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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    I would be surprised because I think the FO views it very differently. I think they are satisfied with their current moves. I don't necessarily agree with that assessment, but I think that is what they believe, regardless of this Heyman report.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    When it was reported, that offer for Archer was already 2 weeks old. Now it's probably been a month. With no further movement, and in fact a different trade between the two teams plus the Sanchez signing, I think that Archer possibility is as good as dead for now, until the Twins or Rays massively change their minds -- maybe midseason, at the earliest.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Technically, Chargois wouldn't use an option while he is on the 60-day DL. Perhaps the theory would be, keep him for now on the 60-day DL and give him the first 2 months of the season to show he is healthy again -- although rehab is limited to 30 days, so you'd have to do April in extended spring training, then the month of May in AAA for rehab. Basically postponing this decision to June 1st or so, not unlike how some teams approach Rule 5 picks. If he couldn't stay healthy through June 1, you could leave him on the DL longer and preserve his option year for 2019 -- but of course, if he can't stay healthy again, you probably don't want him for 2019 either, option or not! But if he could stay healthy, you could decide on June 1st to activate him to MLB, or option him to AAA, and then decide to drop, say, Enns, or Kinley if he is still around, etc. instead, if you still need the 40-man spot. Not that I endorse it, but I believe that is the alternative plan being suggested here.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    Sorry, I just caught that now! My mistake.
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    If you want to make a change to the waiver system, it should not only affect the potential claiming teams, but also the waiving team. To that effect, if they let the player opt for free agency upon their first outright assignment, that would both deter teams from making "bogus claims" AND deter his original team from waiving him in the first place. Although that could have the potential of putting more marginal players on the open market, and reducing the value of some. (Right now, some marginal guys can get their value boosted by limited supply in a similar way as MLB veterans get their value boosted by limited supplies of free agents. Just on an obviously lower scale. )
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Heyman is also getting fed, by agents. I wouldn't universally trust him over LaVelle, or vice versa, but rather evaluate on a case-by-case basis -- and in this case, I would be rather surprised if the Twins got aggressive about adding another MLB FA pitcher, at this point.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Blind. At the end of the waiver period, the player is awarded to the claiming team with the highest priority.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    No, that doesn't protect the player's interest. It removes a potential benefit for the claiming team, thus making it less likely the player will be claimed at all. Would Chargois rather be outrighted by the Twins today, or potentially outrighted by the Dodgers 3 weeks from now? The latter, every time. Maybe an injury in the meantime opens up an opportunity elsewhere, and he can get claimed again; maybe Chargois gets a better audition by sticking around the major league camp. The player generally wants to be claimed as long as possible, and doesn't really care if they don't end up back with team A. And is it really "hot potato"? The Twins have had full control over this particular "potato" for 5.5 years. They could have kept control longer rather easily, but chose not to -- we didn't even fill his vacated roster spot yet, plus we still have Kinley and somewhat unusually gave a premature spot to Sanchez. (Heck, the potato didn't even get to choose the Twins in the first place, thanks to the draft.) It can't really be that frustrating as a fan to just let him go now, can it? The Twins can always put in a claim for him if team B or team C decides to waive him again down the line -- do we really deserve any more rights to him, at this point? No matter what system you devise, some guys are eventually going to be on the edge of it.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, Dodgers have lowest waiver priority, so this means 28 of 29 teams passed on Chargois.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    Right, but Nolasco wasn't coming off of TJ surgery either. Could be they are still bad bets, but it may not be quite as simple as some stats suggest.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    Not necessarily. The Dodgers transferred Urias to the 60-day DL to add Chargois. They are now employing 41 players on their 40 man roster.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    I would imagine Chargois would prefer to stay on a 40-man roster as long as possible. Better pay, benefits, likelihood of getting called up, insurance in case of injury (60-day MLB DL versus minor league disabled list), etc.
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    The plus might have to be pretty significant, at this point.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    If you cancel the renewal, I think your subscription stays active for the remainder, right? At least I remember canceling the renewal right away, even before the end of the previous season, but continuing to use the service for the duration.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    Small sample, but Cobb's K% was improving late last season, more in line with his 2013-2014 seasons which were above league average in that regard. Lynn had the reverse -- he started strong in K% in 2017 and faded. Could be the post-TJ surgery effects for both? I'm not smart enough to parse PITCHf/x for that kind of stuff! They certainly aren't Darvish, but they may not be sub-7 K/9 types going forward either.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    It was already reported that Tampa wasn't interested in a Sano-for-Archer swap.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't know about that -- Nolasco was thoroughly mediocre prior to Minnesota, career 94 ERA+ and coming off his second-best season ever at 101 ERA+, and 5 years removed from his best season. Same age, Lance Lynn is a career 114 ERA+ and coming off a 124 (albeit heavily BABIP infuenced). Cobb is a career 111 ERA+ and coming of a 113.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Gifted and Talented Front Office? Great Terry Felton Opportunity?
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    No TV, or WCCO. But the affiliate radio network (TIBN) is apparently carrying it. And of course, the radio stream should be available to MLB.TV subscribers (and last year's subscriptions are still active through February).
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    If anything, the fact that he has an option left would make him more likely to be claimed, right? I think it could just be a good time to sneak someone through, regardless of options -- I would suspect most teams have reasonably full rosters entering spring training, and perhaps eyes on one of the remaining free agents. They may be less inclined to pick up a question mark like Chargois at the moment. We may not even have a plan for the roster spot at this point, but trying to clear it has value -- especially when we've already taken advantage of the 60-day DL.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Mahle actually just turned 23 at the very end of last season. Why would a rebuilding team trade him, exactly? Unless they were blown away by an offer, I suppose.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Last year was basically Cobb's recovery season too -- technically he returned at the very end of 2016, because his surgery was a few months before Lynn's, but they are in a similar boat. They're both 30 years old too. Lynn has been more durable, but their overall effectiveness has been pretty similar. Cobb didn't have quite as severe of a FIP/ERA discrepancy last year either.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    I know his peripherals will be different, but I get kind of a Tommy Milone type vibe in terms of overall results from Mejia. Like, capable of league average performances, but maybe not a ton of innings, and not a guy I'd trust in my playoff rotation. Still useful in the #5 spot while cheap, though.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    On the other hand, they acquired 3 guys with 2017 FIPs comparable to that of Gimenez (5.76): Odorizzi (5.43) Sanchez (5.33) Duke (5.29) And they still have Hughes (5.43) and Slegers (5.70) around the 5-6 spots on our SP depth chart.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    From the link: "if a Draft-Excluded Player is not outrighted to the minors prior to the Rule 5 Draft, the player cannot be Designated for Assignment or sent outright to the minors any earlier than 20 days prior to the start of the MLB regular season." Not that I think they would want to risk losing Slegers on waivers right now anyway -- with Ervin out, Slegers could be 6th on the SP depth chart if Sanchez doesn't stick. And that's including Hughes. Of course, if they were signing another SP like Lynn, maybe they would consider it.
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