Taildragger8791
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Everything posted by Taildragger8791
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T-Wolves Regular Season Thread
Taildragger8791 replied to Pardon My Dinger's topic in Minnesota Timberwolves Talk
Towns is still a stud and will be fine. He just needs to get stronger (find those man muscles) and keep gaining experience. Wiggy still has too many games where he doesn’t contribute anything outside of scoring with mediocre efficiency. In the last game he had 1 rebound and no assists, steals, or blocks. That’s unbelievable. Season averages on non-scoring stats are nearly identical to his career. Scoring efficiency is actually down, which is disconcerting since he focuses so hard on it. The guy doesn’t know what to do on a basketball court if he doesn’t have the ball or isn’t guarding the ball. The defense is a little better, which is nice to see, although I’m not sure yet how much of that is his own improvement and how much is from having Butler and Taj flanking him. You can see some improvement in his more active hands at least. -
Article: Winter Meetings: Reliever Roulette
Taildragger8791 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So let’s say I buy into this conspiracy theory of trying to scam our way out of contracts with questionable physicals. Any chance we can get this same physician to do an exam on Andrew Wiggins? Asking for a friend... -
I don't have much interest in hamstringing my roster with an expensive aging player that doesn't really fit well anywhere. Mauer is considerably below average offensively at 1B or DH. The defense is nice but I have to believe someone else can be more than serviceable while adding 40-50 RBI and 20-25 HR to the position. There's also a strong likelihood we'll need the flexibility to rotate more guys through that position in 2-3 years (Sano, Vargas, Garver, Kepler, Dozier, Rooker, Diaz).
- 54 replies
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- joe mauer
- yu darvish
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Lewis is 4 years younger, is more athletic, and didn't play SS until he was a senior in high school, so we don't know whether he can grow into the position or not. All we know is he hasn't played himself out of the hole yet. He also has the potential to fall back to another position and still be viable offensively & defensively, so SS isn't make or break for his value. Gordon's question marks are more concerning as a 22-year old that played the position his whole life, especially when his value drops off considerably at any other position.
- 68 replies
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- royce lewis
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Saying that Gonsalves and Romero are ready today is a stretch, and I'm not a fan of banking my season on prospects making seamless transitions from AA to MLB right out of the gate. Gonsalves doesn't have a ceiling higher than Berrios/Santana, which is the kind of pitcher we're tring to acquire. His ceiling is much more middle of the road and he still has work to do on control/command, so he'll potentially be an up & down guy for the next couple of years. Romero is still building up the stamina for a full season. He won't be up to 200 innings for another 3 years. He can probably contribute soon but he isn't going to be there in the playoffs without some careful management (which means you still need another pitcher to backfill for him).
- 68 replies
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- royce lewis
- stephen gonsalves
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Chargois missed basically the whole season with a mystery elbow injury (impingement? stress reaction?). I wouldn't count on him for anything next year.
- 127 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
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Good article. So long story short there are some games that can be played, but one way or another he'd have to spend 90 days on the active roster which I can't see happening. A team would have to be pretty desperate or convinced of greatness to sacrifice a 25-man roster spot for half a season.
- 127 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
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Are we sure Burdi can just be stashed on someone's 60-day DL most of the season? That seems like a major loophole in the system if there is next to zero cost to the team other than paying out a meager rookie salary. Seems like something is missing here.
- 127 replies
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- stephen gonsalves
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None of our pitching prospects, despite being well-regarded as prospects, are even close to being sure things to succeed in MLB. There are some talented guys to be hopeful about but pretty much all of them have at least one serious question mark attached to them (health, control issues, quality of stuff). I wouldn't plan 2018 around any of them being impactful.
- 54 replies
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- jose altuve
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The increase in K's and HRs are connected though. Hitters recognized the value in selling out to do damage on one swing instead of just trying to get on base in strikeout counts. Thus, more K's and more HRs. That's where your biggest spikes in numbers are coming from. The increase in K's can also be attributed to the intentional focus on developing strikeout pitchers supplemented with more aggressive bullpen usage. I don't believe we're seeing an unusual abundance of elite starters mowing down the league 7-8 innings at a time. Teams are just going after the K with more intent because they recognize the value in it.
