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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. $225,000 for Willie Joe Gary per MLB.com. Not too bad for a high schooler.
  2. Nice write up here on Jeffers . Sounds like Twins see a Garver comp for him. He has a borderline plus arm and they have heard good things about his defense. They are not as worried as other evaluaters about his numbers being down when using wood bats. Hopefully they are right.
  3. I guess good defense is in the eye of the beholder. I believe he only threw out 25 percent stealers. I guess I don't consider that great defense. I like him as a hitter. Hoping defense is better than what most evaluaters believe they saw.
  4. To be honest it is hard to know what amount guys should be signed for but we do get clues. One way to determine worth is based on where analysts see players likely to be ranked. Not every player will have 1st round worth and through 40 rounds lots of players sign so they seem to understand where they rank and thus what they are worth to get a chance at their dream. We know college seniors have little leverage in this process unless they have had an outstanding year\college career. We know highly touted high school seniors will require a lot of money to sign away from colleges where some have potential to turn into first round picks and make a lot of money. We know juniors have some leverage to get a little more money based on their talent and where they were picked. We know the basic idea is to use your pool to sign as many of the picks as possible and if you save enough take a shot at a high schooler who fell and gamble on their potential. So knowing a players approximate ranking, leverage, and potential ceiling I would argue we have a decent idea of what players might be signed for. Granted we don't know a lot of information that scouts\organizations do so the value us box score watchers apply can be skewed. But it is fun to form an opinion and put it out there and see if holds up or matches up to what really happens and typically it is pretty close but there are always surprises as well.
  5. That must be it. I read somewhere he has a plus arm so if they help him frame pitches, increase his pop time etc. then he can be average defensively with offensive upside. I hope he can do it.
  6. I was surprised we were that high as well. Figured we would be around 9 or 10. 6 seemed a little high to me. We do have some pretty solid depth. Lot's of guys that are good but maybe not great so maybe that counts for something. I know I like our top 30 more than most other teams sites.
  7. I wonder why FanGraphs had him rated so high? His bat was clearly superior to others in the class? His defense seems to be universally touted as below average coming into the draft and he is a slow runner so he gives you virtually no upside defensively unless of course he does develop into an average catcher. So I guess I don't understand how Fangraphs can rate half a player that high. He really only seems to have high offensive potential and scouts were mixed on if his current power will really carry over to wood bats and MLB. I know I heard the FO mention last year that they look for hitters with certain characteristics like plate discipline and swing plane etc. So this guy must have a lot of things that they like in a hitter and I guess Fangraphs agree's but there are a lot of warts on this guy as well from a defensive standpoint so I hope they can develop this guy. Otherwise it was wasted pick in an already thin high end talent draft for them.
  8. MLB has Williams as signed for $10,000.
  9. Yeah that was the amount I was looking for as well. I figured he was worth about 600k. Granted I don't know how hard it is to get there but that is what I was thinking when they made that pick. I guess Fangraphs had him rated fairly high so maybe they split the difference who knows. I was just hoping for a little more to spread around for a HS talent down the line.
  10. 300K is not bad but I was hoping for more saving there. If he does remain a catcher and hits with power then this is an amazing deal. However, He seemed destined to be a 3rd or 4th round pick to me. I don't believe he was even in MLB's top 200 not that that means anything. I just think they could have grabbed him later but I guess they really love his bat and approach. I hope they are right and other evaluators are wrong.
  11. Yeah the Twins have some pretty exiting young pitchers to watch. Graterol, Enlow, Leach and Balazovic are all 19 or under and they all look like they have pretty good stuff. Would have been nice to pick up one more high end high schooler in this years draft but it is what it is. Still plenty of guys with high ceilings to watch.
  12. I'm a little surprised Davis and Diaz made it. Even Blankenhorn seems a but of stretch to me. Always great to see that guys are doing well enough to be All Stars. I am quite surprised 7 guys from that team made it.
  13. I am happy Miranda is turning it around. He was one of my favorite players in Elizabethton. Loved the power stroke there. Was hoping for a faster start from him but he is young. Just glad the Twins are challenging the young hitters early. I think it will pay off in the long run.
  14. I had Jordan pegged for Elizabethton as well. He must have impressed in extended spring training. Hope he can stay in Cedar Rapids and if he keeps pitching like that we got a steal with that pick in the draft.
  15. A little surprised Keirsay went that far over slot. I guess he was willing to bet on himself next year.
  16. I hope we can get a return for Dozier at the deadline. I'm just not certain it will happen. If he were to get dealt then there should be room for Gordon to get the playing time he needs. Gordon has been rock solid with the bat from spring training to AAA.
  17. Gordon does look sharp this year. I just don't see them calling him up as he is not on the 40 man. Adrianza's bat has heated up recently. Polanco will be back fairly soon. Dozier is entrenched at second base. The timing just doesn't seem right for him to come up.
  18. Good news! Personally I thought he should have started the season in Ft. Meyers but I guess a couple of months to make sure the bat played is not that big of a deal. Hope he keeps that hit tool strong and finds his way to MLB.
  19. I really enjoy the way you write these. You write them how I feel about the game. Sometimes I like your take even better than my own. Thanks for doing these as I truly look forward to reading them.
  20. It seems like a lot of things just haven't gone the Twins way this year. A bad start the first month of the season. When the starters pitch well the bullpen blows the game. When the starters pitch poorly and the bullpen holds we still fall just short. Losing lots of 1 run games and or getting walked off a ton. It feels a bit like a cursed season. The talent is there it just doesn't all come together for some reason. Last year it was the exact opposite. We found ways to win games and seemed to catch the breaks. I guess this is the other side of things. Just have to keep hoping things turn around and even if they don't then we will be in a good position in the draft next year at least.
  21. Andrew, Thanks for putting all the information together on the draft picks. I know I really appreciate knowing a little background on the players we drafted. Every year I hope they all make it but I know typically only one or two or maybe three will make it and sometimes no one will. Here's hoping these guys find a way to be better than the rest.
  22. Losing that second round pick hurt. If they had that pick they don't have to waste it on the catcher to try and save money instead they could have invested in some higher ceiling High school talent there. I hope saving the money was worth it. Maybe they can get something done on the trade market because I don't see them having much of a pool for international signings either. Looks like a down year for talent acquisition. Maybe next year will be better.
  23. I'm a little disappointed the draft was so college heavy but I guess I should have seen that coming with the lost draft picks. Also surprised they went bat heavy. I can see Larnach was likely a decent pick where they took him and this team could use more power bats. The catcher was an odd pick to me but I guess the guys they were hoping for were gone already. Even though a bit risky I liked the center fielder pick. I really wanted some young gun pitchers to develop from this draft but I guess we have Enlow, Leach, and Graterol who are all pretty young right now. There is Balazovich and Benninghoff from the 2016 draft and hopefully some GCL guys to fill things out. It still feels like the weakest part of our system is pitching so I hope they figure something out to strengthen us in that area. Doesn't look like this draft will help us in that area. Hope the guys they got turn out.
  24. Looks like they are betting the injury is behind him. A bit high risk, but solid approach at the plate appears to be the theme this year. They want hitters who hit the ball hard and control the strike zone. I guess the Lamonte Wade approach is rubbing off on the front office.
  25. I wanted a pitcher and there were several good ones there. I guess they feel they can find quality guys later on in the draft. I kind of hate the one dimensional power guys who can't run or play defense in the first round. Hope they make me eat my words
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