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nytwinsfan

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Everything posted by nytwinsfan

  1. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, I lean against an extension, especially when you have a likely solid 2nd Baseman in Polanco or (if Santana sticks at short) Gordon waiting in the wings. Obviously if the terms are good enough and you can lock him at a good rate then sure, but I have a bad premonition of an untradeable, fading (with age) unnecessary Dozier in 2018.
  2. nytwinsfan
    I don't see a reasonable scenario under which this happens this year. If everything goes right, maybe in 2016.
  3. nytwinsfan
    Uggh, Sano in the outfield. Yes, I know he is athletic and quick, for his size, but still, come on.
  4. nytwinsfan
    I know what blue collar literally means, but I still don't think it makes any sense in combination with what was clearly a shot (hopefully friendly) at Berrios.
  5. nytwinsfan
    I was with him until the blue collar thing. If Berrios comes from a wealthy family, that's news to me. Or maybe he meant something else by that. Anyway, that part was strange.
  6. nytwinsfan
    Completely agree Nick. I have nothing further to add.
  7. nytwinsfan
    No, because that would compromise his journalistic integrity. Plus they can read them here for free!
  8. nytwinsfan
    His BABIP dropped a lot in the last two months. It was .305, .310, .333, and .358 in April through July, respectively, and then .261 and .288 in August and September, respectively. Even though the latter two months are closer to his career BABIP, if line drives were driving his increased output last year, and they remained at the same level in the latter half of the season, as Parker says, that suggests some amount of bad luck was involved too. Also, don't you mean his BB/K rate, not K/BB ratio?
  9. nytwinsfan
    Cough cough, Andrew Susac (see my post above). Although I don't think we should give up on Pinto quite yet.
  10. nytwinsfan
    I don't understand why that follows, at all. Even very good pitchers pitch lots of balls on or close to the border of the strike zone. Having a good pitch framer may make some of those strikes that would have otherwise been balls; same as for a "stinky" pitcher. At very very most, pitch framing might add slightly more value for a mediocre pitcher who can't locate in the zone as consistently. But that is not at all clear. Some bad and mediocre pitchers are bad and mediocre because they throw too many meatballs over the center or near-center of the plate while better pitchers paint the corners, knees, and belt. Under that scenario, a good pitch framer could end up helping a good pitcher more than a mediocre or bad pitcher. That being said, I don't think that pitch framing is the end all of catcher value (or that the current ways of measuring it are perfect), and I do agree that Pinto should be given a decent chance to show his defensive ability, because his offensive upside is significant.
  11. nytwinsfan
    Seems like we should be clear on what measures we're discussing regression. From a BB%, K%, HR% and FIP perspective, I think most of us agree he is likely to regress somewhat (although hopefully not too much!). From an ERA perspective though, it is completely reasonable that he might improve, given better outfield defense throughout the year (although even with getting rid of YesPig, with Hunter now, that is not a given). I only say this because different people evaluate how good a pitcher is on different metrics. So people who give more credence to the former stats (myself included) may say Hughes is very likely to regress, while people who focus on ERA, innings pitched, and even W-L might be more likely to say he's not a big regression candidate. That being said, I'm still a big fan of the extension, even though I think he is likely to regress. If he even comes close to what he did last year in 2017, 2018, and/or 2019, it will have been worth it.
  12. nytwinsfan
    Let's trade with Giants for Andrew Susac. I hear they need a legit 3rd basemen, so maybe Plouffe for Susac before the trade deadline? Depending on how Plouffe's and Susac's years are going, we might need to throw in a prospect as well.
  13. nytwinsfan
    Santana. I think he will regress a bit (or more) at the plate, but especially after moving to shortstop, still provide the most value.
  14. nytwinsfan
    I wouldn't extend either, and certainly not Plouffe. I would understand it if they extend Dozier, but I wouldn't. I'd much rather wait a year or two and extend younger players like Arcia or Santana (assuming they continue to perform). Plouffe and Dozier have probable cheap upgrades in Sano and Polanco on the way.
  15. nytwinsfan
    I really hope not with Plouffe, and would prefer not for Dozier either. Let's see how Dozier does next year, and also how Polanco does. By 2016 or 2017 Polanco might end up being a cheaper, better fielding, better hitting/OBP version of Dozier, albeit with less power.
  16. nytwinsfan
    Yeah, there is a good chance he will regress a bit in terms of peripherals (K%, BB%, and HR%), but his BABIP was actually not that great last year, which could partly or fully counteract the regression in peripherals, especially in 2016 and after, when we (hopefully) have a much better outfield defense anchored by Mr. Buxton. So I definitely really like this deal. Certainly better than the Santana deal which itself was decent.
  17. nytwinsfan
    Speaking of prospects, this guy won't be on the list until the 3rd installment, but holy crap does he look jacked: https://twitter.com/JOlaMaquina/status/545632902445551617 Someone's been working out this offseason.
  18. nytwinsfan
    I don't understand the assumption that we will be able to trade them "down the line." Whether it is because they collapse, like Nolasco, because we overpaid, or because of just normal age-related decline, it is a big and unjustified assumption that we will be able to trade veteran starters a few years later when they are 34 or35 and are attached to a $12-18 million a year salary.
  19. nytwinsfan
    I mean, if his shoulder fully recovers, then he probably has a lot of upside. If not, maybe still a long reliever?
  20. nytwinsfan
    Parker, any thoughts on Rosario's outfield defense (range, instincts, etc.)? I know he doesn't have Buxton-level D, but is he at Hicks's level? He would undoubtedly be an improvement on Willingham, Colabello, or Parmalee, but by how much? It seems to me that if his defense is well above average for corner outfield, then maybe we can live with his lack of power and OBP, at least in the short run until someone (Kepler, Walker?) with more power but still decent D is ready to replace him.
  21. nytwinsfan
    Completely agree, but unfortunately that is pretty far from the way Terry Ryan views things.
  22. nytwinsfan
    100% agree. What Twins need is upside, not a fifth 4-5 starter. The heck with Masterson. If all we are going to get is a 4.50 ERA, might as well have that spot taken by Meyer or May (or later Berrios). With Anderson, we get either a 3.25-3.50 ERA (which is worth not starting Meyer or May) or an injury (in which case Meyer or May).
  23. nytwinsfan
    I mostly agree, but the Twins are advancing in this department, despite being behind the curve, and bringing on Molitor should help a lot in this regard.
  24. nytwinsfan
    Fantastic.
  25. nytwinsfan
    Thank you.
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