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mikelink45

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Everything posted by mikelink45

  1. I am not sold on Buxton, in fact I am willing to accept the label of being the least enamored of TD readers, but this is not about the player and in the economics of the game I am sympathetic to Buxton's case against the team. I was so blatant.
  2. Yes and in this case I will take potential. Kershaw and Price are on their downside. I am betting on Graterol.
  3. Yadier Molina is 37 and still playing great ball as a catcher. We cannot just assume that a player is going to have to move from catcher at a young age. From Fangraphs in 2013 "Good 34 year olds don’t regularly become bad 35 year olds. In general, you should expect players to decline at something like +0.5 per season. If they’re especially injury prone and their bodies are breaking down, limiting future playing time, maybe you knock off +0.75 WAR per season. A reasonable aging curve should return a decay of something in that range, for nearly any set of years. Whether a player is 30 or 35 should not drastically change the amount of aging you expect in the future. And whether a player is a catcher or not should also not greatly affect our expectations for his future performance. In general, catchers age about how we’d expect any other position player to age. They get worse, but they don’t fall apart without notice. Expect decline, not collapse." https://blogs.fangraphs.com/catcher-aging-is-a-curve-not-a-cliff/
  4. Graterol has the potential to be better than all of them - yes. This is not vintage Kershaw. This is Kershaw on the down side of his career and no one knows how he will adapt. I will take our player with huge upside.
  5. Hy Kershaw. We already know how to lose in post season. We do not need him. Graterol is better than all of them. No to any trade that has him in it. Archer? Why? Forget him and all but the first one on the list. No
  6. I think that my problem was the AMEX card. I finally got to pay with a mastercard.
  7. No - his value is at Catcher. He gives us an advantage over other teams at that position and he has worked hard to improve his defense there. He has had one really good season there in MLB - give him a few more. If you want to find someone to fill a position, 1B is a lot easier than Catcher. In two years our minor league catchers will be pushing to take over, let the process play out.
  8. I am excited about signing a stud pitcher, but I have to say there is only one Verlander - he is great.
  9. Nick Nelson - I was finally able to make a payment and order the handbook. Thanks for you offer - I am happy to pay for the book.
  10. Nice article, but falling short on Harper and Machado is not being cheap. Only two teams over spent enough to get them and I believe the results of those two teams shows how much real value there is in such stud players. If it were worth throwing that kind of money at players San Diego and Philadelphia would not be hiring new managers. Mike Trout is the acknowledged superdooper surefire HOF player and he cannot get his team to the playoffs. I have issues with all the FA discussions - would we have really been better if we had broken the bank for Yu Darvish the year before? Ask the Cubs fans. I agree that they have not acquired the prospects that the Twins did, but I do believe they are still on the rise and pitchers sometimes take a year or two to get over the rookie blues - see the career of J O Berrios.
  11. Budget should not be the consideration - we have underspent the last two years. The question is the team quality not the budget. There are enough dollars to go around if the team wants to acquire someone. The QO is too high, make a decent offer and then if he walks it is his decision.
  12. Gordon is a miss, a player who I doubt will ever match his initial potential. One of many, but certainly I would move him. With Lewis and then Wander coming up and a young lineup in MLB it is better to find a place for him to develop at MLB.
  13. Risk Error 10626 Transaction refused due to risk model I could not get a screen shot - it is a pop up that disappears. Can I send a check?
  14. As much as I love defense, the stat that is important to me is "In the two years since, Buxton has only had five at-bats after July 31". If this next year repeats what we have seen I think we have to look at how we fill out a full year of OF play. Jake Cave is not going to do it and I suspect the FO is looking at Lewis as a possible solution. Trade Buxton if it fixes pitching, otherwise lets get to a point with four quality OF players so that Buxton can be part of a mix and match.
  15. I was not able to complete my order - I got a risk message and it did not go through. I am in Vicksburg and will try when I get home. Any suggestions?
  16. Versions of the shift have been around since baseball began, but overuse of anything is dangerous. Good players adjust, good teams adjust. Selective use is the best way to be effective. In the past fields slid around depending upon the pitcher and how batters would hit them, now we go to arbitrary use and it just makes be delighted to see Arraez come to bat. One of my favorite plays in the ALCS was catcher Maldonado laying down a bunt for a hit!
  17. He could play in every era. I loved watching him play. He reminded me of both Carew and Red Schoendienst.
  18. I like the idea of a new bullpen strategy. The Yankees BP was shot by the time they were in game four. If starters have to have 5 days between starts how can relievers be expected to go every day?
  19. You need to look at his clutch performance stats. This is an area where young players usually fail. Eddie is much better than Kepler in clutch situations. I like players who come through when there are men on base
  20. https://theathletic.com/1306107/2019/10/20/carig-everyone-was-running-on-fumes-bullpen-plan-falls-short-for-yankees/?source=dailyemail This is an article related to my post and your comments. "Said Britton, “I still think starting pitching is what’s going to get you a World Series championship at the end of the day.”"
  21. Gleeman was the one who got me started with Rosario and then the new essays pushed me to write. Thanks. It has been really fun to have all those responses.
  22. Too be fair I need to post on your site what I wrote on my Blog https://twinsdaily.com/blogs/entry/11683-%7B%3F%7D/ I quoted your choice for Eddie because it illustrated what I am talking about and then I added this "I would have chosen his HR total, His RBI total, or more important his clutch hitting - How about the OBP of 344 or the slugging 518 when there are two outs and runners in scoring position?" Eddie is getting a lot of bad press and I guess I have become his defender even though he is not my favorite player (Arraez is). I hope you do not mind, I really like your approach and overall essay.
  23. In a new Blog on this site Matthew Taylor illustrated what this blog is about - he chose numbers for all players - one number to illustrate that player - Rosario comes up and this is what he wrote - "3. Eddie Rosario Number: 3.51 PITCHES PER PLATE APPEARANCE. This is the first number on this list that should be taken negatively. While Eddie Rosario posted a career high in R, HR and RBI this season, what I will remember most from Rosario’s 2019 season is his impatience at the plate. A huge gripe among Twins’ faithful this season was Baldelli’s stubbornness with keeping Rosario in the cleanup spot all season. It was maddening to have Kepler, Polanco and Cruz work the opposing pitcher into 7 or 8 pitch ABs and mount a rally only to have Rosie bail the pitcher out with a pop out on the first pitch of the at bat. The 3.51 P/PA illustrates this feeling perfectly as he finished dead last on the club in this statistic." I would have chosen his HR total, His RBI total, or more important his clutch hitting - How about the OBP of 344 or the slugging 518 when there are two outs and runners in scoring position? Matthew wrote a very good and thoughtful blog and I am just reaching into the Rosario section because it fits what I am talking about - http://twinsdaily.com/blog/1299/entry-11681-twins-hitters-2019-by-the-numbers/
  24. We have enough catchers in the minors to cover any needs for a third catcher - Jeffers, Rortvedt, Tellis, and Sawyer - to cover any injury time or use issues for Astudillo and Garver
  25. The use of pitchers for 2 or more innings reduces the number of relievers used and therefore you have more fresh arms for the next game. I would start to use a little more starter mentality and start stretching out the pitchers to 2 - 3 innings and pitch every three days if possible. Most of these guys were starters at one time. Let them go through a lineup once before changing. There has to be a different strategy and I appreciate this essay and the beginning of a new thought process for the BP. By the way, I think the season over use of BP arms and then the nightly reliance on them is what doomed the Yankees.
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