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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. But you can trust what’s not reported by “the media” If Darvish had turned down a larger offer to go play for the Cubs, we’d have heard about it. The MLBPA would have had a holy conniption fit, and the commissioners office would have waived that flag in mighty triumph. The Twins got outbid by a very team friendly deal compared to projections... projections that lead Mr Levine to proclaim Darvish was a priority, and therefore in reach. I hold the FO absolutely accountable for that. If they have the resources, the window is open. They need to take advantage while they can. The opt out excuse is bogus, it’s the best part of the deal, 2 great years of Darvish and he moves on. Great, the odds of 3-6 great years are slim, you sign him to the deal because that’s the cost of doing business.
  2. Just a guess...the Kyle Gibson effect. nibble at the edges with very hittable stuff and when you get in trouble with walks, throw it down the middle? Over his career his hard hit rate has gone from 25(ish) percent to 37. His hr/fb has gone from 10(ish) percent to 20 percent. Homers are up across the league so it’s hard to give the homer trend too much weight, but it doesn’t look like there’s much upside here. He’s cooked
  3. being a less bad alternative to a guy with 25 innings of AAA ball can still be a train wreck.
  4. the downside is he pitches just well enough that he isn’t cut and we’re stuck watching a train wreck every 5th start all season long
  5. im having a hard time finding the quote, but my recollection is Falvey has said things to a similar effect. I recall him saying that prospects would get goals and feed back throughout and the desired result would be maybe a little less time in rookie ball and low, and more time in double and triple A, where it made sense. Seems like Lewis and Rooker are going through the lower levels a bit faster than how I remember the TR era of management would have them progress.
  6. big assumption that Sano can play 3rd for 90 games. He has just begun conditioning and has the potential for a suspension this season. If the option is bench bat or additional utility player, Nunez would be my preference because his bat is decent. Essentially he extends the bench by providing both.
  7. what about bonuses, capital gains, and property taxes? None of those are in a game check. Also, in reading my Wisconsin income tax guide. I earn income in MN and have my tax withheld at the MN rate, but I get a very slight credit that appears to be a result of some kind of marry up with reconciling the two states. Not sure tho
  8. i didn’t think of that! Do you think income tax is withheld on the game check?
  9. being at home 6 days on 7 days off for 6.5 to 7 months... great!
  10. indeed, I guess the point was when you make millions per year and travel heavily you can choose where you live, and being close to the home office is not very important. People have many reasons to choose where to live, when cost and commute aren’t concerns it opens up a wide variety of options. If he wants to save on state income tax, FL is a reasonable choice with the 0 income tax and proximity to spring training facilities.
  11. Mauer lives in FL most of the year, why wouldn't the whole team?
  12. I have no idea what Darvish does or does not value in a future team, but it seems like many of the top end free agents are waiting for a bidding war that isn't happening. I absolutely agree with your assumption of posturing. I believe that he's trying to get MIN or MIL to compete with each other or with a team that isn't really in it to drive the price up. I gotta think Money and World Series Contention are the 1 and 2 criterion and then there's the whole litany of other stuff like fit, culture, community that we can't really put a metric to.
  13. This is way off subject, but i’ll try to circle back around to the topic... theres indirect monetary gain. People like sports and choose to live where there’s pro sports. The gains are real, just not directly related to the building. Direct public monetary gain is minimal. Sports franchises pay very little taxes compared to the gain they get from the publicly funded stadiums. Sports complexes create very few high paying jobs for non athletes, sports complexes create very few new small businesses. New bars and restaurants don’t open around ballparks, existing ones relocate, if at all. All of this to say the public expects a return on investment. The team gets a huge direct windfall from the public, and in return the public gets very little in directly returned tax revenue. The public expects a more competitive team to make the area more desirable to make the indirect return more impactful. Hence the social contract. It’s all implied. My implication is, so far the Twins have not lived up to their side of the bargain. It’s time to change that. Go get Darvish!
  14. every sports franchise has a social contract with the public, because of the public funding they receive. There is no direct monetary gain ever proven through building stadiums. The Metrodome was evidence. However sports provide some kind of desirable attributes to a community. People like to live in communities and root for their home team, so the public builds stadiums. The implication is the public buys the stadium to get a good sports product, to expand the tax base. Social contracts are implied contracts. The Packers are publicly owned. It’s not implied, there’s actual ownership.
  15. no that’s a contractual contract with the public.
  16. Imagine landing Darvish on a 6 year deal and Arrieta on a 1 year make good... not likely, but not impossible in this market
  17. that and Berrios and Mejia are the only two 2017 starters probable for ‘19. Still plenty of room for a long contract and get the minor league graduates a spot.
  18. agreed, the AL West and East have similar but not so pronounced disparity as well. With a couple injuries, East and West teams looking better right now, than the Tigers and Royals, could also compete for the bottom. I’m just not sure 90 games won guarantees an AL wildcard
  19. https://www.fanragsports.com/inside-baseball-mlb-notes-betts-arb-win-could-affect-others/ According to Heyman Dodgers are ambivalent towards resigning Darvish and the Cubs are low bid. Looks like the Twins and Brewers are highest offers but he isn’t getting the bidding war among the big players he was hoping for. Come on Levine! Make it happen
  20. We need to return to the Nyköping staff. If it was good enough for 13th century Swedes, it’s good enough for me.
  21. depends on when you started counting. 7 days from Jan 24 is Jan 31. Last I checked it was Jan 28
  22. 7th Day Adventists worship on Saturday... just sayinghttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seventh-day_Adventist_Church
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