TJSweens
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Everything posted by TJSweens
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Is It Time to Sound the Panic Alarm On Bailey Ober?
TJSweens replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I continue to be baffled by a 6'9 pitcher who can't sit at least 93 mph with a fastball in his prime. There are some pitchers who's velo starts out a few ticks low in ST and see a jump as they get stretched out. Ober isn't one of them. If anything his best velo is early in the spring. Ober should have been traded in the off season while he still had any value. Some will argue that would have been selling low. I think his value was as high as it will ever be. -
"Zebby Matthews, who was conversely not acquired via any ambitious investment, but rather through savvy drafting and development." More like a blind squirrel finding a nut if he actually pans out. There is nothing savvy about the way the Twins draft and develop pitchers.
- 36 replies
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- joe ryan
- bailey ober
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I had hoped the Twins would trade Ober in the off season. His performance to this point has done nothing to change that feeling. It's always baffled me that a guy 6'9 can't consistently sit in the 93-94 range. He was effective at 91-92. He is very hittable at 90. At 88-89, he's a batting practice pitcher. Either he regains his old velo or he is done.
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #2 Kaelen Culpepper, SS
TJSweens replied to Lou Hennessy's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Culpepper starting in Double A makes no sense. He played over half a season there and played well. I've seen him make some really outstanding plays down here in spring training. The breaking pitches he needs to see to make his adjustments are in Triple A. Culpepper already fields SS a lot better than Lee. His bat couldn't be any worse. Start him in St. Paul and have him ready to cross the river at a moment's notice. -
Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #5 Connor Prielipp, LHP
TJSweens replied to Steve Lein's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Way too early for that comparison. Canterino has pitched 85 innings in 7 years and none since 2022. Prielipp pitched 82.2 last year alone with no issues. Prielipp had TJ in college. After 2 outings here, they had to go back in and found that it apparently wasn't the previous surgeon's finest work. They added the brace and he has had no issues since. -
Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #7 Gabriel Gonzalez, OF
TJSweens replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
"The next step offensively is generating more frequent hard contact, and perhaps lifting the ball slightly more to unlock additional extra-base damage." Please don't. I'm all for more hard contact, but don't mess with his swing plane. I'm convinced this one size approach of lift and separate has screwed up as many young hitters as it has helped. I remember reading that when Calvin Griffith brought Tony Olivia up, he gave the manager strict instructions to leave his swing alone. In other words don't fix what ain't broke. Gonzalez flew up 3 minor league levels and pounded AAA pitching as a 21 year old. It clearly ain't broke. Don't try to fix it. -
Jenkins starting the year on the shelf is getting predictable.
- 5 replies
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- walker jenkins
- andrew cosseti
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I would say absolutely not. I love having Pablo on the Twins. He has been a real good pitcher, a leader and an all around class act. That said, a pitcher's recovery from a second UCL surgery is a bit of a crap shoot. A successful return from a first TJ is a very percentage. A second one has about a 65% rate to return and about 42% return to previous form. They tend to throw fewer innings and have shortened careers. Again, love Pablo, but this would just be low percentage move.
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Projecting the Twins 2026 Opening Day Roster, v. 4.0
TJSweens replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Handing a job to someone simply because he is out of options is plain stupid. Outman will be 29 in May. He either shows he is a major leaguer or he is DFA. It's not like the Twins made a big investment to get him. The Twins gave up an injury prone middle reliever in Brock Stewart to get him. True to form, Stewart went on the IL after 3 innings with the Dodgers. The Twins have too many prospective outfielders to hold a spot for a guy just because he is out of options.- 49 replies
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- byron buxton
- luke keaschall
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Twins Daily 2026 Top 20 Prospects: #9 Marek Houston, SS
TJSweens replied to Adam Friedman's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
A league average bat combined with gold glove defense can get you a 10 year run at SS. Especially if Houston is an adept base runner. Modern analytics have created one of the biggest copy cat trends in the history of the game. Everything is launch angle and exit velocity now. Some guys just can't hit like that. Trying to "unlock their power" screws them up. -
Trusting the Process or Testing the Depth
TJSweens replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Two things: 1. This team as constructed is not going to contend and Lucas Giolito is not going to move the meter. 2. Can you guys stop wedging the Twins pursuit of Framber Valdez into every other article? They didn't get him. Move on. This team will contend when they develop a core that is competitive enough to be supplemented by a free agent signing.- 13 replies
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- pablo lopez
- david festa
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Early spring training results should be taken with a grain of salt. There are a lot players who won't get a whiff of a major league roster involved. Some pitchers are focused on fine tuning show pitches and not necessarily pitching their normal games. Some players need some games under their belts before things click. The last two weeks of training camp will tell us a whole lot more.
- 38 replies
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- alan roden
- kody clemens
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The problem with this rotation is that it involves using Caratini and his career .692 OPS at two premium offensive positions. Not a good plan in my opinion.
- 48 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- alex jackson
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Twins Daily 2026 Top Prospects: #11-15
TJSweens replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I remember reading that the Twins draft room erupted when Young was still on the board at #54. Big tools across the board. The Twins scouts loved him. I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing.- 23 replies
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- marco raya
- brandon winokur
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Come on Cody. The Twins have played a handful of games. None of the guys you mentioned are in a perilous position at this point.
- 31 replies
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- alan roden
- austin martin
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1. That is just a terrible defensive lineup. 2. Why is Larnach ceded a starting job? His bat isn't good enough to justify his terrible defense. He needs to be traded. 3. Good lord that's a terrible defensive lineup. 4. Martin has to be a lock. It looked like his OF defense made real strides during the year. He gets on base. He steals bases. Give him a chance against RHP. 5. That defensive lineup....ugh! 6. There should be no consideration for options. Outman either shows he can hit or he is DFA. All we gave up was a perennially injured middle reliever for him.
- 77 replies
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- austin martin
- james outman
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Given Lewis' history with soft tissue injuries, I wouldn't exactly tell him to run at will. I have a good feeling about Martin. He may well become more than a platoon player. The idea that corner outfielders have to hit for power is overrated. Get on base, put pressure on the defense and play good defense.
- 33 replies
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- luke keaschall
- byron buxton
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