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PDX Twin

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Everything posted by PDX Twin

  1. PDX Twin
    The Twins' 2022 draft position improved today.
  2. PDX Twin
    If players were sitting in the stands like at times last year, you could have Column A in Row 1!
  3. PDX Twin
    And if they win both tonight and on Saturday, will the wins be twinning?
  4. PDX Twin
    Oh, there will be plenty!
  5. PDX Twin
    I hope that you're right, but the pathetic spring hitting has me worried, especially with the changed baseball. The Twins' offense is built around the homerun. If that is muted by the changes, they will struggle and often look pathetic with three-strikeout innings being common enough to make me turn off the broadcast. Add in a couple of injuries and I could easily see a .500 season looking up at Chicago and Cleveland.
  6. PDX Twin
    I was also easier when you could expect that the opponent's starting pitcher would pitch 7-9 innings. Now, unless you are at the top of the order, you only sometimes get more than one AB against the starter and the guy out of the bullpen is likely to throw with the other hand.
  7. PDX Twin
    Enforce the rules. Punish the cheaters. Period.
  8. PDX Twin
    I assume you mean "a shot" and I agree. Perhaps more than one, one with the Twins and one or more in the arm.
  9. PDX Twin
    He could wear #47 and put AK in the name slot.
  10. PDX Twin
    Apologies for derailing the thread! Leaving the "l" out of public is a surprisingly common typo, which spell checkers always miss. My colleagues and I have had countless chuckles over the years when reading essays and theses referring to "pubic goods" or "pubic policy."
  11. PDX Twin
    Pubic masks are very important to prevent exposure...
  12. PDX Twin
    This is a really nice article about Brian Dozier learning Spanish in order to communicate better with his teammates. https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/03/05/brian-dozier-spanish-baseball/ A couple of select quotes: “I think we, as Americans, need to take it upon ourselves to say, ‘Hey, these guys are going to be playing for a championship just like us, and you need real camaraderie to make that happen, and in order to have that, we need to take it upon ourselves to learn Spanish,’ ” Dozier said.During one of his offseasons in the minors, he played winter ball in Venezuela. Around that same time, he met Eduardo Escobar, who was new to the Twins organization. They didn’t know they’d play seven years together. Still, they made a decision: make each other better. “I taught him English,” Dozier said. “He taught me a lot of Spanish, just how to communicate day-in and day-out and stuff like that. I took it upon myself to start reading books on planes and bus rides just to kind of teach myself more. And then obviously the best way to learn it is being around it every day and actually using it.”One of those things many of us never knew about how players interact off the field and how they influence each other. I wish there were more articles like this one!
  13. PDX Twin
    Very interesting article that does more than just rehash statistics!
  14. PDX Twin
    Could they possibly find league names that are more boring and generic than this? Wow. Not only are they gutting the economics of the teams, but now they're working on the personality. What's next? Naming the Saints as MN AAA?
  15. PDX Twin
    "Who doesn’t love dingers?" I don't! Compared with triples, double plays, great catches in the outfield, beaten out bunts, and lots of other plays, I find home runs about as exciting to watch as walks and strikeouts. Of course, they are exciting when they change the outcome of a game dramatically, but most of the time they are just adding to a lead or cutting into a deficit, often by only one run, and end up not really having an impact. So, for excitement as a spectator, give me the deader balls all day!
  16. PDX Twin
    Of course, I don't bet on sports, but as an economist I have to chip in that it is always rational for a risk-averse person to bet against his or her favorite team. It reduces the variation in your mood because you either win the game or you win the bet.
  17. PDX Twin
    But surely he will Excel in the bullpen...
  18. PDX Twin
    Doesn't the article say that the metric starts in 2002?
  19. PDX Twin
    Good riddance to Pedroia (whom I always called "The Twerp") and his endless stream of Twins-killing hits!
  20. PDX Twin
    I don't like the idea that the Twins must always have someone with a major-league track record for every slot. That's expensive and gives us a team of 30-somethings. The current squad is mostly home-built, and the next generation needs a chance to play soon.
  21. PDX Twin
    This is a good point. Keeping a final-year star rather than trading for prospects is just like trading prospects for such a person without the likelihood of a re-signing. You end up with one year of the star but fewer prospects. The prospects we got didn't turn out very well. And sometimes the prospects we don't give up in a trade for a Lindor, say, don't work out either. But at least we have much better information about our own prospects than about those we get in trades.
  22. PDX Twin
    I agree that this is hard. This is like comparing whether you want a good engine or a good transmission---you need both to succeed. I guess that the common denominator here is dollars. Each can be bought, which allows us to observe relative prices that signal scarcity. That figures into your discussion of Rooker and the relief pitchers above.
  23. PDX Twin
    This seems like a simple extrapolation of recent records. Rather like the predictions of "big data" methods: decent as long as the future is just like the past. But it never is. When Covid hit, many economic forecasters didn't know what to do because they had no past data from which to extrapolate. They actually had to think, a task at which some of them are inexperienced and, at times, incompetent.
  24. PDX Twin
    Why is this? I think there are (at least) two reasons to doubt outcome statistics for relievers. First, one season is a small sample size for a typical relief pitcher -- 50-70 innings. One bad/unlucky outing (4 earned runs, say) can take a month of shutout pitching to dilute down to a decent ERA. Second, more of their outcome statistics are out of their control than any other player. They often leave runners on base who may or may not score and they may end up facing clutch pinch hitters selected specifically to face them. I'm a skeptic about the tendency of some to denigrate outcome-based statistics, but this seems like one area where structural performance numbers such as velocity, spin rate, and detailed location data can be most helpful and ERA is less useful, at least season by season.
  25. PDX Twin
    It goes back more than 20 years. Stanford replaced the Indians about 50 years ago. While I was a graduate student there in the 1970s there was a great controversy about the replacement. At one point, there were 5 nicknames in circulation. The students voted for Robber Barons; the athletic department (which, of course, won) the Cardinal; the infamous marching band (which carried a lot of weight after managing to spell out OH S--T on national TV at the Rose Bowl) wanted the Tree; some other constituency favored the Sequoias; and (of course) the alumni wanted to keep the Indians.
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