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NYCTK

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  1. It's quite upfront about being a career retrospective about the evil banker that owned the Twins for many decades before he rode the Styx River. Your points about his clear misstatement over what business Pohlad was attempting to sell are very valid, but there was no intent to lie, seeing as how he provided the sources so you can quite easily check that confusing misstatement. Bankers aren't inherently bad. But there's a reason the villain in the most famous Christmas movie is a banker. Pohlad is just another is a long line of immoral individuals that exploited his fellow man for a buck. If you're angry that this is being pointed out, I don't know what to say. It is easier for a camel to travel through the eye of a needle than a rich man to enter paradise.
  2. It's not a stretch. He could very well be a product of survivor bias. His career BABIP is 359. He hits the ball hard, obviously, so we can think it should be north of 300, but do we really think he's the hitter to match Aaron Judge? Or is it more likely he's more comparable to a player like Brent Rooker and Ohtani (327), Yordan Alvarez (322), Soto (305), or maybe even Schwarber (261). And forget how weak CF is across the league. That's why his value is so high even with his inability to stay on the field. I do have this concern, but others here have lessened this concern to some degree. But he still has to show it in the majors. Hope he gets all the opportunity to do so, at least in the first third of the season. ZiPS doesn't have nearly this concern either, 746/817 OPS platoon split.
  3. I saw the White Sox and Tigers both had 7 players in the Baseball Prospectus Top 101 prospects. The Royals only have 1. And the Guardians have 4. But I haven't seen the Twins number. I saw 3 in the top 50. Was it just the 3 total as well?
  4. I remember people saying that about Johan Santana. I still think it's foolish not to allow him to try to stretch himself out in Spring Training. Seems to me to be another example of the Twins being behind the times. If you have a potential ace, you don't just refuse to allow them to try to show it. There is some risk, as SP risk of injury is significantly higher than RP, but the potential upside far exceeds that. I have yet to see a good argument against allowing him to try to be a SP. The depth argument doesn't work for me. If he worked out, you can trade Woods-Richardson for a good reliever very easily. Whereas you can't trade Griffin Jax for a #2 starter. Not right now anyways. Plus, as we all know, even a good pitching staff is going to use 8+ SP. Who's the Twins 8th SP right now? Dobnak? Headrick?
  5. All that matters is the sale of the team. We've known that since the announcement they were looking to sell. If they actually sell the team, the offseason is the best in my lifetime.
  6. I mostly agree with this. The first third or even half of the season is for learning where everyone is. If you're managing games with panic, asking for 6 out saves in May, your seasons gonna go poorly. But I think that sort of management as they get into the dog days of summer is important. If Duran wants to act like a top dog, he needs to occasionally come in in the 8th.
  7. Deregulation period. Thankfully, now we have smart people in positions of power in this country that really value the people over money...
  8. Broke: Carl Pohlad foreclosed homes during the depression Woke: Carl Pohlad ruthlessly killed a man
  9. It was a juiced ball. That's why he wasn't able to do it again. And he kind of did do it again, effectively matching his '19 OPS+ with his '23 season.
  10. It doesn't really project playing time. It's just an estimated baseline of current skill.
  11. And what about the other 31 seasons? No one is really discussing lower expectations for Kepler. We're just pointing out the fact that a mid tier prospect becoming a 20 WAR player is a very good outcome actually, and anyone disappointed is completely unreasonable. You're allowed to be disappointed with particular moments, or at-bats, where he failed to come through. Absolutely. That's part of being a fan. But if you're taking a look at his Twins career and come away with the conclusion that he didn't live up to your expectations, I'm sorry, but you're a bad fan and you will always be disappointed. Perhaps you should go cheer for the Dodgers.
  12. Having a Lefty reliever isn't really that valuable in today's game like it was 20 years ago. Sure, many players do have drastic splits, but you still gotta pitch to two other players. Just get the best pitchers on the roster, arm be damned.
  13. This series is like It's A Wonderful Life, but if Clarence visited Potter and is trying to get him to jump.
  14. woo I love to cheer for a baseball team to save money on the margins in arbitration.
  15. Just comparing it to the AL West, it's pretty clear the AL West has the best team, and the AL Central has the worst team. We can debate about the nuanced rankings of those other 8 teams, but those two facts are pretty solidified. I'd probably argue the AL West has the two best teams of the 10. Last season, the AL Central was better, and did beat them in the season series 87 - 72. But I'm more so discussing 2025. The AL Central, collectively, was very healthy and didn't lose much to unexpected injury, whereas the AL West was significantly less lucky. The AL Central "lost" 29.3 WAR to injury compared the AL Wests 44.1 and as has been discussed, the AL West teams are actually working to improve where the AL Central are almost all standing pat.
  16. It's a great little escape in the winter. ZiPS has the best roster as something like this: C Ryan Jeffers 1B Edouard Julien 2B Luke Keaschall 3B Royce Lewis SS Carlos Correa LF Matt Wallner CF Byron Buxton RF Emmanuel Rodriguez DH Gasper, Mickey C2 Christian Vázquez IF Willi Castro OF Trevor Larnach B4 José Miranda
  17. I think we all know the reason this is a borderline playoff team is only because the AL Central is the worst division in baseball so a mediocre team (or 3!) is able to sneak in. Vegas has the line at 83.5 wins. I'd bet the under if I were a betting man. Easy money.
  18. How dare fans want ownership to put together a team that can advance at least to the ALCS more than once in 33 years. This comparison is, frankly, ridiculous. If you're disappointed with Kepler, you'll almost never be satisfied by any player short of an actual Hall of Famer. If I were to guess, you were one of the hoards of fans criticizing Joe for not being an MVP candidate every season. Calling him an overpaid bum.
  19. I mean...it's the offseason and we all knew the Twins weren't doing anything. So, I don't know what you expect. Anyways, Fangraphs posted the Twins ZiPS projections! Rodriguez has a very weird line of 211/343/397. Seems about right. He's going to be a very, very frustrating player.
  20. Sure, but helps that three off those teams cleaned up against the White Sox. Guardians only ones that didn't ironically. AL West probably a bit worse last year but not by much.
  21. Perhaps. Way more likely to be a Twin than Alonso though.
  22. Why do people keep saying this? This isn't true. Just like the Twin Cities aren't a small market. I feel like the Twins org has brainwashed it's fans into a 'poor us' mentality.
  23. Not really, that's still really impressive. Watching and tracking pitches with that movement and velocity is difficult and the introduction of the digital tools, the umpires are getting better each and every year (though this is potentially due to the old guard retiring out of the league). I actually hate the strike zone displayed on the television because it's not always accurate and does nothing but get fans in a tizzy. I'm ambivalent about introducing the strike/ball challenge system. Seems to be pretty well implemented in AAA but I've never actually watched it in context of an actual game.
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