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32 teams is great from a scheduling and division alignment perspective. But it seems to me it would just further water down a sport that already doesn't have enough good players to field more than a 5-6 truly competitive teams at a time (and maybe another 5-6 borderline wildcard teams). Of course, that's true in every sport but it bothers me in the NFL and NBA as well. I know it's unrealistic but things would get really interesting if the talent were concentrated into 16 or 24 teams instead of 32. Maybe a relegation/promotion system to push the worst 16 teams into their own division? That would help take care of tanking as well, although I suppose then this wild Twins season wouldn't have happened. Oh well, in the end the bottom dollar always wins out.
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Arcia was hitting in the PCL which heavily inflates offensive numbers, so take them with a grain of salt. Good AAAA hitters with power regularly put up video game stats there.
- 43 replies
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- mitch garver
- jonathan rodriguez
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Article: Brian Dozier Is Taking The Lead
Taildragger8791 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I doubt Dozier signs the tender unless the market is pretty terrible for 2B. At his age, it'll be his best (and maybe only) opportunity to finally cash in on a multi-year guaranteed free market deal. If he does sign it then the Twins can easily absorb one year at that salary in 2019. Mauer, Perkins and maybe Santana would all be off the books so it shouldn't be that prohibitive. There's a good chance some of that money would have to go towards finding another middle infielder anyways. I'd say it's worth a chance to get that draft pick in return. I say all this assuming his performance next year is essentially a repeat of this season. -
He could mitigate that by having a full offseason to recover and train, another year of physical maturity, and rotating with Polanco/Escobar/Dozier if a little time off is needed. Assuming that was even the issue. But yes, I wouldn't set my middle infield plans next year dependent on Gordon contributing significantly. That's just common sense with all prospects.
- 23 replies
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- adalberto mejia
- travis blankenhorn
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It's a little disappointing but I'm not overly concerned yet seeing as he's a 21-year old in AA and showed some quite a few good things this year. That alone was pretty impressive. Maybe he's worn down, particularly after having his offseason cut short by the AFL. Maybe pitchers have adjusted to him and he needs to adjust back. Who knows.
- 23 replies
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- adalberto mejia
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Can we stop framing this as if people are actively rooting for him to fail? I haven't seen anyone hoping for that and it's rudely misrepresentative. I'm sure everyone here would be ecstatic if he leveled off to a reliable #4/#5 starter. What I have seen is a lot of people that have lost trust in him and won't be quick to believe he's not the same Gibson that occassionally puts a couple games together against bad teams only to go off the rails again. He doesn't have any equity built up right now and needs to continue to perform over a longer timespan and against better lineups before he'll start to earn it back.
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Yeah, there's a reason exceptional players were exceptional. It's because they were the rare case of a guy floundered for a while before breaking out and becoming an all-time great. We like to forget about the 99 others who simply petered off and eventually disappeared. Gibson has shown some good stuff lately but he'll need to reproduce it against some more potent lineups before anyone should get too excited. Even last year he'd occassionally shut down really bad teams before getting rocked again by a more competitive team.
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- adalberto mejia
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Nathan was also primarily a shortstop through high school and college, and didn't convert to a pitcher until after he was drafted. Not really the same situation.
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- adalberto mejia
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Article: MIN 6, CHW 4: Polanco Does it All
Taildragger8791 replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Here's how I see it: In both cases it isn't egregious enough to be an error but the player still failed to complete a close play because of pressure from the opponent, thus the credit goes to the opponent. In one case, the fielders couldn't complete the catch & tag because they rushed knowing the runner was closing in fast, thus the runner gets credit for the double. In the other case, the runner makes a mistake sliding in too aggressively/wildly to beat the tag but he likely only beat the tag because he made a slide that he couldn't complete, thus he doesn't get credit. He was never truly safe because he was never in control. The situation where a guy rounds a bag is different because he passed the bag under control and uncontested.- 47 replies
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- jorge polanco
- ervin santana
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I think he was saying Rooker should keep training in the OF so he can fill in out there as a 4th OF, but would otherwise be a full-time player between 1B/DH/OF.
- 24 replies
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- brent rooker
- bryan sammons
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Brent Rooker at Ft Myers is now sitting at .289/.376/.589 for a .967 OPS and climbing. Scratch off the first 3 games there, call that an adjustment period, and he's stroking .314/.395/.640 for a 1.035 OPS. The strikeouts are still too frequent but the walk rate is reasonable. At the very least they've got something interesting with him.
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Even if we had the wonderful problem of both panning out, they're both at least 2 years behind Gordon who could be in the majors next year. That's plenty of time for things to work themselves out.
- 25 replies
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- wander javier
- leonardo reginnato
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