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Woof Bronzer

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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer

  1. Woof Bronzer
    Yeah it feels like he actually meant to say "I take NO personal responsibility for that." Slip of the tongue, maybe.
  2. Woof Bronzer
    Yes in fact it was "reported" that night the Red Sox squeaked by the Twins 13-1. Which was bizarre - the news didn't come from the Twins, and I don't think they ever officially announced it. So that means someone leaked the info - either someone in the org a bit unhappy with the club's performance, or maybe I guess Rocco, to make it harder to get fired in season? It makes no sense. What makes even less sense is, if Falvey did really extend him in the offseason, why wouldn't he announce it? Falvey loves Baldelli, and their AI machine needs as much practice as it can get, why wouldn't they use that for some harmless PR points? "We wanted to get this done so Rocco can focus on leading the team to a championship this year." So yeah I would love to know more about the timing of the extension.
  3. Woof Bronzer
    Yep, great comment. Rocco had to go, and his firing won't change anything. Both things can be true.
  4. Woof Bronzer
    Source? I'm no Rocco defender but this would be quite strange.
  5. Woof Bronzer
    Not sure it's reasonable to expect the Pohlads to fire themselves.
  6. Woof Bronzer
    They've been allowing it with several other teams for years. The other others probably view revenue sharing as a cost of doing business in an extraordinarily lucrative business. You pay the tax for 20 years and your franchise value will increase by a billion dollars independent of whether you win games or lose them, whether you run your business competently or not. And, like others have said, the other owners probably want to preserve their own ability to go into lose-for-cash mode down the road too. They like options.
  7. Woof Bronzer
    It's likely not team debt, and certainly not operating debt (maybe they're carrying forward some stadium debt). The Pohlads' commercial real estate portfolio is in the tank - more work from home, businesses are downsizing their footprint, and as a result the market is saturated. Given what we see from their operation of the Twins it's safe to say they run their other businesses very short sightedly and are probably now stuck with an underwater real estate portfolio they can't unload. They've long used the Twins as a debt shelter and likely are continuing to do so. The Pohlads are poor businessmen, it isn't just the Twins they are running into the ground. Joe Pohlad has run 2 Pohlad businesses before and he wrecked them both. The Pohlads have always been better at destroying value than creating it.
  8. Woof Bronzer
    Yep, exactly. They'll sit back and let the TV money/revenue sharing roll in. This is the plan of teams like the Rockies, Pirates, As, Nats etc. Being terrible is very profitable in MLB.
  9. Woof Bronzer
    Thanks for these weekly recaps Nick. It must have been a very trying year for TD, appreciate all the work.
  10. Woof Bronzer
    I don't know what to tell you, but if you think ABS is 100% accurate you are quite mistaken.
  11. Woof Bronzer
    They stole at an 85% clip, that's not high risk. They got 45 more bases in the 2nd half by stealing. That's a good thing. Nobody is saying "steal bases and then you'll magically win a World Series." Nobody is saying stealing bases is the main strategy. It's a small strategy but when paired with a bunch of other small strategies can create a small competitive advantage, which is what teams like the Twins need to find.
  12. Woof Bronzer
    They are net positive 45 bases due to steals since the trade deadline. Are you saying this actually hurt the team?
  13. Woof Bronzer
    Was there a pitch in that empty corporate babble? All I heard was: Derek Falvey thinks fans are stupid.
  14. Woof Bronzer
    I suspect you don't have any problem with say the outcome of the Gant/Hrbek bad call game in 91....I don't either :) ABS is not 100% accurate and human umps are like 95% accurate so we're talking about incremental improvement, with a downside that I think ABS will start the path toward more and more replay and less humans - that's what has happened in every sport. I honestly don't feel that strongly about it though, I just get the sense fans think this is 100% accurate and this will end bad calls and that is just not the case. They'll just get mad at the robots now. Frankly I think many fans would be astonished to learn that the strike zone box they see on the screen isn't anything official or accurate,
  15. Woof Bronzer
    What about the bad calls that went our way throughout the season? This stuff evens out over time. If fans think ABS is going to bring their team a few more wins they are in for some severe disappointment. Fans don't want the right calls. They want the calls to benefit their team. ABS won't change that.
