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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    Spring training stats vs his minor league career and scouting? I hope not.
  2. Mike Sixel
    I am a Garver believer. Free Garver!
  3. Mike Sixel
    Gordon is in the top 100 prospects nationally, yet is constantly discredited on this site. Never got that. As for defense, I was thinking about this in the shower this morning.... you're welcome for the visual....as athletes get bigger and faster, they will cover more of the field, just as basketball players do the court. Defensive deltas will therefore shrink, because the field is effectively smaller. That's my theory
  4. Mike Sixel
    Plus it is possible teams are finally figuring out $/WAR should not be linear....meaning the correction for 1-2 WAR players is real. At least under this CBA.
  5. Mike Sixel
    Morrison didn't......
  6. Mike Sixel
    Or, he starts in AA apparently.
  7. Mike Sixel
    Rooker has to move slowly. Which I think is likely. Joe has to be at least as good as last year, which still saw him as a below median 1B, but not by a lot. I think this is fifty fifty. Joe has to take a huge pay cut. I think this is likely. No right handed DH or first baseman is available that is clearly better. Very likely. Sano can stay at third. Very likely. By my math, that makes it around forty percent.
  8. Mike Sixel
    That might be the most cherry picked ever. Why can't we just look at runs created, or Ops, or something that is close to measuring the outcomes he produced?
  9. Mike Sixel
    Thorpe, Romero, Gonsalves.....one of those will be good, one ok, and the other is a wild card. Those are the odds. And, they are 1-2 years away, imo. that doesn't even count all the other wild cards they have, one of which might work out. I like these moves, I just don't think the pitching is as fixed in the near term as some seem to, that's all. And, none of those three are recent adds to the system. I'm still waiting for that add that I believe in as much as one of those three. Admittedly, I could be underselling some options.....I'm just a random dude on the 'net.
  10. Mike Sixel
    I don't know anything, but here is what is likely: ESan is retired in 2 years, or not that good. Gibson is gone. About 1/3 of the upper minors' starters turn out to be really good Odorizzi is gone Our Yankee pitcher is gone That leaves some holes in the rotation, since a team needs 8-10 starters every year, not five. It's been a very good off season. Other than signing Darvish, it is hard to see how it could be better. But, for years people have told me you can't successfully fill multiple holes in free agency. Now that I'm agreeing, I'm somehow wrong, or hating, or something. I've been 100% clear. It's been a good off season.
  11. Mike Sixel
    Not really. The delta between a bad and a good 1B is tiny, at least that's what the data implies at the stat's driven sites, and what they've typed up in many articles and answers in threads. I am not worried about Sano yet, in terms of on field play. As for the backups/pipeline.....it's not pretty unless they move a SS, which did not seem to be addressed here at all.
  12. Mike Sixel
    I see no one hating on the short term deals. Not me. What I've said is they'll need to do the same in two years. But I don't see anyone hating the short term deals. to answer the Darvish or this question, I'd rather have Darvish. Darvish plus three players probably is more wins than the four players they are paying the Darvish money.
  13. Mike Sixel
    I literally praised the moves, just said I'm not willing to crown them yet.... Literally praised the moves.
  14. Mike Sixel
    I don't see the word luck anywhere in my post. I'm suggesting it isn't easy to be successful signing short term deals year after year. That's been the contention of this site since it was founded, and I'm agreeing. Maybe they have a secret formula that has never worked in MLB before, but I'm not willing to draw that conclusion already. If others are, no skin off my nose.
  15. Mike Sixel
    These are short term deals. They have to do the same thing next year or the year after. This is one nice of season, I'm not ready to crown them yet. But, it is a nice of season!
  16. Mike Sixel
    Right. No one noticed his start....
  17. Mike Sixel
    I applaud the effort this front office had made to improve the team. I have no idea what to expect from any of these pitchers, but I am confident we won't see as many terrible starts as recent years. With luck and health, this team should be in the wild card hunt all year.
  18. Mike Sixel
    So much wrong with this post, it hurts the brain.
  19. Mike Sixel
    Teams that tried that last year...... Had worse pitching results. There is a fangraphs article about this.
  20. Mike Sixel
    On topic.... Dozier is really good. I am sure the dodgers regret not offering more for him. He is likely good this year, but age will catch up to him at some point. I would guess he has two good years left after this one, then tails off. I would be good with a two year deal, anything beyond that seems to be too much, given the context of the whole team, and Polanco, Gordon, and Lewis, not to mention others. If Gordon is really good in AAA,I would take the chance of letting Dozier go, if they plan to spend the money on a really good player. But if they don't think they can get such a player, I probably try hard to bring him back. I've been thinking about this more, if Gordon plus others brings back an elite player, I am more inclined to do that than I thought. But that will take him being great in AAA, at which point you have to decide if he's a three WAR player over time.... All in all, good problems to have.
  21. Mike Sixel
    I don't get the Aybar signing. He can't hit or field. I would prefer someone that can do one or both. As for leadership.... They have no rookies, and few second year players. How many "veterans" do they still need? I just hope if kinley is bad, or not trusted, they move on quickly. It's a good roster. Not sure it is great, but it is good.
  22. Mike Sixel
    I'm relatively sure trout is paid for more than OBP. There are many measures of offense that take everything into account. Mauer is decent compared to other first basemen, not in the top half even. Joe was a great player, he's not anymore. I hope the front office puts the best team on the field, and if Mauer is part of that after this year, great. But odds at low, imo.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Morrison is the bridge to the future. Joe is going to have to be at least as good, if not better, than last year to be worth keeping around relative to likely other options, either at DH or first. Morrison outhit Joe last year, look what he got paid
  24. Mike Sixel
    Mauer would be vastly overpaid, compared to other first baseman, at more than around six to eight million. Plus, the team has good replacement in Morrison and maybe Sano, already in the roster. From an in the field perspective, it is hard to see them bringing him back without more hitting. I do like the depth this year a lot. If Rooker moves off of first, I don't love the prospects as much as others. But, first basemen seem findable....
  25. Mike Sixel
    Service time manipulation happens less with pitchers, since they have injury issues more often, and they, generally, lose pitching velocity younger than most think. That said, I doubt he makes the roster out of the gate for many other reasons.
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