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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    Those numbers seem a bit high. Where did you get them from?
  2. nytwinsfan
    Why does he draw Alex Gordon comps?
  3. nytwinsfan
    This is a great Baseball America list of ten upside talents left for round 3. Hope the Twins take one, or someone else with that kind of upside. Hooper and Matuella (as Seth noted) would probably be pretty hard to sign, but the rest sound really exciting. http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/2015-draft-best-remaining-prospects-day-two/
  4. nytwinsfan
    This is a great article at Baseball America, about ten great players in the draft still around for Round 3. Most of these would be tough to sign, and some (Hooper) very tough, but I'd love to see the Twins pick one of them in the fifth pick of the 3rd round: http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/2015-draft-best-remaining-prospects-day-two/ I think I read somewhere that the Twins consider their minor league system relatively "full" and that they didn't plan to take a player in quite a few rounds. Hopefully that will free up a bit of extra cash to sign one or two higher-upside players.
  5. nytwinsfan
    Cody is a good high-upside pick and a nice call by you Jeremy. At 3 I'd like to see HS OFs Alonzo Jones (80-speed) or Demi Orimoloye (raw tool shed) or HS pitchers Mac Marshall or Jacob Nix (Houston's high-upside failed gambles from last year).
  6. nytwinsfan
    Kiley McDaniel too. Interesting, all the mocks are pointing to Tate or Jay, but Kiley says (and I think Jeremy would agree) that Tucker and Bregman are still in the mix (although Bregman much less likely to fall). I'd take any of them over Cameron.
  7. nytwinsfan
    My Board (based completely off things others have written and snippets of video, not any actual scouting): (1) Swanson (2) Rodgers (3) Bregman (4) Tate (5) Tucker (6) Jay
  8. nytwinsfan
    Bob, agreed, but Clark also wouldn't ask for over-slot money, and I've read accounts that he has superb makeup and was the clubhouse leader on Team USA (something I could see the Twins taking into account). Jeremy, do you think Clark would be willing to go $500 k to $1 million under slot? I'd clearly prefer Tucker (or Tate or Jay) but if the three SS and Tucker are off the board, and the Twins are not sold on Tate and/or Jay, I'd honestly prefer Clark under-slot to Cameron over-slot. I'm probably in the minority there, but when I read about the players and their tools, I don't see why Cameron is worth the extra $1.5-$2 million that could be spent on higher upside picks at 73 and 80.
  9. nytwinsfan
    Woooh. Is this an attempt to gain leverage over Cameron, serious interest, or just due diligence? I mean, on paper Clark sounds similar to Cameron. I actually always wondered why Cameron was thought higher of, when Clark's speed and hit tool were ranked as high or higher by some.
  10. nytwinsfan
    Really hope we get Tate, Tucker, Bregman, or Jay (assuming we won't get Swanson or Rodgers for sure). Don't prefer Cameron or Allard.
  11. nytwinsfan
    I have the same temptation to avoid Cameron because of how Gordon has played so far this year, but I think that it is a mistake both because (1) Gordon isn't really playing that bad for a 19-year old shortstop with (from all reports) advanced defense (his isolated discipline is actually pretty good -- the power will come with maturity), and (2) Cameron isn't Gordon, despite the similar narrative. That being said, from what I've read, I would choose Bregman (unlikely to be available) Jay, Tate, or Tucker before Cameron, even if signability were not a problem for Cameron. But if those guys are all gone, I'd be happy with Cameron.
  12. nytwinsfan
    Yup. Right there. Exactly. As for Mauer, I wonder if it makes sense at some point, possibly sooner rather than later, for him to stop trying to pull the ball so much. It was certainly worth a shot, but right now the difference between Mauer as a .675 OPS hitter and a .750 OPS hitter is a big one that could really help this team.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Just realized Trevor May's FIP according to Baseball Reference is 2.80. Wow. Yes please. Although xFIP is 3.54 according to Fangraphs. Not as amazing, but still decent.
