Hawkeye Bean Counter

Walker Jenkins Walker Jenkins and Brooks Lee are very even. Jenkins has the ability to have the contact of Lee with elite OPS. Brooks Lee has been fairly consistent in his stats throughout all levels sitting with an OPS in the .800-.900 range. Jenkins in a SSS had a 1.054 OPS in A ball as an 18 year old. I have no idea if he can maintain his performance up the levels like Lee has, however there is more and more evidence that the Twins have a potential all-star player in the young Jenkins. Brooks Lee Lee has done everything we hoped he would do. Solid contact hitter, lots of doubles and pretty good defense. He is risen up the levels much better than expected. Emmanuel Rodriguez Rodriguez continues to impress. A more powerful and higher OBP and OPS Julien with better defense. Has to continue to limit the strike outs. Charlee Soto Soto like many of his 2023 draft picks is projection. However the fireballer has the ability to be a #1 pitcher for the Twins. He also has the body type that may be more durable than other prospects in the system. That ceiling and durability lifts him to the top of the pitching rankings. Marco Raya Raya has an electric arm, the question has been can it hold up to the rigors of a season. This season was good in that he got through it, but he was on a severe innings restriction. Hopefully the training wheels come off. David Festa Festa is beginning to see the increase in competition at the higher levels but continued to hold his own. I expect a jump in performance this upcoming year. Tanner Schobel Schobel and Keaschall are doing everything the Twins had hoped for when they picked them. Brandon Winokur He is young and had a SSS in rookie ball. However the contact looks better than expected at this stage and it appears he has the power potential that can carry him up through the system. His athleticism is also better than advertised. Luke Keaschall Solid start to his career. Austin Martin Martins inconsistency is maddening. At one point he looks like an elite prospect player and the next moment the slipper is off and the pumpkin has disappeared. I will say his defense is improving. Connor Prielipp He may have the highest ceiling of any pitcher in the system, but has struggled with health. The Twins were impressed with his stuff in the summer. If the arm is healthy I am expecting big things. Tanner Hall Without seeing him this is all projection. However, we know he is already an elite pitcher. Can the Twins harness a few more mph to Hall's command and quality pitches. If so, he has the ceiling of a #2 or #3 pitcher. Yunior SeverinoCory Lewis Lewis is going to start a run of 2022 draft prospects - and primarily pitchers. Lewis was exceptional this year and has several pitches that can play up. CJ CulpepperAndrew Cossetti His bat played very well this year. He carried teams throughout the year. His performance rockets him up the prospect rankings. Pierson Ohl Ohl is really beginning to put things together and may jump the 2022 drafted pitching prospects. Andrew Morris Although at 18 this spot was between Morris and Matthews. The difference between the two is Morris got stronger as the season wore on where Matthews excelled at A ball and struggled a bit more in high A. Morris is a Hall light in my opinion that will continue to improve as he is in the system. Matt Canterino Of the pitchers in the system that were highly ranked before, Canterino has not only performed the best while on the field but also has the highest ceiling between, Balazovic, Enlow and SWR. All Canterino like Priellip needs is health. If healthy he will rocket up the board and also likely into the MLB. Kody Funderburk The best Reliever in the Twins system has to be in the top 20 prospects right. He is also performing very well.

winnah winnah chicken dinner

veterans Correa and Gray paying dividends.

I am starting to wonder if the AL East was not as strong as it was perceived to be. Maybe just jitters, but if Twins and Rangers win you are only left with Baltimore. Who would likely be our next opponent if we win?

If we get a big hit here, takes a lot of pressure off on this game. Come on guys.

Rookies killing it this game so far. Really making Guasman work for it.

Nice at bat Kiriloff. Don't help Guasman, Correa make him work for it and punish it if he gives you something good.

Kepler not helping the pitch counts

Make Gausman throw more than 20 pitches this inning guys. Make him work. We got some runs, don't give him easy outs.

Holy crap!

Julien 6 pitch walk, nice way to start the inning. Lets make Gausman throw some pitches

Got through 1 inning of pitching, made Pablo throw a few extra, oh well, hope we can get a clean inning next one.

tell me whether to pick the over/under or you saying just pick the Twins to win 😉

LOL - I guess if you want to ignore Festa, Varland, Raya, and Ohl. Yes they are college guys considering we have primarily picked college guys. Add in the highest high school pitcher we have picked in recent drafts we traded away this is the only outcome that would make us happy. As to the big chunk that jumped from A to A+ ball in their first full year, and in reality dominated - what else would you want? And no that does not just regularly occur. Have you ever heard of 5 players from 1 draft that dominated their level of ball? I sure as heck haven't. 4th round - Morris 7th round - Jones 8th round - Matthews 9th round - Lewis 13th round - Culpepper Add in the pitcher with a very high ceiling in Priellip, I can see why some get excited. You have 6 solid arms there. Yes not all of them will make it to the big leagues. However, 5 players that did very well in high A ball is the precursor to future success. Besides that the stuff looks good. Morris, Lewis and Culpepper all ended their seasons on high notes.

