karcherd
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Everything posted by karcherd
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If Gasper is on the 26 man roster, we are no better than last year. If they can't sign quality major league players, give the kids with more upside the opportunity. This is getting old running 4A players out there and trying to convince us that we are a contender. Stop with the platooning and get quality players that can play every day at one position with reasonable days off.
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- christian vazquez
- ryan jeffers
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Taxpayers have gotten value from both Target Field and Target Center. There was no Warehouse District before Target Center was built. That area of town was a dump, now it is thriving. Whether all dollars needed to build the facilities has been recouped can be debated but they have brought value to the city and county.
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Is Rocco Baldelli a Lame Duck Manager in 2025?
karcherd replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We don't know if Baldelli has been extended or not, when they extended him in 2022 it did not become public for a year and a half. For some reason we don't need to know the status of the manager per the front office actions. As for Baldelli staying or not, I really think we need a new manager. His strategic moves are more of an organizational philosophy which I believe is unbalanced towards analytics. So I don't put all the blame on him for those. But where he is falling short is in player development. Very few players come to the majors as a complete player, there still needs to be development. And who has been developed and gotten better especially on the position side. Is it his style, he likes to say the players know what needs to be done to get ready for a game, maybe younger players need more guidance to learn what it takes. Not sure if that is happening or not. Our fundamentals are lacking, that is on the coaching staff and the manager. Stop moving players around, let them become good at one position and become comfortable. You don't win with 13 utility players. Lewis not knowing his position at this point of the offseason is ridiculous, he could be the face of this franchise. He needs a position so he can learn and get comfortable, let's see if the results are better then. -
The Path to an Elite Minnesota Twins Bullpen in 2025
karcherd replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Counting on Stewart to be a key piece of the bullpen would be malpractice by the Front Office. He has never pitched over 30 innings and is in his thirties. Topa is in his mid thirties and has had one good year. These two should not be part of the planning for a bullpen except for filling in as needed.- 47 replies
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- jhoan duran
- griffin jax
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Castro was the only the MVP because somebody had to be, I personally would have preferred Ober or Ryan before he got hurt. Castro only led us in any hitting categories because he had more than 150 AB's more than anyone else other than Santana. His best two positions are 2B and LF, any other position he plays should only be as a game by game fill in or defensive replacement for a pinch hitter. Our goal should be to have quality players at all positions, reasonably 5 or 6 positions as a minimum. Then you can use a player like Castro properly, fill in for days off 3 or 4 days a week, pinch run and give flexibility for pinch hitting moves at the end of the game. Only the Twins obsession with match ups for every AB makes a player like Castro appear more valuable then they are. You are not going to win consistently with a player like Castro leading your team in AB's.
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Grading the 2024 Minnesota Twins: Hitters
karcherd replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Santana led the team in home runs and RBI's because he had more AB's than any other player other than Castro. And the next player had over a 100 less AB's with nearly identical production. Santana is league average or below against RH pitching. Can we raise the bar at some bar and ask for real production,- 73 replies
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- carlos correa
- byron buxton
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This is a pretty narrow view and not realistic. So you want the Twins to just spend to a certain if there are not needs. Just like when we signed Donaldson, wasn't really a need but they money available so they spent it. And is this front office able to identify the correct players to spend on, the last two years they have not done a job on allocating the resources given to them.
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Should Falvey come back for 2025? Does he want to?
karcherd replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
This is a reasonable and fair analysis. A couple of points I disagree with, if you target having 6 to 7 solid starting position players, the need for positional flexibility is greatly reduced. Yes having a utility IF has always been part of roster construction, but we are trying to combine the utility infielder and 4th OF position and that doesn't work. So they create the need for positional flexibility by not developing everyday players and turning players into platoon players. As for the bullpen, counting on Stewart was a hope and a prayer. He has never pitched over 30 innings, you can't go into the season with counting on him, you need to take what he gives you as frosting not the cake. They have done this consistently with the bullpen, they obtain players with limited track records who have bounced around the league. Or they acquire injured pitchers or pitchers with histories of injuries. I get taking a chance on one or two and hoping you hit the lottery. But you can't build the framework of your bullpen this way. This year they had 6 relievers that fit into this category that they were hoping would be integral parts of the bullpen and none were for even half the year. No wonder it fell apart. -
First I said analytics should be used as a tool, I never denied they shouldn't be used. But there is no way Rocco is making the decisions he is by his gut and keeping his job. This is why LH do not start or hit against LH pitching, pitchers are pulled before they face the lineup a third, Duran is used based on who is coming up i.e. the middle of the lineup. These are decisions made before the game starts and is the basis of the organizational philosophy that Falvey has created.
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Falvey has created the analytics driven model that is being followed on the field. The analytics staff he has built is driving the decisions of this organization. This includes the roster construction of short sided platooning, hit the ball hard and go for the home run strategy, stolen bases do not impact the game strategy that is being utilized. Analytics is a tool, but the team is using it as the driving baseline for most decisions. That is on the PBO by the name of Falvey and if he continues with that model, the people reporting up to him have to follow the same strategy.
