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The parallels between the current situations of the Wolves and Twins are quite distinct. Here you have two retooling teams that are fueled by hugely promising waves of youth, but have been unable to hold the attention and interest of casual fans due to brutally bad on-field performance. You can point to the bright future all you want, but that's a tough sell when your team has one of the worst records in the league. And while many want to point to personnel miscues in both of these stalled rebuilds, the truth is that uncontrollable injury issues have been largely to blame. The Wolves are not as bad a team as their 13-43 record suggests, but losing Ricky Rubio, Nikola Pekovic and other key players for sizable chunks of the season left them depleted, relying on overmatched backups and teenagers. As a result, the Wolves have suffered through loss after loss, watching fan interest drain in the process. That's a shame, because it has caused the incredibly encouraging performances from some young players -- most notably Andrew Wiggins -- to get overlooked. Somewhat quietly, Wiggins is enjoying one of the best seasons for a player his age in NBA history, but fans here in Minnesota have been so uninvested in the team that many haven't fully taken notice. The arrival of Garnett certainly provides a jolt on the court; though, at this stage of his career, probably not one as substantial as the giddy TV crew on Wednesday night would have you believe. More importantly, he's bringing back the fans. Nostalgia and familiarity for KG prompted Wolves faithful to fill up Target Center for his first game back and will almost certainly lead to increased attendance the rest of the year. While it's all well and good that those fans will get to watch KG do his thing for 20 minutes a night, the more important thing is that they'll get to watch players like Rubio, Wiggins, Zach LaVine and Shabazz Muhammad. KG isn't the future -- those guys are. The same dynamic is in play for the Twins with the Hunter signing. While the organization is moving in the right direction, casual fans can't be blamed for their reluctance to buy in after a fourth straight 90-loss season. While the club hardly expected to contend last year, they did expect to offer more glimpses of the promising future. Unfortunately, having the seasons of their two best prospects completely derailed by injury threw a big wrench into what should have been a youth showcase summer. The Twins still had young players like Danny Santana and Kennys Vargas break through, but those performances garnered reduced fanfare with the club posting its lowest attendance total since 2005. A beloved and familiar face like Hunter, who people associate with the success of the mid-2000s, will help draw back some of the less hardcore fans that might not presently have kids like Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano on their radar. I continue to believe that Hunter is a rather poor fit from a baseball perspective, but I'm coming around on the potential overall benefits of the move. It's more challenging for me to analyze anything from a business angle than strictly wins-and-losses, but the value of getting more fans in the seats -- and exposing those fans to what should hopefully be an exciting and productive group of young players -- is obvious. With both the Hunter and Garnett additions, there was some initial backlash that perhaps too much was given up to acquire players who won't be around long and won't drastically improve the quality of their respective teams. But in the big picture, the Wolves gave up a guy in Thaddeus Young who wasn't going to be part of the long-term equation, and while the Twins paid heftily for Hunter, they gave up nothing but money and it's a one-year deal. My initial reaction was that Hunter's "intangible" qualities were not enough to justify spending that much while surpassing other options who would have fit better as players, and I still believe his impact as a leader and mentor is being overblown to some extent, but seeing the response to Garnett's return does open my eyes a bit. If a casual fan shuffled into Target Center on Wednesday because of the Garnett buzz and then watched Rubio deliver a gorgeous bounce pass to Wiggins, who as part of an impressive 19-point performance, the trade is paying dividends well beyond what KG is doing on the court.Hopefully the same can be true of a Twins fan who might be enticed to come to the ballpark to relive some Hunter nostalgia, only to be treated to a triple by Buxton, a prodigious home run by Oswaldo Arcia or a 10-strikeout game from Alex Meyer or Trevor May. Bringing back past franchise fixtures -- who at least have a chance to contribute positively -- to help get fans invested in the young players that really matter. That's not so hard to figure.