I have been a very strong proponent that this will be a good bullpen however there is some things to consider. The issue is at right now the top 3 of the top 4 relievers have been prone to blow ups (Jax, Duran and Pagan). As long as Pagan is throwing strikes he is good, if he can't in a pressure situation it can get rough in a hurry. We will know very quickly what that looks like. I am very optomistic and know at the very least it gives us a chance.

Just saw this. The 2022 class of pitchers is doing very well.

Lewis right now, his stuff likely plays well in AA or AAA, possibly even mlb as a fringe player. He will continue to need to work on his craft. If he can find another 1-2 mph on the fastball with improved mechanics, and continues to develop his 5 pitches or refines down to 4, he will likely have a very long career. Look at that list and how littered it is with 2019, 2021, and 2022 late round pitchers. These guys just are not filler. They have legit stuff and legit chances and possibly making it up to the big leagues. Thats what makes the 2023 draft so interesting. The quality of pitchers selected is a step above any of the prior years. I don't know if there is even a competitive year to compare it too. HS Pitchers - Soto and Questad Elite College pitcher with slow fastball - Hall College pitchers bigger programs elite stuff average or poor performance- injury - Dunn, Pasqualatto, Lee College pitchers big programs above average stuff - good to average performance - Stoffal, Dougherty, Langenberg Small college pitchers - Santos, Hamilton, Bengard, Silvas, Bragg, Garcia The small college pitchers are equivalent to prior years. However, I cannot find a good comp to a Hall that we have picked in the last couple years. He stays healthy and adds some velocity and maintains command - he is a very good pitcher. I will ignore the HS pitchers - they have higher ceilings but at this point without seeing them it is just too hard to predict how they will do. I am optimistic. However the biggest change in previous drafts is 6 pitchers from good programs that generally at some point in college careers did very well and have very good to elite stuff. Performances for 2023 for this group was at best good to average to poor. However their quality and skill level appears to be better with higher ceilings than most of the pitchers we have picked in prior years. This is purely odds and statistics, however I see no less than 2 mlb pitchers out of this class and possibly 3 or more. Its high, maybe slightly optimistic, but due to the quality and the Twins ability to improve pitchers I am fairly confident in this group. With the hitters - Jenkins, Winokur and Keaschall this class has the potential to be a game changer for the organization. I am looking forward to the playoffs, but I am will be ready for spring ball and new season of milb to see what we have in some of these players.

That would never happen. You get to the 7th or 8th and they would be jumping into the bullpen in a tight game.

nm

Jax is just struggling to throw strikes.

Now why would you intentional walk Jeffers to get to Polanco?

Gray only has a shot if Cole implodes in one of the next couple starts and Gray gets to 10 wins. Otherwise extreme longshot

Gibault played last season for Cleveland. Cano you have to give credit to Baltimore for recognizing to change the arm slot. Coulombe was a mistake on Twins end. Picked the wrong player, the one with higher upside and it didn't work out.

Lewis Wallner Jeffers and Julien are all over .800. Kepler is close. It does look like replacement level is between .700 and .800. Also you have to exclude WAR from the defensive side. But yes it would be great if we had a few more hitters above .800.

Besides a strong 16 game performance in sept. His July and august had an average OPS of .700 over 215 at bats. An .800 OPS is basically replacement level I believe. The only thing you could say is he bottomed out in July and is beginning to figure it out again in Sept. A 2.8 WAR is still a really good season, However its a similar situation to Arraez where his performance was elite through June and then he has fallen off a cliff like he has for the last 3 years as the season as wore on. April/March 25 24 104 91 12 23 6 1 2 9 1 1 10 24 .253 .337 .407 .743 37 1 2 0 1 0 1 .318 85 106 May 27 27 121 110 18 35 8 1 6 19 0 1 10 22 .318 .372 .573 .945 63 2 0 0 1 0 0 .349 131 155 June 27 26 112 89 12 24 5 0 5 20 8 0 18 18 .270 .411 .494 .905 44 1 4 0 1 0 0 .284 125 149 July 24 24 99 90 9 21 1 0 2 10 0 0 8 23 .233 .303 .311 .614 28 2 1 0 0 0 1 .292 54 69 August 27 26 116 102 10 26 11 0 3 14 3 0 11 25 .255 .336 .451 .787 46 1 2 0 1 0 0 .307 94 112 Sept/Oct 16 15 69 57 7 14 0 0 4 9 2 1 10 14 .246 .377 .456 .833 26 1 2 0 0 0 0 .256 107 125