It’s doubtful, but I think the odds are better than the percentage likelihoods that are given in most settings. I think it’s also simpler than what you describe (though believe me, I almost always prefer long and lengthy explanations — just ask my wife. Kudos for your work.). Here’s the simple version: 1. Beat the Indians 7 out of 9. How likely is that? Not, but not unrealistic. 2. Make up 3 games the rest of the way (to tie, 4 games to win). If we were only 3 games back, we’d likely be in (slight) buy mode, and few of us would consider the team out of it. How likely is to make up 3-4 games in the rest of the season? Perhaps (probably) less than 50/50, but not at all impossible, for some of the reasons you describe above. Look, I get that 7 games under .500 is what it is, and that’s how the Twins have played to date. But consider this: First 52 games: 22-30 Next 52 games: 26-26 Remaining 58 games: 1-0 (so far) In other words, with last night, the Twins have played as long (technically, longer) as a .500 team than they have as a “bad” team. And even in the stretch as a .500 team, there’s a strong sense they’ve underperformed. Said another way, it’s not unusual for .500 teams to play somewhat better than .500 ball for a lengthy time. And I think this is still better than a .500-ball roster. I repeat. Not “likely,” but not impossible either. Looking ahead, I would concur that with Santana, Sano back, the potential resurgence of some others, and guys in Rochester, the team may not have dramatically weakened itself in terms of talent. I think there’s greater likelihood of them falling apart mentally under the perception of giving up than there is of them falling apart in terms of talent. For that reason, I think tonight and tomorrow night are huge. Win both, and the stage is set for a “screw you, we’re only six back, and we’ve got seven more with Cleveland” response. I think that’s especially the case since the next four games with Cleveland come so quickly — next week. Win only one, and that is a much tougher mindset to have.