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Jham

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Everything posted by Jham

  1. Jham
    Take that conventional logic!
  2. Jham
    I have seen no evidence that suggests increased revenue, much like saved salary, will be reinvested back into the team. I have seen zero evidence that we are willing to trade top prospects. I've seen no evidence that we're willing to sign any pitcher, home grown, acquisition, free agent, or extension to a long term deal, and Odo, Gibby, Pineda, and your top starter X are all going to command large multi-year commitments. We could extend qualifying offers, but that eats up most of the budget and are likely to be turned down anyway. Then if we agree to extensions or buy out arb years or truly lock someone up looking term the investment goes up even more. You have way more confidence than I do that this front office will make 3 moves they have rarely ever done. Hughes Santana and Nolasco really. And that was back when we had few other players that needed commitments outside of #7.
  3. Jham
    Can someone estimate arbitration on the eligible players? Anyone in danger of a non-tender? How much more expensive will the team be if they stand pat?
  4. Jham
    Do you believe our offense will be able to repeat this season? Do you think our rotation will be better or worse? Go look at who the Twins owe raises. We'll hopefully try to extend a few and lock down a couple. To run out the same team would cost substantially more next year. Prohibitively expensive. We will have to sign out of free agency because we refuse to negotiate midseason when we have leverage. We refuse to overpay in free agency which is almost the definition of free agency (bidding more than every other team). We will likely make a deal, but we could have done that at the deadline and had them this year too. And maybe we saved on Polanco and Kepler. But it may cost us more in the long run since we have a whole wave of players who will be hesitant to sign an extension after seeing the money left on the table. As we discussed before, it's hard to think Polanco and Kepler feel good about their deals. Consistently trying to pay your employees less than they're worth will usually come back to bite you (even the Rays who just replace everyone can win games but lack the continuity to keep fans and draw crowds).
  5. Jham
    Can we EVER trade a player, either a prospect or a rental, at their peak value? Another blue chipper with almost no value. With no options, he can't even be shuttled. If he couldn't be shuttled this year, there's no reason to think he can stick next season without clogging the shuttle. Kohl Stewart is more valuable. He's never thrown as hard as advertised. His k/9 looks ok because his whip is pedestrian. His K% never matched the hype. He's very hittable and doesn't miss enough bats. His debut was amazing. Don't know what's happened to his control since.
  6. Jham
    If Rowson gets a promotion. Parker needs a promo as well. Made the same suggestions back in June. Twins listened! http://twinsdaily.com/articles.html/_/minnesota-twins-news/how-miguel-sano-can-fix-his-swing-r7991 I think Sano left a lot of homers in the bud light roof deck earlier this year. Everything he pulled had either hard top spin or snap hook curve pulling the ball foul. His majestic shot the other night tracked the foul line and stayed fair. The "weaker" axe bat grip helps on that, if you would ask any golfer on curing a snap hook.
  7. Jham
    Doesn't Kep have our only walk offs?
  8. Jham
    1st base Joe Mauer.
  9. Jham
    We're not stupid. But Verhagen's location was. mid 90s fastballs up and in. change ups and curves buried at the bottom of the zone. For 1 game, he obviously had feel and command. Twins also extended the zone, perhaps out of that same over-confidence. And Arraez will hit. Has at every level. Contact skill is elite. Command of the zone is close elite imo. Approach is already solid, should look to drive more balls as defenses adjust. But guys with elite contact (hand/eye coordination) can usually add power through maturity and getting stronger or through approach, swinging harder and pulling more. If this is Arraez slumping, he'll be a really good player. Like Joe Mauer good.
  10. Jham
    He wasn't terrible with soft tossers and sinker ballers. league changed, he didn't adjust. mostly he didn't have much talent to work with. I think he actually maxed the talent od some of our pitchers. The pitchers were just mostly bad to begin with.
  11. Jham
    I know. #1stplaceproblems !
