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Jham

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Everything posted by Jham

  1. I think you may be correct. I think this allows him to push more with his lower body while staying balanced. Don't know if this is a Wes Johnson thing but I like it. Pushing up of the rubber gives the illusion of a low to high release while still maintaining some height. Fastball can appear to rise. Break on of speed seems more dramatic. Pat Neshek is the first guy that comes to mind. Threw hard for sidewinder.
  2. Why are the Mets selling? Especially beyond this year? I think this deal would be more expensive than you think.
  3. I'm not disputing that Sano could be hindered by bad luck. Just thought that the HR might even it out. Apparently he's sustained this level of HR production for long stretches previously. Maybe this is a return to 2017 form. Let's hope. I remain somewhat skeptical. I'm encouraged by his willingness to go the other way, for instance, but would like to see how he handles a slump before saying "don't worry about cutting back on k's," because I think that catches up with him before he catches up with babip.
  4. That's actually the point. More of his hard hit balls are leaving the park than usual. Balls that likely would have been hits if they stayed in the yard are HR. Thus high hard contact%, lower babip. Potentially luck neutral. As babip normalizes up so too will his HR numbers down. Which was my point on Ks being more of a problem than recognized because his numbers are inflated by an unsustainable HR rate.
  5. It's not a problem until it is a problem. We've seem him K like this. We've seen him hit like this. We've also seen him struggle and go through lengthy power slumps. He'll slump again (all hitters do) and when he does he'll offer almost no value. To say the k's aren't a problem is short sighted and not realistic. He's got plus power. I'm not sure it's elite though. In 9 professional seasons, he's only topped 30 HR twice with 35 off A and AA pitching being his career best.
  6. Fair. I think kimbrel is better than Cobb or Lynn. I just don't see how a third year was a substantial risk when we're essentially looking for this year and the playoffs. A third year seems like a silly reason to drop out of the race. We have payroll flexibility. 3 years isn't a long contract. And despite all the talk of risk, he has significant upside as well. Focusing in upside, it is exceedingly unlikely we trade for a guy with Kimbrel upside, let alone experience and pure stuff. It's unlikely we're willing to part with more than the Astros, Brewers, Dodgers, and Yankees who have all showed the willingness to part with significant assets. You can assume that Kimbrel will struggle initially. It could be equally "safe to assume" that Kimbrel will come back rested, rejuvenated and healthier for the time off. A third year for a team with 2 players signed past this year (for cheap) and an obvious need for help in the pen this year is no risk at all. Especially since that third year is only 1 more year from what we offered. Maybe he still signs with Chicago. But to not even try to match isn't trying, imo. Also, we could have signed Kimbrel AND traded for another stopper. If we handed the ball to Kimbrel, Rogers, and Giles? Shorten the games with our offense, and suddenly I'm loving our shot at the whole thing.
  7. I agree whole heartedly on your second point. I hate the term untouchable because those gus are frequently what it takes to really improve your club. Recent untouchables include Jay, Stewart, Gordon, Romero, Sano, and Buxton. Every one of those players trade value has dropped significantly other than maybe Buxton who has probably only lost a little. Regarding trading more to get less, that's the nature of the trade deadline. All I was saying is that if you feel we needed to add arms before the season, and now that need is more evident than ever, why would you not feel like Kimbrel was a huge missed opportunity? We still need a guy. We won't be able to add anyone for another 40 games most likely, and we don't know if we'll get the guys we want. It's much more likely we'll settle for guys that aren't big upgrades that profile as worse than Kimbrel. Could Kimbrel be the next Glen Perkins or Reed? Of course. Point is, free agency is gone, late free agency is gone. We're running out of options at the same time our need is becoming more dire.
  8. I don't get this argument either. If you're mad at not getting help in the off-season, why are you not upset about missing ot on Kimbrel? We can't go back to winter meetings. We can't untrade Pressley. 3 years for Kimbrel isn't an ideal option. But it was probably the best option left. Watch us get outbid for Giles and Smith and then overpay for guys that don't really make us better. We've been pointing for this year for at least 3 or 4 years. We're now pinning our hopes on Duffey, or Hildenberger returning to dominance or giving up top prospects for guys who might not be better than Kimbrel.
  9. If anything, it appears Gibby didn't pray hard enough... He got the swings and misses. Got the k's. Some balls left the yard. Looked mostly fine to me.
