit. I don't think we have any season at all and the impact may extend well into the fall, cutting into fall and winter sports next year.
  19. PDX Twin
    I agree with many of the books cited above. But my favorite of all time is Morry Frank's Every Young Man's Dream: Confessions of a Southern League Shortstop. https://www.amazon.com/Every-Young-Mans-Dream-Confessions/dp/0916747018 It's a pretty gritty novel about minor league life whose protagonist is not always admirable. Not a romantic idealization of minor-league baseball! But as literature, I think it is really good.
  20. PDX Twin
    And beyond this, apart from first-base-open situations, intentional walks work best when you have one threatening hitter in the middle of a bunch of weaklings. The Twins' lineup, if healthy, has no weaklings. If they decide to walk Cruz or Donaldson, the next hitter (who might even be Cruz or Donaldson) is likely to make them pay.
  21. PDX Twin
    If a club like the Twins (or Cleveland) is not going to be able to retain top stars beyond 6 years, it makes sense to grab guys who already have the extra years of development in college. If we draft a collegian and he joins at 22, he makes the majors at maybe 26 and is a free-agent at 32. (Gibson followed roughly this model.) We've gotten at least the early part of his best years. Contrast with Berrios who makes the majors at 22 and potentially leaves at 28 with some of his best years ahead of him (in another shirt).
  22. PDX Twin
    Didn't Blankenhorn play a lot of 3B coming through the system? He seems like a more realistic short-run possibility than Cavaco and Miranda.
  23. PDX Twin
    Unpopular sentiment, but I'm prepared for disappointment. A couple of nagging injuries in spring training, a couple of bad bounces, and a couple of ineffective starts could leave us 0-10. There's a lot of luck in the game and the Twins were very lucky last year. I'm hoping it continues, but it might not.
  24. PDX Twin
    I fear that Polanco will lead the league in (throwing) errors.
  25. PDX Twin
    Yes. There are some guys who are annoying because they're good and they play for the other team (Thome with the White Sox), and there are some guys who are annoying because they are annoying and are doubly annoying when they are good (Pierzynski with the White Sox).
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