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You are correct, you can't just change for the sake of change, You need to have a model to work from, but you have to be willing to review if it is working and tweak or even blow it up if needed. But Falvey just does not seem to waver to the point of stubbornness. I hope he proves me wrong next year.
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This is exactly why ownership should have taken some time to examine the season and the organization. You say $20 million could have won possibly 4 more games, don't necessarily disagree even I don't trust Falvine when it comes to identifying relief pitching. But how about looking at the organizational strategies that drive the product on the field. I bet if we go back we will find at least 4 games if not more that were lost because of the rigidity of the analytics this team wants to follow. Whether it was bullpen management, match ups or pinch hitting Margot. So you might not have had to spend $20 million to get those needed 4 wins. But this is why I wanted the organization to do a true analysis of the season and where they are at in relation to prior seasons, that is how you get the answer to the questions above. This just shows a stubbornness to their model and no one is going to tell them they are wrong. That is not the way successful organizations are run.
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I am really disappointed in the timing of this announcement. They really needed to take some time and let the emotion of the collapse subside and conduct a thorough review of the organization. But then I read a quote from Joe Pohlad, where he said he talks to Falvey daily. He is too involved in the details to make an objective review of the organization and he needs to hire someone and give them the overview of his expectations and get out of the way. Having regular contact is one thing, but daily means he is involved and who is then overseeing him and giving him constructive criticism and direction that should be going to Falvey.
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Orioles (TBD) vs Twins (Matthews): 9/28/24, 6:15pm
karcherd replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
I really hope they don't count on Paddack again. There is no good history of coming back from 2 TJ surgeries. And he is not that good of a pitcher, one good year in 2019. Can we set the bar a little higher or else you may as well go with the kids. -
How much do you want them to spend, what would be the right number for payroll next year. It is easy to say spend more, but how much more.
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Twins 2, Orioles 7: Stick a Fork in Them
karcherd replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Bottom line, it is an elimination game, he is not getting anyone out. Rocco was trying to play the matchup game, you can't do that in this situation. Being down by 7 vs 3 at the end of the inning is a huge difference.- 134 replies
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- pablo lopez
- kody funderburk
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Twins 2, Orioles 7: Stick a Fork in Them
karcherd replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You are correct if it is June, but it's not. We were essentially playing a playoff game last night and Rocco gave up. You don't keep a pitcher in after three straight batters reach, it is all hands on deck until you are eliminated.- 134 replies
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- pablo lopez
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Should Falvey come back for 2025? Does he want to?
karcherd replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
It would be interesting to know what the rest of the league really thinks of the two. It sounded like Boston interviewed Levine and passed on him. I don't think they have the ability to run a successful major league front office. It has been seven years and we have one playoff series win and have been a sub .500 team for the last 4 years. We should be on an upward trajectory not flat. They are too rigid in the their philosophy and will not admit mistakes and move on when needed. The young players are coming to the majors and are not producing at any sustained level. Where is the player development of the organization. While not every prospect will flourish in the majors, you can't have them all regress. There are some prospects that have been highly thought of by many throughout the league, why aren't they producing at the major leagues. They need to have a plan and I don't see it. Either go with the young guys if you can develop them or move on and bring in quality level starting position players, no more Margot's, Garlicks, Santana, or Farmer's of the world. -
Twins 2, Orioles 7: Stick a Fork in Them
karcherd replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
None of this will occur if Falvey stays. He has put in place an analytics driven model that says stolen bases have no impact on the game, so don't hold runners on or try to steal. The analytics say HR's are your best chance to win, so teach all your hitters launch angle so they try to pull the ball and hit one out. Ask Martin and Lee as two examples, they both went back to their style of hitting in the minors after not having success with the Twins way. Bunting is also frowned upon because you don't want to give up an out. And where has this model gotten us, we are 6 games under .500 since 2020 with one playoff series win. If ownership doesn't take a serious review of this organization and make changes, that will be a real slap in the face of the fans.- 134 replies
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- pablo lopez
- kody funderburk
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Twins 2, Orioles 7: Stick a Fork in Them
karcherd replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Did any reporter ask Rocco why he left Funderburk in the game when the bases were loaded, was he not trying to win. It was bad enough putting him in, but why leave him in.- 134 replies
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- pablo lopez
- kody funderburk
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Orioles (Povich) vs Twins (Lopez): 9/27/24, 7:10pm
karcherd replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Two runs in six innings, it was our hitters who couldn't Pavich. I would have loved for Pablo to go eight, but with our bats he needed to shut them out and even then that might not have been enough. -
Orioles (Povich) vs Twins (Lopez): 9/27/24, 7:10pm
karcherd replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
This has nothing to do with the ownership, this is Rocco in the dugout at the moment giving up on the season. Unless Falvey or Joe are calling him in the dugout. -
Orioles (Povich) vs Twins (Lopez): 9/27/24, 7:10pm
karcherd replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
You still manage to win the game at this point in the season. He should be fired immediately after the game.

