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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    I always forget that one.......how about, TR doesn't do it much? Not sure why I always forget that one. That's all off topic, though. I like the list, and it is probably better than previous lists in this range, but no one screams they are making the majors (other than Hu.....) as an everyday player or starting pitcher. There are players here, imo, that will be on rosters for multiple years though. If only we could accurately predict which of them.....
  2. Mike Sixel
    I'm talking prospects in general, not this list. This team has pretty much never traded a legit prospect for a proven MLB player, with the exception of Shannon Stewart, I think. It is the concept of trading prospects I'm talking about, not this part of the list. If you have the "deepest system", you have an excess to trade from.
  3. Mike Sixel
    It's about money.....not about a 70 year old baseball player, or a 50-60 year old manager. It is about money. that's where FAs go, money.
  4. Mike Sixel
    that's kind of our point, birdwatcher.....those prospects look better now, but those other prospects looked good in the past. MOST prospects don't work out, so quit being afraid to trade them for actual MLB players.......
  5. Mike Sixel
    Doesn't matter, he should never manage again......
  6. Mike Sixel
    BTW, whoever said they should be like the Wild (sign elite players, make a minor trade or two, and develop players better), I agree 100%. But, I have ZERO expectation they'll sign elite players....ZERO. TR doesn't believe in it, and the Pohlads like their money too much.
  7. Mike Sixel
    I always thought he was "pro Cuban", not "pro Cuban exile in the USA", so in some ways, that could actually help get actual Cubans around......so I didn't miss it, we just see it from different sides.
  8. Mike Sixel
    If you have "the deepest system in baseball, with numerous guys in the top 100", you have a surplus to deal from.
  9. Mike Sixel
    I have always loved Kepler, but the results have not matched the talent yet. At some point, the production needs to be there..... Walker strikes out a lot, no idea how far he can go because of that. He's going to have to really hit the ball hard to make up for that, imo. Lots of line drives that can't be caught.... I'd bump Hu in front of both of them, I think. Not sure I'd change anything else, this is a list of either high upside guys that have not produced a lot (either over time, or because they haven't been here long), or guys that have good production, but seem to have lower upside. It is a nice list though.
  10. Mike Sixel
    Not. Tomas is going to cost a ton of money, and it will be about money, not Guillen.....
  11. Mike Sixel
    From fangraphs: Twins ranked 4th in Bsr...... Twins ranked 8th in wRC+.... So on offense and baserunning, they are darn good this last year.... Twins ranked 4th worst in defense 2nd worst ERA, 2nd worst xFIP, Sounds like Molitor did his job ok to me.....and like TR did not (given he signed 3 FA starters). The issue with this team is pretty obvious (and begs the question, why not try Meyer, instead of say, Swarzak, or most anyone).
  12. Mike Sixel
    Right, I should have just gone ranges right away......but didn't. Alas.
  13. Mike Sixel
    It also assumes that the mid range tickets somehow reflect the actual "average" value of tickets sold. I don't know if that assumption is valid or not. Whatever, I don't care about the revenue. It is icing on the cake to the other stuff.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Kick him to AAA. I don't care about the money, they are flush in money (well, the Twins are, the Pohlads might actually have to pay some taxes.....).
  15. Mike Sixel
    Ha, slightly different sources, but very similar numbers....
  16. Mike Sixel
    Just checked, it is about $45 per person in KC....so new number: $9,477,000---still real money, but not a ton more.
  17. Mike Sixel
    Correct, they will sell even more tickets even next year, probably. so, in addition to all the other stuff I typed, they are making more money.....
  18. Mike Sixel
    2600x75*81=15,795,000---that is a goodly amount of revenue. *I chose $75 as a guess for food, tickets, parking, hats, whatever.....
  19. Mike Sixel
    They would only have 4 years left of Myers at this point..... Would the RF for the last two years play if Myers was there? Would the Royals pitchers have the same size delta in FIP and ERA with Myers out there? Are you sure the delta between Myers and the RF they will have the next 4 years is really big? Not having Myers means someone else plays RF, and unlike the Twins, the Royals put legit OF out there after making their trade, not Aaron Hicks. IMO, people aren't looking at ALL the things that happened/happen when a trade is made. They got relevant. they made the playoffs. they replaced Myers with legit MLB player(s) they would likely only have Myers four more years after this, if he turns into a superstar, if not, then the trade looks even better they also got a RP in the trade, not just Shields
  20. Mike Sixel
    IF I read that right, Rasmus is much, much better than Hicks.....Rasmus had 3 positive defensive WAR years (on fangrapsh), and 3 negative. How many positive does Hicks have so far? None. Rasmus' offense is worth A LOT more than Hicks' offense. Don't forget, WAR is a counting stat....so the more Hicks plays, the worse his WAR. I think you need to double Hicks dWAR score to make it close to comparable, maybe triple it.
  21. Mike Sixel
    For those on the "what a mistake by KC side"......do you place no value on them being relevant last year, and in the playoffs next year? If they aren't relevant last year, and not in the playoffs this year, but then, say, make the playoffs for 4 years until they have to trade Myers because he was so valuable.....is that really better? Are you really sure they make the playoffs with Myers? His defense does NOT fit their strategy, for example. Don't forget, they got a bullpen arm that has helped them too. Everyone talks about this like it was 4:1.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Fear of making change because it might kill the long term is not a good approach to life, imo. As pointed out many times, what if the Twins had traded all those highly ranked prospects that never panned out for proven MLB players? Like, I don't know, Hicks for Cliff Lee back in the day? There is much more certainty about time that is closer to now. As you move further into the future, random variation becomes more pronounced in its effect (like injuries, for example). IMO, teams in all sports undervalue the present for a future that may never come. Would anyone have predicted Mauer and Morneau would suffer concussions, meaning the Twins might/probably would have been better off trying to close the deal when they were both healthy (because you know they are healthy). As an example, the Patriots keep trading their first rounders for more picks in the future (and letting FA leave, and trading good veterans), but that means the return on Tom Brady is lower and lower than it could have been. Where would they be the last few years if they had drafted more of their first round picks, and not traded Mankins and let Welker leave? I'd guess much better.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Being old does not mean you cannot relate to younger people.......so I'd not automatically preclude an older person.
  24. Mike Sixel
    Hicks, to me, continued to show he can't hit, so if "did he prove anything", do you mean "did he continue to prove he can't hit", then yes. Hicks should be in AAA next year.
  25. Mike Sixel
    Having never interviewed, met, or even discussed any of these people before, this post seems a bit silly, but whatever......also, I am not a fan of Ryan making this decision. I just don't feel he is at all "hip" to how baseball teams are managed from the FO to the field in this era. I want a team that believes that people in the FO can help the field staff, that the strategies of types of players and tactical decisions are aligned, etc. I don't get that vibe from Ryan at all. I think I recall reading that Jake Mauer sacrifice bunted in early innings this year......if so, I have no interest in him. I think Dave Martinez makes a ton of sense. He's been sitting next to a pretty good manager for a while, he speaks Spanish (I think speaking it is an improvement), and I think KLAW tweeted yesterday that he hears very good things about him. My second choice would be someone that coaches/manages for a team that understands the stuff I typed above, about the FO and field staff being aligned, about using modern analytics to inform decisions, about a willingness to try new and innovative approaches to the game. My next choice is dougie baseball, except I refuse to learn how to spell his last name....and I have no rational reason for this choice, frankly. Here ends my nearly completely uniformed post advising Mr. Ryan what to do....
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