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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    So keeping Plouffe when a cheaper player is available is evidence they are not cheap....but letting young players come up is a smart conservative strategy. And Hicks and $10M Hunter will likely be backfilled by cheaper players.
  2. tobi0040
    I just don't think Terry can deviate from his tendencies. We can talk all get excited that the young guys are coming, or we will turn around Abad because we saw that he was tipping his pitches, but these seem like excuses to use the same strategy. I can't remember a single bullpen addition in free agency that was over $4M annually or a 2 year deal. This is a team that has won several division titles in the last 15 years and we haven't found one player in free agency that could help those teams get over the hump that required $4M or a two year deal. Regarding the young guys. Melotakis didn't pitch last year. Burdi and Chargois have limited time above A ball (43 IP for Burdi and 33 for Chargois). Both struggled with control when they were above A ball, Burdi had a 6.6 BB rate and Chargois had a 5.5 rate. I just don't see Terry moving guys like this quick. Most metrics had our pen about 23rd last year. We are an injury or two away from the worst pen in the league.
  3. tobi0040
    I see a team that tries to piece together a Pen from April and June and hope and pray guys emerge. That was the plan last year and we had to trade for Jepsen when it failed. It just seems like such a meager investment to me. Really a no-brainer. And unfortunately the games in April count the same
  4. tobi0040
    The issue is Hughes, Gibson, and Santana have spots locked down. Milone is a middle of the road, nice to have. We want to see what we have in Duffey. And then you have Berrios and May who could be better than all the rest. I just don't think we have that level of talent in the pen. We may, but Burdi really struggled last year. Melotakis hasn't pitched much, etc
  5. tobi0040
    I just could not disagree with this more. His salary is set in stone whether he plays or not. The Twins should start the best players in an attempt to maximize wins. And Chris Young was paid 2-11. So I am not sure a few good starts makes Nolasco's contract a commodity.
  6. tobi0040
    I hope you are wrong about Nolasco. I just don't see a team see 5-6 good starts out of him and then want to take on that contract, given what he has done the last 2 years. That would seem a very dilusional, wishful thinking. I am not saying we won't start him and hope for it though.
  7. tobi0040
    This is pretty convincing. And Berrios has 130 innings at AA and 78 at AAA. So I am not sure the guy needs a ton of seasoning . And he strikes me as the type of guy that is at least as mentally strong as other fast risers in the past.
  8. tobi0040
    Nothing to really lose there, good call. Give him 10 starts or so to thorw some pitches and tell him the plen is to move him back to the pen. If he is lighting the world on fire, then maybe that changes.
  9. tobi0040
    The good news is gonsalves, jay, kohl, and Jorge won't be blocked by anyone in AA
  10. tobi0040
    A lefty is one of the needs. But we really needed to add one guy that was in the Jepsen range, or better.
  11. tobi0040
    Here are the pen's stats from last year. 23rd in WAR. 21st in ERA. 24th in FIP. 28th in xFIP. 30th in k per 9. That is pretty glaring to me, especially when the best reliever has been hurt down the stretch the last two years. Heck, if you take the Royals 2.72 ERA and our 3.95 ERA and assume the pen averages 3 innings a game, then we spot them .4 runs every game. By comparison, our offense was 13th in run scored. Our starters were 13th in WAR and 15th in ERA
  12. tobi0040
    A LOOGY is nice for the LH bopper in the 7th or 8th inning. We could not possibly use Perkins outside of a save situation.
  13. tobi0040
    The will to add talent to the pen, while strong among TD readers, is simply not there for the Twins. There hasn't been so much as smoke to anyone out there. I don't consider a one year offer for 3-4M to bastardo smoke.
  14. tobi0040
    Seth, Try hunting down Kyle Lohse! I could not resist. I generally agree with you though
  15. tobi0040
    Jham, I don't think Jones's bat would be a bad thing. He had a career 775 OPS. Time will tell if Rosario is a plus defender in left. I think he will always have plus range relative to others in left. His arm is obviously plus, with 15 assists in Not even a full season. Regarding 2B, any left fielder would have a better bat at 2B. But my understanding is it didn't work out.
  16. tobi0040
    This guy is a keeper. 20 HR 35 2B threat. He had a higher dWar per game than Alex Gordon and almost the same UZR last year.
  17. tobi0040
    If Buxton makes this team, Arcia is a no brainer 4th OF (Sano and Rosario in corners). Buxton is going to play every day, but you have Rosario, Santana, and Escobar that could play CF. Arcia should get 30 games in the OF if everyone is healthy all year. 20 at 1b and 30 at DH. Then he is the best bench bat I can remember half the time.
  18. tobi0040
    Love the humor. Never heard of David Ortiz though.
  19. tobi0040
    Thrylos, I too still think we are trading Plouffe. I think the back up trade is lined up, but the return is not good. But it will happen before Sano and Arica are in the OF To the Arcia comment, the question is long term, does his bat make up for his glove? If you take 160 games across his defensive WAR thus far he loses you 3 games a year on defense. I think the Twins think the other options (buxton, Rosario, Kepler, etc) will eventually be better overall players.
  20. tobi0040
    I really hope you are wrong. Rosario played CF for 15 games last year and 40 in 2014. Flanking him is a guy who has not played a single game out there. On the other side, we have a guy with a really bad track record. In 202 games in the OF, Arcia has a dWAR of -3.7.
  21. tobi0040
    I am not arguing that California and Germany are equals in terms of baseball. The disagreement we have is by the time Hicks arrived with the Twins at 18, Kepler had been here for two years and played professional ball for two seasons. The Twins through resources at him. That two year period would have caught him up to at least some extent. So I think the two could be compared. Not a perfect comparison but one nonetheless
  22. tobi0040
    I don't know that Kepler's youth would have a huge impact. Sure it was different than Hicks, but Kepler was playing in national tourney's as a 14 year old and signed as a 16 year old. So he had two additional years under the Twins watch from a training perspective, instruction, etc. He effectively had two years of rookie league ball under his belt by the time Hicks was drafted as a high school player.
  23. tobi0040
    And Dellin Betances (6-8), Harang (6-7), Wainwright (6-7), Pineda (6-7) http://www.therichest.com/sports/baseball-sports/top-10-tallest-mlb-players-in-2014/?view=all
  24. tobi0040
    "Max Kepler was the Twins minor league hitter of the year in 2015 when he finally had that breakout season we’ve all been hoping for". In looking through Kepler’s numbers, he has some parallels to Hicks. The Twins were really high on him and he never really produced like they expected. Than he had one good year (2012) and boom, he was on the team the next year. Kepler had a decent 2012 but it was only 59 games. Then he was pretty pedestrian in 2013 and 2014. Now he had a great year last year (Better statistically than Hicks in 2012). I just hope it isn’t like Hicks where we say, aha, we were right the whole time. This is the guy we knew we had all along. Now let’s give him a MLB roster spot. I would hope we see another two months of dominance in AAA before handing him anything.
  25. tobi0040
    That is great to hear. Thanks for your input.
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