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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. depends on how they get to 12. If it's trading Dozier for prospects, prolly don't want Park or DanSan who can't field SS well enough to start.
  2. they'll start with 13 position players, but there will be injuries and short starts necessitating an extra reliever once the schedule pace picks up in May. With the emphasis on defense, I think Adrianza is the 25th man on the roster, and Vargas, Mauer and Grossman platoon the DH and First base positions.
  3. if you put Berrios in the bullpen, even as the long man, he will become in very short order "no longer stretched out". It takes pretty much all of spring training to stretch him out. When the long man makes a spot start, it's usually 3-4 innings and taxes the bullpen heavily. It takes 3 or so starts from there to get him back up to 6-7 innings, so your bullpen is shot for the better part of a month. I agree that he should be working with Allen as a starter. It's best for him and the long term health of the club. In the short term, there isn't enough depth behind him and May and I think Levine will protect his depth. Only one of May or Berrios will make the opening day rotation, the other I predict will go to AAA rotation. Since May has had more success than Berrios, I think he'll win. I think both Berrios and May will be in the big league rotation fairly quickly in the season due to injury or ineffectiveness.
  4. agreed, but I think the limit here is depth. However, Tom brought up the concept of fire sale around the all star break, which should help.
  5. not in April with all of the off days, however I see it as an eventuality. Chief and I have a wager on a frosty beverage of choice if the majority of games played before September roster expansions will have a 13 man staff. I have the over.
  6. because you need Berrios stretched out. Hughes is coming off surgery, May had back issues last year, Gibson lost some significant time last year as well. Santana was healthy last year, but getting advanced in his career. At best you only need one starter on the Rochester shuttle, but will at points need two. If Berrios and Duffey are in the Pen and the rotation is Santana, Gibson, Santiago, May, Hughes. All you got left on the 40 man is Mejia. Are you going to put R. Rosario and Romero on the active roster? I'm not. Meanwhile May, Gibson, Santiago and Hughes are all making short starts. Duffey and Berrios are not exactly workhorses (yet) either. Hughes circa 2014 was, but coming off injury he probably won't be logging 180 innings this year. How do you keep from destroying the bullpen? I like the idea of a long man for this Twins team. I like the idea of two long men on this team, and would rather Hughes be in the pen with Haley and both of them pitch multiple innings w/ Berrios in the rotation, but that necessitates a 13 man pitching staff to start the season.
  7. At this point, you still can't really count on Hughes. I think that's what got Santiago his Arb $. They just couldn't go into 2017 with only Mejia as the fallback, and don't see Duffey as a starter. With Hughes in the mix, the rotation is crowded with mediocrity (hes had one excellent season c'mon) and without Hughes there's more upside with May and Berrios but it's really shallow depth. My guess is if Hughes is "healthy" Berrios starts in AAA this year until injury brings him up.
  8. and an infield of Dozier, Polanco, and Sano sets Gibson up for success how? He's in for a rough year, even if Adrianza or Escobar supplant Polanco at short, but especially if they don't.
  9. thanks for sharing. It's slightly more encouraging that Kirilloff spent his offseason getting treatments beyond R&R. I wish Alex well and a speedy recovery.
  10. i thought the same thing. I could get paid to play for a team with no shot at sniffing the wild card, or I could get paid similar money to play for a division winning contender. I'll take the latter
  11. so the improved outfield helps Berrios, May and Santiago but the left side of the infield really hurts Gibson, Kintzler, Duffey. http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/MIN/2016-pitching.shtml It seems that ground ball pitchers have lower runs scored per 27 outs and naturally lower FIP, but also have a higher BABIP. So maybe the earned runs are lower, but ground ballers plus bad infielders = more ugly baseball. With a gun to my head, I would bet under http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/groundballs-and-the-overall-picture/
  12. id say you are telling the truth that you don't remember him as an outfielder since according to fangraphs Luke Hughes was an infielder. At least for 14.25 minutes
  13. the home team buys the balls, but I would assume MLB league office manages the contract. My assumption is it's one contract with one company and at some point the ball usage became so great that the ball company came to the MLB and said "look we are running out of capacity at plant A and need to build a new plant in a second location. Because of natural variance there's going to be a difference in the balls. MLB uses the most balls of any league, and probably close to as many as several leagues combined. We think we can build a plant to support MLB alone from one plant and minors from the other. Does that work for MLB?" While I wish the transition period was double a to triple a, to give pitchers a place to work with the new ball before the bigs, it's not earth shattering, nor is it some kind of competence type issue.
  14. bingo, with the cost of freight, I gotta think China is slightly more expensive, or at least very close in cost to Costa Rica.
  15. Pappy's on Maryland Ave in Maplewood is my favorite
  16. i thought I had a shot at beating you to a "Pohlad is a bad manager" take
  17. nepotism, even better! Ah crap, Dave beat me to it
  18. i think the Castro signing follows this logic as well. Solid defense up the middle can go a long ways towards improving run prevention/pitching.
  19. with the recent Reusse article about DanSan it feels like the primer for Adrianza v DanSan for 25th man on the roster
  20. this is common to manufacturing and the difference between leagues is most likely capacity at the plants. The worst outcome would be to get that variance in the same league.
  21. dude, try losing 15 pounds period. Its a struggle
  22. both Miguels at their heaviest. I might be biased, but I think Sano looks more svelt... ok, maybe not that big of a difference. I'm still optimistic Sano can be adequate fielding wise at 3rd for a few years
  23. yeah, ultimately it all falls on Ryan, he was the General Manager and got fired, just like it all falls on Falvey now. That's just simplistic. I still feel like Molitor needs to lead the major league organization and reach deeper into the upper levels of the minors for intel and influence of his sphere. He needs to be the driver of culture change for Falvey to the MLB operation and the inspiration for the minors. Being a baseball savant isn't enough. He needs to be an organizational savant too. For his career's sake, he needs to be a tactical conduit of change in the strategy outlined by Falvey and Levine. Passivity will not get it done.
  24. this is a very good point. Implied in my argument is that Molitor should not be mystified by any development plans made with players who are on the 40 man roster. Polanco's development was ultimately on TR but Molitor should at least understand the plan and the rationale for doing so. Ultimately that was on TR as well, but Molitor has more power than given credit for. This should not be a witch hunt on Molitor, but successful managers do more than just fill out lineup cards and call to the bullpen.
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