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Minnesota Twins camp came to life over the weekend with the familiar sound of baseballs smacking mitts, as pitchers and catchers reported to camp and official bullpen sessions started getting underway. One hurler who is drawing early attention is J.R. Graham, whom the Twins acquired from the Atlanta Braves in December's Rule 5 Draft. Graham is worth tracking not only because of the upper-90s heat he's capable of bringing on the mound, but also because of the interesting decision the Twins face as they determine whether they can make room for him in a somewhat crowded bullpen and avoid sending him back to Atlanta.The Twins have a number of hard-throwing relievers in the pipeline, such as Nick Burdi, Jake Reed and Michael Cederoth, but the team can afford to patiently bring these young arms along. That's not necessarily true of Graham, who they must keep on the 25-man roster all year long or else ship back to the Braves. The Twins could work around this stipulation by hammering out a trade to keep him in the organization, as they did with Scott Diamond a few years ago, but one way or another Graham must make an impression over the next several weeks in order to force the club's hand. He'll have plenty of competition. For all intents and purposes, the Twins have committed to five relievers in the bullpen -- Glen Perkins, Casey Fien, Tim Stauffer, Brian Duensing and Caleb Thielbar -- so locking down one of those final slots will be no easy task. Graham is a rather unique specimen. While Minnesota's system is now stocked with pitchers who can touch the upper-90s, those guys all check in at well over six feet. Then you have Graham, who stands at about 5'11" but was hitting triple digits as a junior in college. It's rare to find a pitcher who can generate that kind of velocity from such a small frame, and perhaps that helps explain Graham's durability issues. Since being drafted, he has dealt with somewhat chronic shoulder pain, which substantially reduced his velocity, contributed to his shoddy results at Double-A in 2014 (5.58 ERA, 1.48 WHIP) and prompted the Braves to leave him unprotected and available to the Twins. It could be that his struggles to stay on healthy have been partially due to the Braves' decision to transition him from college reliever to pro starter. He reverted to relief duty late last season (though with little initial success) and the Twins intend to keep him on that path. If Graham can manage to shake off the injury woes, he offers no shortage of ability. Prior to the 2014 season, he had been ranked by Baseball America as the third-best Braves prospect, and was pegged as having the best control of any pitcher in the organization. Graham's brutal season last year as a 24-year-old in Double-A certainly lowered his stock considerably, and the most troubling part is that he saw no performance boost after moving to the bullpen in the final two months, allowing a .378 batting average with seven strikeouts and five walks in eight appearances. This differentiates him from Ryan Pressly, who had similarly switched from starting to relieving shortly before the Twins snagged him in the Rule 5 draft but had experienced far better results with that transition. Of course, with Graham, it all comes back to health, so the condition of his shoulder will be closely monitored in Ft. Myers. If he can keep his arm in shape and regain his velocity by pitching in one-inning stints -- as the Twins are hoping -- he offers more upside than Pressly ever did, and could end up being a major success story for Terry Ryan and Co. If nothing else, he'll go down as another example of the Twins getting creative in their efforts to add some power to the pitching staff. Click here to view the article
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The Twins have a number of hard-throwing relievers in the pipeline, such as Nick Burdi, Jake Reed and Michael Cederoth, but the team can afford to patiently bring these young arms along. That's not necessarily true of Graham, who they must keep on the 25-man roster all year long or else ship back to the Braves. The Twins could work around this stipulation by hammering out a trade to keep him in the organization, as they did with Scott Diamond a few years ago, but one way or another Graham must make an impression over the next several weeks in order to force the club's hand. He'll have plenty of competition. For all intents and purposes, the Twins