  10. I love how the final spot on the roster is being used as a rotational position for relievers and shoot starters with options. It takes innings off other arms who may need to pitch well into October. I was frequently frustrated by the FO holding Rule 5 guys and rule 5 eligible guys they didn't intend on using while burning out our high leverage guys in low leverage situations. Having to use guys just because our designated long man was recently used was unconscionable to me. Our issue isn't depth at the back end, it's depth and overall ability at the top end.
  11. Many of us wanted to trade for Brad Hand who was prospect expensive but could have helped multiple years. Instead he'll be beating us multiple years. Many didn't want to trade away Ryan Presley who could have helped multiple years. Now he too can burn us multiple years. Many of us were told we could always pursue Eduardo Escobar (.281 15hr +.500 slg) in free agency after trading him away only to see him extended before hitting FA by the only team allowed to negotiate with him for 3 years $21 mil which is the same as we're paying MarGo for 2 years. There is a cost of not improving your ball club. I think most of us are ok with cashing in for prospects in a marginal year, so long as you retool for a year you've been pointing for 4 or 5 seasons. That it would cost more (MarGo) should be expected. I don't care if Kimbrel is the next Addison Reed, he also probably isn't. The third year is the cost of trading away Presley. Heartbreaking about Carrasco after his long comeback. I hope he finds a treatment that works and gets back soon. Kluber is out of a cast and Clevinger is going to pitch a rehab game. Cleveland might go from sellers to buyers (actual buyers, not Twins window shoppers) in 1 series. #missedopportunities
  12. I'm not sure anyone turned on him. I think maybe some turned on Baldelli. I was surprised he came ot for the 7th. He had walked a guy on 4 pitches as I recall, in the 6th before getting a double play. A bounce off his emotional debut was expected and he pitched pretty well to keep us in it without his best stuff. The rest of the team including the manager did him no favors, imo.
  13. Wait, Pineda is better than Smeltzer right? Smeltzer = Tommy Milone? Am I missing something?
  14. I mean the same logic works in reverse. If he's got so much upside, why would his value be so low? He's a high floor, high ceiling guy with years of control remaining. Both competitive and rebuilding teams should be interested. Maybe this isn't my argument since I'm not in favor of dumping him for peanuts. I'd certainly be open to a trade for fair return.
  15. So you're a Sano hater AND a Lewis hater! Obviously the twins aren't your favorite team...
  16. Would you rather trade Sano or Royce Lewis?
  17. Well, I think they're underselling how good we are. They did outscore us this weekend, indicating a potential sequencing issue, and they're a stats focused organization, so I see where they're coming from. They probably saw us perhaps juggling the rotation to make sure our top guys pitched while we avoided Snell, and Glasnow who will be back soon enough. Crohn had a big hit. They couldn't have loved that. But they see us starting their castoffs, it's hard not to feel superior. Odo has an xFIP of 4.28 and a Fip 2.80. That's because he's giving up 1/2 as many homers as last year. his ks are up with his velo, and walks are down, a great combo pointing to a real change, but the HR will come. So they're right about him getting lucky. even his FIP is up above his era by nearly a run. I certainly don't take for granted that we're a better team now, let alone in August when Glasnow is back. I certainly hope our front office doesn't assume that either.
  18. Regarding the pitch count, Odo was facing a really good team that doesn't give away at bats and makes the pitcher work. He did great. I don't know what Tampa was thinking cutting CJ Crohn, but thanks. It's sort of working for them, but they gave away an asset in a competitive year when they'll likely be a buyer, all for limited salary relief. For whatever reason, I'm not that worried about Magill and Parker. Blow outs either way make it tough for relievers who rely on adrenaline to focus in. Sometimes they might even try some new stuff.
  19. That could certainly be. Of course, you only need 1 GM to fall in love. He's been an all star. He came with all the hype. Big name. Still young. I'd there's no interest, then of course I keep him.
  20. Who would you have us trade for pitching?
  21. This is what I don't get. Getting the K rate down is a reasonable request, but he's always going to be a high k guy? But we're not allowed to suggest trading him? He's probably never re-signing. So we're either trading him or letting him walk eventually. We've got Margo, Cruz, and Crohn for another year if we want. AK coming up. Sano could draw interest from contending teams and some rebuilding teams at this point. He's one of a number of guys we'll need to make a decision on soon. A trade while he's still valuable and not just a rental makes some sense in this day and age.
  22. But do you have any theological background, since it's a shoulder? Dr. James Andrews is pretty good. Is there a Rev. James Andrews by chance?
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