  14. nytwinsfan
    I probably agree with you about the 2016 starting and backup outfield (Buxton/Arcia/Hicks), with Rosario as 4th, although I wonder if Hicks shouldn't end up being the 4th outfielder. Hicks has superior on base skills to Rosario, but with Rosario's higher average it might not be a much higher on base rate for Hicks, and Rosario probably has the edge at Power. Plus unlike Hicks, Rosario hasn't had large splits. If things continue the way they are going now for Hicks and Rosario, or even if Hicks picks things up a little bit, I'd start Rosario and have Hicks sub in for Arcia against lefties, when Buxton needs a day off in center, or late in games when the Twins are ahead by a few runs. I also think that Kepler, Walker and Harrison will all be possible options by mid-season next year, if not earlier. Given that, I'm skeptical that it will make sense to keep Arcia as an outfielder for much longer. If his hitting improves above what it was in 2014 for the rest of this year and early next year, I would consider him as a DH (competing with Vargas for that spot). But I just don't think it makes sense to have an outfielder with Arcia's (lack of) defensive ability in 2015, at a field with as much space as Target Field. If he won't cut it at DH for us (i.e., it becomes Vargas or even Plouffe/Sano is a better option) then I would trade him sometime next year.
  15. nytwinsfan
    Agreed Nick. The Twins shouldn't (and I don't think Terry Ryan will) even slightly mortgage their future at the trade deadline. If they are trading a future piece that is not ready for another future piece that is or is almost ready, and the values are close, then fine. But we shouldn't be trading a top-10 prospect for one or even two years of some aging veteran that will very marginally increase our odds of success down the stretch or in the playoffs.
  16. nytwinsfan
    #%€? Yeah!
  17. nytwinsfan
    Thanks Parker. This is kind of the elephant in the room. Hughes seems confident he can regain last year's level of performance, and I really hope I can.
  18. nytwinsfan
    Yes, it is 2015, someone somewhere must have video of that ITPHR. Please please submit it.
  19. nytwinsfan
    Give Hicks another week or two, and if he doesn't fall off a cliff, call him up.
  20. nytwinsfan
    Big, important question: How does Polanco's defense compare with Santana's at SS? Most of the knocks I've heard on Polanco's SS defense relate to his arm, not his quickness or hands. Because it seems like at least until Gordon is ready, which could be 3-4 years easily, those are the best two options at SS (Goodrum might be a dark horse candidate), and Polanco's better BB% and K% seem to clearly make him a higher upside hitter than Santana. UPDATE: Check out Jokin's report on Polanco's arm and defense here: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/18044-the-chattanooga-lookouts-you-cant-stop-them-you-cant-even-hope-to-contain-them/ Sounds like he may be the SS of the future.
  21. nytwinsfan
    Folks, I hate to be the bearer of good news, but in his last 10 games, Sano is hitting .265/.381/.588 (.969) with 3 HRs, 7 BB and 9 Ks. Needless to say, that is the kind of production we would LOVE to have from him at AA. Perhaps not coincidentally, this string of production started only slightly after Dougie kept him out of the lineup for a few games to work on some mechanics. Between Buxton and Sano, it sure does seem like Mientkiewicz and his team know what they are doing.
  22. nytwinsfan
    Very high praise from Fangraphs' Kiley McDaniel for Berrios' start last night. Very excited and hope he can make it to the big leagues by late summer.
  23. nytwinsfan
    Walker's slugging is up a bit. His 2014 line: .246 .307 .436 His 2015 is : .247 .299 .551 Although generally each point of OBP is worth more than each point of slugging (thus the problem with using OPS for anything other than a rough estimate of a hitter's ability), a .008 lower OBP is still way more than made up for by a .115 higher slugging percentage. In other words Walker looks great so far.
  24. nytwinsfan
    I like the idea, but I think the Brewers will soon be in rebuilding mode, if they are not already. They aren't going to be targeting someone like Plouffe.
  25. nytwinsfan
    As much as some will see this as diss/message to Aaron Hicks, I think it is mostly a result of Molitor needing a leftie outfield bat and not trusting Hicks from that side of the plate. That being said: Hicks (2015) LH v. RH: .286 .349 .464 (.813) Rosario (2015) LH v. RH: .217 .266 .367 (.632)
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