have committed to five relievers in the bullpen -- Glen Perkins, Casey Fien, Tim Stauffer, Brian Duensing and Caleb Thielbar -- so locking down one of those final slots will be no easy task. Graham is a rather unique specimen. While Minnesota's system is now stocked with pitchers who can touch the upper-90s, those guys all check in at well over six feet. Then you have Graham, who stands at about 5'11" but was hitting triple digits as a junior in college. It's rare to find a pitcher who can generate that kind of velocity from such a small frame, and perhaps that helps explain Graham's durability issues. Since being drafted, he has dealt with somewhat chronic shoulder pain, which substantially reduced his velocity, contributed to his shoddy results at Double-A in 2014 (5.58 ERA, 1.48 WHIP) and prompted the Braves to leave him unprotected and available to the Twins. It could be that his struggles to stay on healthy have been partially due to the Braves' decision to transition him from college reliever to pro starter. He reverted to relief duty late last season (though with little initial success) and the Twins intend to keep him on that path. If Graham can manage to shake off the injury woes, he offers no shortage of ability. Prior to the 2014 season, he had been ranked by Baseball America as the third-best Braves prospect, and was pegged as having the best control of any pitcher in the organization. Graham's brutal season last year as a 24-year-old in Double-A certainly lowered his stock considerably, and the most troubling part is that he saw no performance boost after moving to the bullpen in the final two months, allowing a .378 batting average with seven strikeouts and five walks in eight appearances. This differentiates him from Ryan Pressly, who had similarly switched from starting to relieving shortly before the Twins snagged him in the Rule 5 draft but had experienced far better results with that transition. Of course, with Graham, it all comes back to health, so the condition of his shoulder will be closely monitored in Ft. Myers. If he can keep his arm in shape and regain his velocity by pitching in one-inning stints -- as the Twins are hoping -- he offers more upside than Pressly ever did, and could end up being a major success story for Terry Ryan and Co. If nothing else, he'll go down as another example of the Twins getting creative in their efforts to add some power to the pitching staff.
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Studies in recent years have shown that lineup construction has less of a practical impact on overall scoring than many had previously believed. Still, it's hard to downplay the significance of the choice for that first spot in the batting order. Though he only leads off once per game, the No.1 hitter sets the tone for the offense, bats in front of the team's best run producers, and stands to receive more plate appearances than any other player. Who will step into the batter's box to start the season in Detroit on April 6th? As I see it, there are three primary candidates. Paul Molitor's choice among this trio might provide us with some deeper insights on his priorities and philosophies.Candidate 1: Danny Santana Santana jumped from the bottom of the lineup to the top one month after being called up last year, and never looked back. He consistently led off for the Twins over the final four months and did a terrific job, batting over .300 with tons of steals and surprising power. When he's performing like he did in his rookie season, he's almost an ideal leadoff man. However, most are not expecting him to replicate that performance. Santana's .319 batting average was propped up by a .405 BABIP, and when his average returns to a more standard level (he's a .275 career hitter in the minors) his lack of patience will leave him with a mediocre on-base percentage. He still offers some intriguing perks as a leadoff choice -- most notably his outstanding speed on the base paths -- but I believe Santana will create too many outs to be a good option at the top of the lineup. Candidate 2: Brian Dozier He was the team's leadoff man on Opening Day last year, and held that post for much of the first half before sliding down to the No. 2 spot after Santana's emergence. Dozier has some qualities that make him a very good fit at the top. He's a good base runner: last season he stole 21 bases and was thrown out only seven times. Between the steals and the extra-base power, he frequently puts