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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    I was wrong in that he did say he would "welcome a trade". I don't think he ever got over it, but browsing articles from back then he sort of apologized and said he would deal with it. Anticipating it? I don't think that ever happened.
  2. alarp33
    He was in the "Just Missed" part of the Top 100 list. Below is what he wrote... Certainly it shouldn't be taken as gospel (I think many thought Sale would be a reliever, and that worked out ok I think), but I think Jay is a better prospect, and am glad the Twins chose him over Fulmer He has a very violent delivery and tends to work too much out of the zone to be a big league starter, so I project him as a reliever, as did many scouts who saw him dealing for the Vanderbilt Commodores before the draft.
  3. alarp33
    You are correct (Though I'm not sure he asked to be traded, he certainly seemed to complain a ton). My 1st thought was, it seemed to work for Pelfrey... why not give it a try if you are Ricky. That being said, my thought all along has been the Twins are hoping Nolasco pitches well enough this Spring that they can trade him. Obviously they are going to have to eat some of the remaining salary, so maybe I'm wrong.. but cutting ties makes too much sense.
  4. alarp33
    We've got people evaluating Ryan Sweeney + Buxton on their 1st 12 (Sweeney) and 11 (Buxton) at bats of spring. The season can't start soon enough.
  5. alarp33
    Probably Santana if they use him as a defensive replacement for Sano, I just hope more at bats (by far) go to Arcia.
  6. alarp33
    Right, his 1st full season in the Majors. I would say 15th in the AL in WAR for starting pitchers is not average... and why is locking him into a 4 year deal his decline phase? He's going to be 28 all season. I'm not necessarily even in the camp where you need to extend him, but I think you are highly underrating his ability to be a good pitcher for 5+ years.
  7. alarp33
    There's 9 starting position players... DH is a position
  8. alarp33
    I know Keith Law for one thinks Carson Fulmer is a reliever in the long run. Not so sure Michael Fulmer falls in the same boat, I bet he's in that Tigers rotation by mid season. As for rotations, I'll still take Chicago's or Detroits, you can have the Twins
  9. alarp33
    The Twins had a 3 man bench for a large portion of last year. Why would you think they would go to a 5 man this year?
  10. alarp33
    You are definitely right with your 1st sentence... but the 2nd one, Kyle Gibson is below avg? According to what? His era+ last year was 108, and he was 15 in the AL among starters in WAR. He's a solid #3 starter.
  11. alarp33
    Can't steal 1st! Gordon for me, and I don't think it's that close. Because Polanco will be at 2B, or even 3B.
  12. alarp33
    Thanks. Not sure if its sample size (only last 5 years) or what, but I found the number to be more like 2-5% everywhere else. This is one document I found which was interesting. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gQujXQQGOVNaiuwSN680Hq-FDVsCwvN-3AazykOBON0/edit?pref=2&pli=1#gid=0 PS; 10,000+ pitchers in the Minors and Majors over the past 5 seasons... I mean that can't be right, can it? Super simple way of looking at it, but say the Twins have 4 Milb teams (not sure if they count rookie ball), and their major league team. Say 14 pitchers per team which is generous. That's 70 pitchers in the Twins org., 2,100 in all of baseball. In just 5 years that turned over 5 times? Are they counting a pitcher like Hughes for example each year? Since 2010, there have been 10,000+ pitchers in the majors and minors combined.
  13. alarp33
    Last year Keith Law had Mondesi ranked as the 38th prospect in baseball, and Jorge Polanco unranked... this year Mondesi is 73 and Polanco is 66. Interesting.
  14. alarp33
    Where did you get that data? I can't find anything to support that.... I read one comprehensive list of all TJ surgeries and found 68 players who had 2... about 5% of all the TJ's done. Also found this (from a few years ago); "Yes. 2-4% of pitchers undergo a second Tommy John surgery, often called a UCL revision. There have been fewer studies of players with revisions, but those have shown that these pitchers also are able to return to play at a high rate, though often in a reduced role." "A 2012-2013 survey of active players found that 25% of Major League pitchers and 15% of Minor League pitchers had undergone Tommy John surgery at some point in their careers."
  15. alarp33
    This. No one is injured yet, we are exactly where we were one week ago before games began.
  16. alarp33
    I suspect you are very wrong. If both are healthy, Buxton has > 500 PA in ML, Berrios makes > 25 starts
  17. alarp33
    If the Twins were concerned Sano had plantar fasciitis he would not be playing RF back to back days.
  18. alarp33
    .320 would be a 31 point improvement, not a 20, fyi. His 2014 OBP in the minors was .284 as well, this wasn't new And you're right, if he can get on base at a .320+ clip, he will be a valuable player. Until he proves hes capable of that, he's very replaceable.
  19. alarp33
    There really aren't many, most of the top prospects close to or in the Majors to start the year are from the NL. Joey Gallo, who the Rangers don't have a spot in the lineup for. A.J. Reed for Hou, Blake Snell for TB
  20. alarp33
    I'm not going to defend Plouffe, as I have said from the start I would trade him for whatever you can get. But you are very much cherry picking Rosario stats. Yes, his ops was .748... his OBP was .289, if he had a few more plate appearances to qualify, this would've been 4th worst in the American League. As the other poster said, triples are fluky. Rosario is a fun player to watch, but the fact remains if he doesn't figure out how to get on base, he's a good 4th outfielder.
  21. alarp33
    I can't tell if this is a real comment or not. You do realize Rosario got on base an unheard of 10% (.289 vs .385) less often than Sano, right?
  22. alarp33
    Like Carlos Correa last year?? Or Meyers, Trout... 3 of the last 4 AL rookies of the year didn't start the season in the Majors.
  23. alarp33
    Yeah, but I don't see the need to lock up a 4th Ofer for 6 years guaranteed, even if the money isn't THAT big. I'm totally willing to gamble on locking up Buxton/ Sano, because the ceilings are so high, and I think at minimum each become good Major leaguers. If Buxton or Sano have big seasons in 2016, their extension numbers could become huge... which is why you gamble and attempt to get either done now. If (A big If) Rosario can figure out how to get on base this year... say .315-.325 OBP, I don't think you're risking that much money by not completing an extension now... it will be the 1st time he's gotten on base since A ball.
  24. alarp33
    Jepsen. NO Sano. Of course, but he's not going to sign a contract like that.
  25. alarp33
    3 years, $9 million for Escobar? Sure, why not. If Gordon or someone else are ready before that expires, Escobar is trade bait, or if he regresses, a fine backup IFer at $3million a year. Rosario. No... I don't think he's even a full time starter by August (Kepler).
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