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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    Seth, What do you think the odds are that plouffe gets traded? I think 60% this offseason. 25% in season I think we want an OF of Rosario-buxton-Kepler by June 1. I don't see Sano out there.
  2. tobi0040
    That was cherry picking on steriods. Kimbrell was the best closer in the game and then tailed off (300+ ERA plus). The market for a 1.3 WAR guy is not 11M.
  3. tobi0040
    I don't like Sano in the OF. Kepler is 23 and tore up AA, now he is blocked by or will have to supplant Rosario to crack this team next year. Rosario was a reason for the resurgence last year I will believe Ryan on opening day when Plouffe is at 3B and Sano in LF
  4. tobi0040
    Good catch. I was looking at Twins ranking, not overall.
  5. tobi0040
    It would be beyond foolish to view Berrios as a reliever. He is 21 and just dominated AA and AAA. He was the #20 overall prospect at midseason and could crack the top ten when the lists come out. Off memory the last Twins pitching prospects to be in the top ten are Garza and Liriano.
  6. tobi0040
    In watching Mauer "run" to first base, the thought of him chasing balls down in the OF makes me cringe. Sano is much faster than people gives him credit for, considerably faster than Mauer. But I think Sano to the OF is a smoke screen. I think Plouffe has played his last game for the Twins.
  7. tobi0040
    Signing a top three reliever would be great, even on a 3 year deal. It would signal a different approach by this front office that would be welcomed by me. You have a top three of Perkins, the FA, and Jepsen. Now you have room for upside arms like Burdi, Reed, and Chargois. I would just side on these young guys stepping up as a plus to an already good pen rather than relying on them to be top 3 type arms.
  8. tobi0040
    Breaking news. As part of this transaction, the expiring contract of Ricky Nolasco has been shipped to Park's Korean team. OK OK, I kid One can hope.
  9. tobi0040
    I would say at 4/24, this is a great roll of the dice. While I don't expect him to fall on his face, if he does this is not a crippling contract by any stretch. I saw an estimate at 4/32 for the contract alone.
  10. tobi0040
    I am not going to do the leg work here, but I bet if you start with pitchers that failed to consistently go 6-8 innings over their first 20 or so starts you could end up with some good starters on that list. Had those teams reached the conclusion, based on that those pitchers weren't going to cut it and moved them to the pen.....
  11. tobi0040
    You beat me to it. 74 IP is not a sample I am going off. His k per 9 of 8.6, FIP of 3.25, ERA+ of 104, plus the eye test....which tells me has as good or better stuff than any other starter we have. Looking at his game log, looks like he had 15 starts. He had between 0-2 ER in 8 of them. 3 ER in three more. He needs to prove he is not one of our five best starters, not the other way around.
  12. tobi0040
    I am not ready to move May to the pen. He has 25 career starts. In 16 last year he had a 4.43 ERA and 7.9 k per 9. If he struggles next year maybe move him. But I still want 200 IP vs. 60 out of the more talented pitchers. We still need to sign a reliever. We can't rely on Perkins being healthy and effective all year 3-4 young guys to step up.
  13. tobi0040
    Very good article SD. I liked the position by position look. I think we need two good bullpen guys. I hope we have learned the lesson about buying them on the cheap. I hope we don't add a starter. Barring a collapse by May in ST, I hope he is in the rotation. He should be a lock IMO. I also would like to see a platoon pickup, a guy that can float between INF and OF and rips apart right handed pitching. I still do see Plouffe getting traded.
  14. tobi0040
    Right. I get that three is more than two. But the initial poster said a team can pull guys back at that point. It is possible that a team has that right but does not exercise it. Probably moot anyways per Spycake's post.
  15. tobi0040
    That doesn't neccesarly mean it is not true. The Astros may have not really cared about the other two. Or been happy that another org was giving them a shot.
  16. tobi0040
    Gotcha. I would think if he got drafted we would be able to get him back or work out a trade down the road. Agreed on the talent.
  17. tobi0040
    Isn't the likelihood that Jorge gets drafted and sticks on an MLB roster all year a real long shot? He repeated low A as a 21 year old after being rocked the year before. His ERA was under 3.00, but he struck out just 7.2 per 9. I think he would get eaten up in the big leagues right now.
  18. tobi0040
    The Capps for Ramos deal didn't make sense because it was near a wash talent-wise, but you traded a position that you can easily get on the FA market (reliever) for one that you can't. I feel like this is the same in reverse. We moved a position of depth for us and around the league for probably the position with the least.
  19. tobi0040
    I agree, Hicks was never going to be an above average corner OF in this league. It is a position of great depth, both in our system and easy to find on the FA market. Ryan will be an upgrade, both offensively and defesively for us. We have no depth or talent there, anywhere in our system. So I would say on margin, I like the deal. An OPS of even .700 would represent a huge boost for us. It seems realistic given his career .685 OPS from ages 22-24. I think he comes with an extra year or two of control as well. A team typically goes from .500 to a contender with several smart moves that seem small. But when you pull a few of them together you have something.
  20. tobi0040
    This is where I am at too. Hicks was probably the or one of the worst players in the big leagues in 2013 and 2014. His "breakout" 2015 was a .721 OPS, which was below the .734 OPS Ryan put up as a catcher. We have plenty of OF depth and zero catcher depth. I am guessing Terry has talked to MIL about Lucroy, SD about Hedges, etc and found the asking price was really, really high. High to the point where these boards would have been irate had we went through with it. So we got a bat that is equal or better at a position in need. I sense a little dissapointment in the upgrade at catcher, but that is the reality of the position IMO.
  21. tobi0040
    The reality is stud 24 year old catchers don't get made available much. We certainly weren't getting one on a 1-1 deal with Aaron HIcks.
  22. tobi0040
    He posted a WAR of 3.9 two years ago and 2.5 this year. This is a thin position. So a top 10-15 bat and top 10 defensive player there has value.
  23. tobi0040
    I am not as concerned about 3-4 years for Weiters. We have Suzuki another year and he is not good. But when you look out 2-4 years, we got nothing. So even a declining/aging Weiters is likely gonig to be an upgrade. AJ does not address the lack of talent the organization has there
  24. tobi0040
    I think that is fair, or two guys in the 50-100 range. A few years back, some of the expectations on these boards about what we would get back for trading Willingham were a top 50 prospect. And that is a position with more of a supply, unlike catcher.
  25. tobi0040
    Arcia could not stick on our team last year. Most teams have probably concluded, like the Twins that he simply cannot play in the OF. So I think he holds minimal value, if any to all NL teams. And his career .614 against lefties makes him at this point a platoon DH. He would be a throw in project on a deal that I don't think holds a lot of value.
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