And if he's willing to sign an extension at full price then he'd also be willing to sign as a FA at full price. Therefore, I don't understand how you are mitigating the risk of him leaving by offering a full price extension. When you approach him about a full price extension, he's either interested in staying in MN, or he's not. Approaching him about a full price extension only keeps him in the scenario where he's open to staying- so you haven't gained anything. In that scenario he's open to staying via FA as well. The scenario where he's not open to staying, you lose him whether you approach him or not. The only alternate scenario I can think of is where he was open to staying, but then gets bitter that he wasn't offered an extension so he changes his mind. Dozier doesn't seem like the petty, bitter type of guy, so I'd place small odds on that scenario.