himself in scoring position. And his propensity for taking walks -- he ranked third in the AL with 89 -- enables him to maintain a strong OBP without depending on his batting average to drive it. (Last year his average was 75 points lower than Santana's and his OBP was eight points lower.) Dozier was hitting home runs at a crazy pace in the first half last year, and the decision to move him down in the lineup was born partially out of a desire to give him the chance to knock in more runners with the long ball, but I would expect fewer home runs and a higher average from him this year. Candidate 3: Joe Mauer This is an idea that fans have long thrown around, but Ron Gardenhire never gave it a try. In his 1,298 career games, Mauer has never been written into the lineup as leadoff hitter. That's not surprising; he is an unconventional choice and Gardy was very much a conventional mind. But now there's a new manager in charge -- one with a reputation for seeing things in a different way. Mauer lacks the pure speed that you'll find in most No. 1 hitters, but he's a good bet to lead the team -- if not the league -- in on-base percentage. He'll always give the rest of the lineup a good long look at the opposing pitcher with lengthy at-bats. And assuming he rebounds from last year's struggles, he's likely to be one of the best hitters on the team and a guy whose plate appearances you want to maximize. What do you think? Do you prefer one of these three as leadoff hitter, or is there another sleeper candidate you'd like to see in the spot? Click here to view the article
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Candidate 1: Danny Santana Santana jumped from the bottom of the lineup to the top one month after being called up last year, and never looked back. He consistently led off for the Twins over the final four months and did a terrific job, batting over .300 with tons of steals and surprising power. When he's performing like he did in his rookie season, he's almost an ideal leadoff man. However, most are not expecting him to replicate that performance. Santana's .319 batting average was propped up by a .405 BABIP, and when his average returns to a more standard level (he's a .275 career hitter in the minors) his lack of patience will leave him with a mediocre on-base percentage. He still offers some intriguing perks as a leadoff choice -- most notably his outstanding speed on the base paths -- but I believe Santana will create too many outs to be a good option at the top of the lineup. Candidate 2: Brian Dozier He was the team's leadoff man on Opening Day last year, and held that post for much of the first half before sliding down to the No. 2 spot after Santana's emergence. Dozier has some qualities that make him a very good fit at the top. He's a good base runner: last season he stole 21 bases and was thrown out only seven times. Between the steals and the extra-base power, he frequently puts himself in scoring position. And his propensity for taking walks -- he ranked third in the AL with 89 -- enables him to maintain a strong OBP without depending on his batting average to drive it. (Last year his average was 75 points lower than Santana's and his OBP was eight points lower.) Dozier was hitting home runs at a crazy pace in the first half last year, and the decision to move him down in the lineup was born partially out of a desire to give him the chance to knock in more runners with the long ball, but I would expect fewer home runs and a higher average from him this year. Candidate 3: Joe Mauer This is an idea that fans have long thrown around, but Ron Gardenhire never gave it a try. In his 1,298 career games, Mauer has never been written into the lineup as leadoff hitter. That's not surprising; he is an unconventional choice and Gardy was very much a conventional mind. But now there's a new manager in charge -- one with a reputation for seeing things in a different way. Mauer lacks the pure speed that you'll find in most No. 1 hitters, but he's a good bet to lead the team -- if not the league -- in on-base percentage. He'll always give the rest of the lineup a good long look at the opposing pitcher with lengthy at-bats. And assuming he rebounds from last year's struggles, he's likely to be one of the best hitters on the team and a guy whose plate appearances you want to maximize. What do you think? Do you prefer one of these three as leadoff hitter, or is there another sleeper candidate you'd like to see in the spot?
