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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    I really, really hope you are wrong.
  2. tobi0040
    I guess I am not totally sold on Milone. I don't think we should cut the guy or anything. I just can't count on him. I have just seen too many guys in the mid 80's with no strikeouts here fail I guess. Agreed on Meyer, he was limited to 85-90 pitches a game. He still was not very effective with the pitches he had....but certainly the pitch count played a huge role.
  3. tobi0040
    My odds are against Berrios at all this year. Garza is cited as a guy that moved really quick. He was drafted at 21 and appeared at 22 and 250 days. Berrios is 20 and 150 days right now.
  4. tobi0040
    I would not be opposed to moving Meyer to the pen to start next year, if it is a pathway to the rotation for him. But you have to go out and sign a good starter if that is the case. We can't roll with only Hughes, Gibson, Nolasco, and May. I have concerns about depth and more importantly, talent. When a guy like Milone is your 5th starter before the eventual injury or inneffectiveness...then you get your AAAA guys..it makes for a long year and more of the same.
  5. tobi0040
    What you are saying here is true, I guess what rubs me the wrong way is service time seems to be the deciding factor over who can help out the club. Burdi was taken 46th and many mocks had him going 21 to the Tigers. He is probably a better comp....if we follow the same service time logic he won't be up for a few years. That would be a poor choice in my view. Same with Reed, regardless of where he is drafted IF he puts up simlar numbers as he moves up. Service time should not be a huge factor for a college reliever.
  6. tobi0040
    This could very well be an informed decision based on what the twins have told him. I actually thought a 5k drop was generous. Four of the five people I know cancelled and I don't know anyone new that signed up.
  7. tobi0040
    Unless we sign a guy, I think LF will be claimed by the winner between Hicks and Rosario. My money is on Rosario.
  8. tobi0040
    Did anyone read Ruesse's article about the Twins season ticket holders? Here are the cliffs notes: -Twins had 17,000 season ticket holders last year. He expects that to drop to 12,000 this year -If you drop 5K a game from this years total, you have 1.85M. The lowest since 2001 in the Dome. -The Twins response is the same as always. Terry quoting that money will be no obstacle and Pohlad saying we will stick to 50%. -Also brought up the competition within the market. Wild are a better team. Wolves are at least interesting. And Vikings are getting a new stadium. Much of the corporates signed up for 5 year deals and those are expiring http://www.startribune.com/sports/blogs/279691702.html
  9. tobi0040
    Hopefully a site in MPLS this year, with more fans in attendance.
  10. tobi0040
    I agree with these statements. Even if Hicks loses out in the LF battle this year, I see no reason to cut him. We have given up on too many guys too early.
  11. tobi0040
    I have a feeling LF will come down to Rosario or Hicks. Rosario sure looks like he could play there. Clearly as a former CF he would be a huge defensive upgrade as well
  12. tobi0040
    Odds maybe similar, but if you are going to cut Parmelee...you may as well try and trade him first. Although i am guessing Terry does this regularly and in this case would not find anything.
  13. tobi0040
    I think a year from now we will know if the Santana and Pinto reservations were legit, or a silly Gardy thing. Regarding someone that said we should trade Pinto, all we have done over the last year is scream THIS GUY CANT CATCH. So his value can't be too high right now.
  14. tobi0040
    His OWAR was 1.5 and DWAR was -.5. I generally subscribe to the theory that if a guy can hack it in CF he can hack it in a corner. I also believe that a -.5 in CF would translate to about even in LF. He also only played in 104 games last year. So if you increase his 1.5 oWAR 60% (2.4) and give him a dWAR of 0, you have a nice 2.4 WAR player. The fact that he can play in CF is another fit for this team.
  15. tobi0040
    His numbers the last three years: 2012 - .689 OPS 23, HR, 21 2B 2013 - .840 OPS 22 HR, 26 2B in 118 games 2014 - .735 OPS 18 HR and 23 2B in 104 games The fact that he can play an almost even CF tells me he is probably an above average defensive LF. I would go 3-24 max, be great if we had an option or two on top of it.
  16. tobi0040
    I had to chuckle that you had to specifically call out "trained OF". God bless Ron Gardenhire.
  17. tobi0040
    I don't know how you go from platoon player halfway through the year to $12M a year on a multi-year deal. If someone wants to do that, more power to them.
  18. tobi0040
    If he even comes close to $12M on a multi year deal, the Twins should have no part of it.
  19. tobi0040
    Maybe. Looking at last year as a comp....he isn't going to sniff Choo, Ellsbury, Beltran, or Granderson money. Here is a list of players in the same OPS range (.750): Kelly Johnson .755 1 year, $3M Rajai Davis .697 OPS 2 years, $10M David Dejesus .769 OPS, 2 years, $10M Nate Mcclouth .742 OPS, .2 years, $10M Dave Murphy .768 OPS, 2 years, $12M Now I could not find a good comp as Rasmus is only 28 and these guys are in the 30-32 range. So I think he gets a little more annually and another year. I think he winds up with 3-21 or 3-24. Something in that range.
  20. tobi0040
    If they trade one of those guys and sign Bourjos for LF, I agree with you. But surely some medium ground exists, no? I do see a risk with some of the names, like Bourjos that the worry this year is the defense and next year "we need a better bat in the corners". Colby Rasmus is 28, has a career .750 OPS and a positive career dWAR. He is not going to cost too much. Plenty of ways to get creative and platoon LF as well.
  21. tobi0040
    At the end of the day, if the Twins want take defense seriously, Arcia or Vargas will need to be traded and the other the DH.
  22. tobi0040
    I am not arguing that he did not play sporadically at the MLB level. Your initial argument was dismissive of his first 350 MLB at bats because he was a part time or bench player. My point was that while his MLB at bats were sporadic, he was seeing somewhat regular at bats in those years between the minors and big league clubs....therefore it was not like he was sitting on the bench for a week and playing once and rusty. He was seeing live pitches, etc. and I am not dismissive of almost half of his stats for that reason.
  23. tobi0040
    His AB per year since 2011 combined between the minors and majors are 543, 282 (guessing he was hurt), 353, and 433. His reps this year were not much different than 2011 and 2013. Going back the difference of opinion, I don't think Escobar is at a point that we can count on him at SS, nor should he be preventing Santana from getting reps there, IMO.
  24. tobi0040
    Your comment suggested he was sitting on the bench. He was up here getting regular at bats or grtting them in the minors
  25. tobi0040
    Escobar has averaged about 3 plate appearances a game in every season. So when he has been up he sees somewhat regular action. I just can't look at these 440 at bats and say this is the guy and the other 350 can be dismissed.
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