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Jham

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Everything posted by Jham

  1. Jham
    The old twins never negotiated contracts midseason. I'd look to extend some guys. But if an nl contender wanted to trade for Castro? If we could get a King's ransom for Odo or Gibby? If we wanted to bring up Kiriloff or roll with Arraez and teams wanted Sano or Schoop more than they wanted Dozier but less than Machado? If we're concerned Cruz's wrist will linger and have doubts about picking up his option, but teams are calling? Right now, it appears that we don't need everyone in order to win. We traded Pressley last year even though we needed him. And Garcia the year before. I think we'll trade prospects to upgrade the pen. I think we'll look to add starters with control and shed a starter(s) who are likely to walk while their value is high. Again, not advocating for a limited sell, just think it's very possible.
  2. Jham
    Isn't Graterol getting shut down? One less bargaining chip...
  3. Jham
    Not sellers per se. I suspect we'll be both because their stated goal is sustained success. I'm not sure they can help themselves. Same reason we traded for jaime Garcia then traded him days later. We feel like we can trade some of our talent and still win. Arraez for Schoop, Kiriloff for Crohn, etc. If we add people, we'll have to make room. There's no chance we resign everyone next year. We'll be tempted to grab a return before they go. But agreed, not at the expense of the division.
  4. Jham
    I actually think we might be actual sellers at the deadline, as well as buyers. This team was built to tear down. Lots of expiring deals and 1 year contracts. I doubt the plan was for Cruz, Cron, Sano, Rosie, Schoop, Castro, Parker, Gibby, Perez, Odo, May and Pineda to all be on the team the entire year. I doubt the idea was for Gordon, Arraez, Gonsalves, Romero, Thorpe, Vasquez, Kiriloff and Rooker to remain in the minors all year. We may buy, but I'm almost positive we'll be doing some selling to restock the farm as well. Schoop, Castro, Sano and Rosie I think may be shopped along with May, Parker, Pineda and Gibby depending on our adds.
  5. Jham
    I think our weaknesses are 1) lack of top-end talent, 2) lack of pennant race experience, 3) Bullpen talent. We have a very solid group of players with production at almost all spots. As others have referenced, we lack an ace, some teams have more than 1. Taylor Rogers may or may not be that unhittable closer, many teams have more than 1. Polanco is playing like Trout, but he isn't Trout or Bellinger or Yelich. We're solid but with probably no "best in baseball" players. We made a run in 2017 and looked overmatched in the race for the division and in a 1 game playoff. Many of the key pieces of that team are gone. Sano was out. Most of our rotation and bullpen has no playoff experience. We haven't faced any major adversity yet. When the pressure mounts and the are no do-overs, experience usually helps. Finally, the pen has performed great, and Vasquez, Brusdar, and Romero are potential wild cards. That said, we've seen Hilde implode, we've seen May get injured. If Rogers went down, we'd be scrambling. Luckily, Penn is usually one of the easiest places to upgrade... historically. OTOH, the league has changed. Reliable is still easy to find. Lock-down arms are now a premium commodity. Twins bucked the trend on bull pen construction and are thus far beating the trend. Playoffs with More off days tends to favor the strongest pen, not necessarily the deepest.
  6. Jham
    Much of his game and personality reminds me of former Twins 2nd baseman Luis Castillo.
  7. Jham
    Fun with numbers: Luis Arraez has accumulated .4 bwar in 4 games.
  8. Jham
    1. Arraez has passed Gordon as a prospect and on the organizational depth chart, imo. He's only 22 and has more power potential than Gordon based on his frame and contact. 2. Adrianza is not a DFA candidate. He's a leader in the clubhouse and apparently one of the hardest workers on the team. He got a start in the outfield and played well. He's actually been one of our hotter hitters after a slow start. 3. Sano has easy power to right. I hope he keeps that inside out swing. He gets great trajectory and backspin. When he gets pull happy he generates lots of topspin that limit hits slugging potential as well as exacerbating contact issues. 4. I really like this team and look forward to the summer.
  9. Jham
    The criticism of the Reed signing, as I recall it, was that his velocity was already declining... My perception. May not equal reality.
  10. Jham
    Woulda been Gordon. Can't catch a break.
  11. Jham
    He has to be on our playoff roster if it looks like we'll make it, right?
  12. Jham
    Fernando Romero doesn't seem suited for work out of the pen. His hype never seemed to match his stuff. His stuff didn't necessarily match his results, and his results didn't even necessarily match his results. He gets hit pretty hard for a potential ace or closer. His fastball is straight and his slider lacks command. Should have been traded while his value was high. Moving him to the pen was a mistake. He's lost considerable value and hasn't been any more effective, actually he's less effective. I'd extend him out to be a starter or long man at this point. If we're in a playoff race, I want to see Graterol or Alcala over Romero, to be honest.
