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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    15 day DL, sure. But probably not 60-day DL unless they are unusually pessimistic. And that's the only DL that would open a 40-man spot.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    But what is "par"? What if the vets are pitching just good enough to not get cut? What if one of them has a hot start to buoy his season ERA a bit so he never dips below par (we'll call this the Mike Pelfrey Special)? I'm not some kind of "5 rookies rotation" extremist or anything. But all 5 have to be veterans? We need to start with Ryan Vogelsong because we just don't want to be in a position where a rookie struggles and we may not have a *Ryan Vogelsong* available to replace him? It boggles the mind. And you don't have to hand it to a rookie either. But it absolutely should not be Vogelsong's job to lose at this point.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Perkins won't go on the 60-day DL unless he has a setback. The 60 days would have to start from opening day, it can't be retroactive to spring training. And at this point, I think both he and the team would expect him to be activated before June.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Also, if having Vogelsong is such a rare, important opportunity to warrant an opening day rotation spot, what exactly will happen midseason to make him expendable? Berrios and Mejia won't necessarily have any more MLB experience by that point.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Same argument used to roster a lot of middling vets who became available by midseason...
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    You yourself projected him in the bullpen originally, no? He would be available there. If we cut him and he signed a minor league deal elsewhere, he would likely be available by his opt out date. Not to mention, if you really want guys like Vogelsong, Santiago, Hughes, etc., they are almost certainly a few guys like that available midseason if we are willing to pick up some salary.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Pretty sure present day MLB practice is to NOT skip the 5th starter.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    The likes of Ryan Vogelsong won't be available later?
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2017-top-100-prospects/ 66. Nick Gordon Gonsalves, Jay, and Kiriloff in the "others in consideration" group of 32. Alternate universe Twin Jose DeLeon at #44.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Speaking personally, I didn't have much of a choice if I wanted to go.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    In my experience, you can always find a seat somewhere, although the lower level ushers will generally check your tickets. I tend to sit somewhere cheap and move down later in the game.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm not sure this is all that good of a deal. Limiting it to April and May and excluding the opener just doesn't give the buyer a whole lot of value, unless you accept the Twins inflated weekend prices at face value. Just eyeballing, but a fair number of weekday games are already $6. The secondary market will probably produce tickets at that level for just about every game too, with the possible exception of the Red Sox series. To make this a good deal, I think you would have to cover the whole season. Twins had a general admission season ticket for the Metrodome for $200 as recently as 2006. Maybe a $300 standing room ticket for Target Field? Although if it meant ushers being more strict about preventing seat upgrades, I certainly would not be in favor.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually both Santiago and Hughes could refuse an outright minor league assignment, and with 5+ years service time, they would be entitled to their full salaries. Milone only had 4 years service time, so he had to accept the outright assignment to keep his salary.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Actually May's record as a starter is pretty good -- a solid debut at AAA in 2014, and a league-average-ish first half of 2015 to kick off his first full MLB season. Unfortunately that's the most recent starting data point we have for him, through no fault of his own. I'd probably "lock" him into a starting spot this spring before Hughes.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Meyer did get shut down at the very very end of 2014, but I thought that was more of a precaution after his 2013 midseason shoulder injury, which indeed sidelined him for a couple months but where he avoided surgery. And honestly, other than the missed time, I don't know if he's looked all that different since then. He got knocked around in the first 2 months of 2015, but he settled down reasonably as a reliever, and then came back in 2016 and looked competent in his brief healthy moments. No guarantee that he's going to complete a successful transition to MLB of course, but I'd rather have him competing for a job on the Twins right now, with a minor league option left and a new front office evaluating him, than have Hector Santiago locked into a spot.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Just scanning those Camp Battle reports, here are some guys that might hit waivers: Tim Beckham, INF, Rays (out of options) http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/beckhti01.shtml Todd Cunningham, OF, Cardinals (out of options) http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/cunnito01.shtml Daniel Stumpf, LH RP, Tigers (Rule 5 pick) http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/stumpda01.shtml Alen Hanson, INF, Pirates (out of options) http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hansoal01.shtml Tyler Webb, LH RP, Pirates (Rule 5 pick) http://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=webb--000jon Albert Suarez, RHP, Giants (out of options) http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/suareal01.shtml Christian Colon, INF, Royals (out of options) http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/colonch01.shtml Not all of these guys will be waived, but a couple might be. This series has covered about 11 teams so far (plus the Twins). If they do more teams, I'll try to post any additional names I notice.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    Erasmo Ramirez is indeed out of options, but he's not getting waived this spring. He is in a battle for a starting spot but would go back to the bullpen if he loses. Looking at out of options guys is the first step, but then you have to consider some context. Like for the Twins, Polanco is out of options but there is zero chance he gets waived this spring. You'd have to look for guys like Danny Santana, Adrianza, Tonkin, etc. on other teams. Rule 5 guys are another target -- if their clubs try to return them to their original team, we would get a chance to claim them first (with the same roster restrictions, of course).
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't know numbers, but there are a few. Obviously most of them aren't terribly good. A good place to start would be to look at MLBTR's "Camp Battles" series, and look at the guys listed as "out of options": https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/camp-battles Not all of those guys will get waived, of course, but a few will.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Hughes was only put in the bullpen by the Twins twice, briefly, and both times the decision had specific health components. Unless this March ineffectiveness has a specific health component to it, I think he gets first crack at a rotation spot this year.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    Pretty much, although technically the player wouldn't actually get outrighted or released -- that only happens if they clear waivers. So the Twins wouldn't be "signing" them, just claiming their current contract when they old team puts them on waivers -- including whatever restrictions that entails (i.e. a player out of options would have to be on the Twins 25 man roster, or passed through waivers again to send to the minors).
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't know if the Tigers pen is all that bad. If Mark Lowe's leash is shorter, plus more innings from Bruce Rondon and a debut by Joe Jimenez, they could be solid.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    FYI, the JD Martinez example was a hypothetical. Had the Twins put in a claim, they could have had him. They didn't put in a claim (no one did, apparently, and he was free to sign with whomever he wanted). Outright/release waiver priority is MLB worst to first. Up through the first 30 days of the season, it is based on the previous season's standings, so the Twins have top priority through May 2nd this year, even after they inevitably storm out of the gate with a 9-0 start.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Hopefully this also means that Vogelsong is not being considered for the rotation. Although even in long relief, he would be redundant with Haley and he would probably get first crack at any rotation openings over, say, Berrios or Duffey.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    I couldn't find it in the Strib, but here is the Pioneer Press: http://www.twincities.com/2017/03/04/minnesota-twins-miguel-sano-blasts-his-way-out-of-spring-swoon/ A little more detail from 1500 ESPN: http://www.1500espn.com/twins-2/2017/03/molitor-leaning-toward-veteran-rotation-5th-spot-still-grabs/
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    Worth noting that Dombrowski is gone. I too have been cautious about writing off the Tigers in recent years, but it could be their new brain trust can't keep up like Dombrowski did. (And of course, the money thing with Illitch's death could be big.) They got through 2016, but how they adapt in 2017 will be pretty telling.
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