  12. Jham
    With all so respect, RB, I don't think the Indians and Astros found their diamonds in the rough by accident. I disagree that they sort through sand to find gold nuggets. They're better at identifying and evaluating. They knew what they had in Kuechel, Kluber,Civale, Plesac. You shouldn't have to rotate through your prospects at the major league level to "know what you have". Evaluate in the minors. Everyone loves prospects. Trade the ones that are more hype than ability. Dumpster diving and finding under the radar prospects both can be effective. It's hard to build a team that way. I've criticized the organization for not knowing what they have, and just as importantly knowing what they don't have. They let prospects plummet in value and hold them too long. They call guys up before they're ready. We've seen some things this that make me hopeful this year. Are rotating long men is both innovative and effective. They correctly identified Arraez as worthy of taking an immediate predominant roll despite not really appearing in rankings. They held onto Adrianza. Nick Anderson's happen to everyone. The A's waived Hendricks last year and no team picked him up. He's an all star closer throwing 99. Some things are impossible to predict. The Twins or Marlins identified Anderson as a talent and made a definitive move. I like that. We need more of that. If we were this confident in Arraez, Gordon should have been moved. Evaluate well and move with conviction.
  13. Jham
    It's not even that the Stros were so much smarter. As I recall, fangraphs had recently posted an article on Presley's curve being one of the most untouchable pitches in the entire game, but that he relied too frequently on 97. Everyone knew he was good. In fact, if we intended to trade him, we probably should have shopped him around rather than surprise snapping up the Astros offer.
  14. Jham
    I mostly v agree. I have an irrational love of Jhoan Duran. But for the playoffs, going into Houston, with a choice of Cave, Wade, or Larnach... I think I'd roll the dice on Trevor's superior talent and CWS experience. I'm not usually a big "call up the prospects and see what we have" guy. But I think we know what we have. And I think Larnach and AK are better than Cave and better LH bats than Adrianza. Couldn't fault anyone for rather having Cave or Astudillo. Versatility means little in the playoffs.
  15. Jham
    I mean, there are 6 guys referenced in this article alone... but really, for me it just insures roster flexibility. If Kepler goes down on September 1, Cave and DeAza might get shots, but I'd hate to rule out Larnach or Kiriloff. If Polanco got hurt I'd at least want the option of rolling with Nick Gordon or even Lewis. If Graterol gets sore and Alcala is wild, I'd want to consider an arm like Duran. It's the playoffs. We need our best players out there. I get that these scenarios may be unlikely, but the IL eligible for activation is the only way to add a playoff eligible player between Sept 1 and the playoffs. potentially you could roster a player then IL them when the playoffs started, but presumably you'd rather see them debut in the regular season them the playoffs...
  16. Jham
    Forgot the original premise of the article!
  17. Jham
    I believe Tortuga and Wade are more valuable on the IL. To make the playoff roster, a player must be on the 40 man by Aug 31, OR replace someone on the IL provided that player has served the minimum time on the IL. Wade and Tortuga could both be added added to the 60 day, and then anyone in the organization could come up and be post season eligible.
  18. Jham
    How does Hildenberger get left off of these discussions every time? He may have the best chance of anyone of making an actual impact. If healthy, his change-up can get lefties. I also wouldn't mind having him work with Romo for obvious reasons. people forget how good he was in the minors and at times in the bigs. Molitor broke him. Hopefully temporarily.
  19. Jham
    He doesn't have below average stuff. He maybe lacks some control and sequencing. His change up isn't just MLB quality. When he's on its as good a pitch as we have in our organization in my opinion. Location has to be there though. And I consider control "stuff". He's gotta locate, but I wouldn't give up on him.
  20. Jham
    Honestly, this is the worst part of Twinsdaily. No one said they hated Sano. Nobody. He chased 2 straight sliders out of the zone. He's gotta multiple k's the last 3 games and k'd to end the game on 2 sliders out of the zone where a take at 2-0 probably would have resulted in an intentional walk. As I stated, I was just referring to the fact that his ABs the last several games haven't been as crisp as when he was otherworldly with his command of the zone and refusal to chase. The "old Sano" isn't bad. Just not as good as when he was white hot. Sheesh.
  21. Jham
    I guess I didn't mean the awful version. Just his normal version. Multiple k's each game, starting to chase slider again...
  22. Jham
    Sano starting to look like the old Sano again...
  23. Jham
    I would guess that the pitchers worth lower whip/bb/oslg higher ks, would also blow up less and not have to deal with inherited runners coming into middle off innings, etc. I guess you don't know unless you calculate it out.
  24. Jham
    intentional walk
  25. Jham
    Crazy how Sano was the last guy we'd want up 2 mo ago, now every at bat he battles.
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