  13. Jham
    Not a face of the franchise, but I've really liked watching Schoop. He's always smiling and having fun. Laid back but professional. Strong arm after all the Dozier years. I was really impressed by the angiotensin insertion he got in his return to Baltimore. He clearly made a positive impression there as well. We're lucky to have him. I'd look to keep him until Lewis is ready.
  14. Jham
    Well, they also gave up 2 toppish prospects to get Osuna. Quite the Carousel that would make...
  15. Jham
    Unfortunately, I think Giles is a bigger name with longer track record of success than Pres. I think he'd command a more expensive prospect package. A bitter pill since Presley is likely the better pitcher. I think you agree if I read your Presley thesis posted on the other thread correctly. Trades have consequences.
  16. Jham
    Yeah I mean Schoop is playing himself into a nice deal i'd think a raise. Gibby is more likely to get a QO than Odo, imo. I like Crons D, but I'd think a combo of Sano, ak, rooker, and Garver might suffice. Perez is another $4mil. I just don't think we can count on Odo or same or Gibby or same. Historically, we low ball, refuse to over pay, and settle for worse. This year it worked. Last year we totally wasted. I guess some people are stressed by commitment and structure, others by uncertainty and risk. Trying to strike gold with 1 year deals seems untennable. But maybe that's the strategy. I'd ever that were to work, this FA market is probably it.
  17. Jham
    It's pretty clear after the last 3 games that the Blue Jays don't really need a closer, like at all. Giles is still under his rookie deal earning $6.3 mil this season and arb eligible for 2020, his age 29 season, as well. His whip is 1.1. 13k/9. 90% stand rate bolsters his 1.79 Fip. avg 97.4 on his fastball, 87 on slider per fangraphs. Jays save money, and likely want prospects and or major league ready pitching. Romero plus seems reasonable to me. What would Giles take? Should we be interested?
  18. Jham
    These types of players are traded all the time. Usually for cash or ptbnl. No one notices because no one cares. There's no reason to cut him if we don't have to imo.
  19. Jham
    Of all the new stats, my favorite is still the ole magic number. Can we get some magic number action up in here?
  20. Jham
    31st in WAR as a mostly backup is pretty good. Like basically lower-tier starter. Luxury as a back up. I know Rowson was working with him on swinging out and hitting for more power which would raise his value and ceiling significantly. Early returns were somewhat positive. This year's been a struggle after a fantastic spring. But he's a veteran presence by now. He's a proven, if unspectacular fielder. He'd be a perfect stop gap for a rebuilding team or a nice backup for a contender. He's better than DSan, Florimon, or Juan Castro anyhow... put another way, if we didn't have him, and Gonzo or Polanco got hurt, I'd be very willing to offer something for a him.
  21. Jham
    Hmmm... I don't remember writing that... My point is that the idea of developing talent in waves and windows is in apposite to the stated goal of sustained success. The team has chosen roster and payroll flexibility over conviction and planning. This looks to me like a 1 year window right now unless payroll is going to be expanded significantly. you leave a lot of work and question marks having so much turnover year to year. Mostly I feel like we should really want to take a step forward next year. It seems more likely we step back. Particularly in the rotation. We also didn't commit to this year. So what is the plan?
  22. Jham
    Adrianza almost certainly has some trade value. Unless he's traded, I doubt he's moved off the roster. Cave has options. Easy call. Austudillo has options. Not so easy call. We have relief options that have options. Low leverage relievers with no options clog the wheel. Find a reliever with no options who's last name starts with "M" and cut.
  23. Jham
    Well, Levine basically said we'd splurge to put the boot on the throat. But dang we've got pitchers and position players to extend or replace, plus arb raises. I'm starting to really like Schoop and Cron as teammates, pros, and solid players on both sides of the ball.
  24. Jham
    Thanks. The option still doubles his salary, but looks like a no-brainer at this point. I hope Pineda gets a QO. If he joins the others, this rotation could be very tough.
  25. Jham
    While posting in another thread, I realized 4 of our 5 starters are unrestricted Free Agents this year... This seems like the opposite of sustainable success. We have no one in the minors to replace even Pineda really. The time to win has to be NOW!! This is why trading Pressley hurts. This is why planning for 2020 and beyond was dumb to begin with, and the idea that we could add pieces on top of giving our young players large amounts in arb or extensions was even dumber. After saying all the 1 yr deals were a mistake, the FO did the same thing this year. Well, it's worked really well. But I think it's fair to ask, "Now what?"
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