  16. Woof Bronzer
    Keep moving those goalposts and constructing strawmen bud! This is going great for you!
  17. Woof Bronzer
    Lol. 6th is such a random number, I wonder why you selected it...who are the 5 AL teams above the As in RBIs, and how many are playoff teams? Who are the 6 NL teams above the As, and how many of those are playoff teams.
  18. Woof Bronzer
    Ah, moving goal posts now. Take the L, man. I didn't know RBI and OPS+ were so closely aligned until I looked it up - it's interesting, wouldn't you agree? I don't use a single stat to evaluate any player, and baseball is about entertainment for me, not math, but I do push back on the sabermetric tendency to hand wave away stats like RBI and wins. It's actually pretty incredible that for all the fancy OPS+ formulas and assumptions and normalizations, the results are fairly comparable to good old fashioned, not fancy, not perfect RBI.
  19. Woof Bronzer
    Oh and just fyi: in career OPS+ Williams is 2nd, Mays is 27th, and Henderson is tied for 229th. It would appear that by your own metrics, OPS+ and RBI are pretty similar. If one's hot garbage, both are. The more you know!
  20. Woof Bronzer
    I'm just using your metric ("Look at the OPS leaders - they're all great hitters.") to evaluate the stat. Are you saying the RBI leaders on the list are not great power hitters? Which ones? Of course RBI (or any other stat) is not the end all be all stat, that's my point. But if your point is that all one needs to do to determine the worthiness of a stat is look at the leaderboard and see what the results turn up, then RBI is unquestionably a great statistic. "RBI doesn't exactly reflect my personal opinion of hitters" isn't relevant at all, sorry. Fwiw Barry Bonds is 4th all time in OPS+, so by another of your own metrics, OPS+ fails. In fact I'd say RBI and OPS+ are pretty well aligned when it comes to Mr. Bonds! Facts can be pesky, can't they?
  21. Woof Bronzer
    The writer references OPS+, not OPS, as the end all, be all stat to evaluate Wallner. Finding an obscure stat that supports your predetermined opinion, presenting it as the final answer, and ignoring all statistics to the contrary is a hallmark of the sabermetric movement . As you surely know, OPS+ takes OPS and then erases all pitcher, park, weather, etc context to speculate would happen if every at bat happened in a controlled laboratory against a robot rather than in an actual MLB game. It can give you some interesting what if data but it is not a measure of performance at all. Fwiw here's the all time top 10 RBI list: Aaron Pujols Ruth A Rod Anson Bonds Gehrig Musial Cobb Foxx All great power hitters! I'd say RBI does a pretty great job actually.
  22. Woof Bronzer
    I think fans are going to be extremely disappointed to learn that 1) ABS is not 100% accurate and never will be 2) ABS won't end arguing about missed calls 3) their team doesn't suddenly turn into a WS contender once the big bad umps are replaced.
  23. Woof Bronzer
    What if, instead, the Twins did something really crazy and put a high OBP guy ahead of Wallner in the lineup? That way - and just hear me out - a few of those solo shots might become 2 run HRs! Radical concept, I know, but maybe, just maybe, it's worth a try...
  24. Woof Bronzer
    I'd be shocked if they keep Lopez, Ryan, and Ober. Lopez is the guy I'm most convinced they are trading, simply because his contract is the highest and 2026 is going to be all about cutting costs. Given recent comments though they could trade the disgruntled duo of Ryan + Buxton instead which would cut roughly the same payroll as trading Lopez.
  25. Woof Bronzer
    Considering he didn't get another MLB job it appears the damage was already done...
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