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Article: 10 Burning Questions For Spring Training
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
These are certainly two of the biggest questions surrounding the team in general this season, but I'm not sure spring training will do much to clarify either. -
After another long and frigid winter, spring training is almost here. We are only four days from the reporting date for pitchers and catchers in Ft. Myers, and from that point it will be a six-week countdown to the start of regular-season baseball. Like last year, Twins Daily will be on location covering the action in Twins camp, but before all of that gets underway, let's preview some of the storylines that figure to be most compelling to follow as Paul Molitor and his newly appointed staff work to solidify a roster and forge an identity.1. What's up with the catching depth? Kurt Suzuki is locked in as the starting backstop, but it's less clear how things will play out behind him. It appears that the plan is for Josmil Pinto will back him up and start once or twice a week, but the Twins are hardly enamored with his defense and have usually preferred to have a catch-and-throw specialist on the roster. If Suzuki or Pinto gets hurt, who is next in line? Chris Herrmann is on the 40-man roster but isn't a strong option offensively or defensively. Could someone like Stuart Turner emerge? 2. Who gets the fifth starter spot? This will be one of the most prominent storylines, and it's one we've already been covering extensively here. Make sure to check out Seth's writeups on various candidates for the job, including Trevor May, Tommy Milone, Tim Stauffer, Alex Meyer and Mike Pelfrey. 3. How will the bullpen shake out? We know Glen Perkins will be there. We basically know Casey Fien, Brian Duensing, Caleb Thielbar and Tim Stauffer will be there. That leaves one or two remaining spots, with a lengthy list of contenders set to make their cases. Hurlers like Michael Tonkin, Stephen Pryor, Ryan Pressly, A.J. Achter and Lester Oliveros will all be in the mix, not to mention the guys that lose out on the fifth starter competition mentioned above. 4. Who plays DH if not Kennys Vargas? Vargas had an exceptional rookie season, but the Twins have been insistent that nothing will be handed to him this spring. That makes sense, since he had played fewer than 100 games above Single-A prior to his promotion and took a downturn late in the season as big-league pitchers made adjustments. If Vargas doesn't appear up to the task in camp, who will the Twins turn to? Could Pinto be bumped into regular duty? Will Molitor rotate different players through the position? There's no obvious answer. 5. Will Danny Santana get a chance to stick at shortstop? We know that the Twins would like to give Santana an extended shot at holding down this job, but we also know that they liked what he did last year in center field, a position that remains in limbo. If Aaron Hicks fails to impress, will the club search for another answer so they can stick to their plan of bringing Santana along at short, or will they slide the 24-year-old to the outfield and fall back on Eduardo Escobar, hoping to replicate last year's results? I'm guessing the latter, though I hope that isn't the case; we need to see what Santana can do at shortstop. Where he plays in exhibition games should give us a good idea of the team's mindset. 6. How rusty are Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton? Sano hasn't played competitively for an entire year and will be learning to man the infield with a surgically reconstructed elbow. Buxton's 2014 campaign was full of fits and starts, and every time he came back from a long layoff, the rust was evident. The way these two start out should set the tone for their seasons. If they pick up quickly, either one could be in line for a first-half promotion to the majors. If not, September or 2016 would seem more likely. 7. Will Joe Mauer flash some power? You can't put too much stock into the way players -- particularly established veterans -- perform in spring exhibitions, but Mauer's bat was noticeably quiet in Grapefruit League play last year. While he was patient as usual, tying for the team lead with eight walks, Mauer managed just one extra-base hit (a double) in 48 at-bats, posting a .292 slugging percentage. That preceded a season in which he hit just four homers and slugged .371, both the worst marks of his career outside of an injury-ruined 2011 campaign. If Mauer comes out stinging the ball next month, we'll take it as a very promising sign. 8. What will we learn about Molitor? We likely won't be able to draw any meaningful conclusions about his in-game management, but Molitor's ideas about roster construction should tell us a few things about his general point of view. For instance, will he lean toward a seven-man bullpen at the expense of depth on the bench, as Ron Gardenhire often did? How highly does he value intangible qualities compared to demonstrable skills and production? Might he be more willing to take a chance on younger players given his heightened familiarity with many of these prospects through his work as a minor-league instructor? 9. What happens if Ricky Nolasco is a mess? Nolasco wasn't very impressive last spring, posting a 5.50 ERA that was highest of any rotation candidate other than Vance Worley. No one made a big deal out of it at the time, but after a disastrous 2014 season, Twins execs have emphasized repeatedly over the winter that nothing will be guaranteed for Nolasco this year despite his contract. It will be very interesting to see what happens if the right-hander comes out of the gates with a few ugly outings. 10. Which prospect will unexpectedly shine? A year ago it was Danny Santana, who batted .391 with five extra-base hits in 10 games. That wasn't enough to earn him a spot on the Opening Day roster, but the eye-opening production likely helped facilitate an early May call-up that led to an amazing rookie season. Who will be this year's Santana? Feel free to serve up your guesses on the answers to any of these questions, as well as any topics on your mind with camp approaching, in the comments section below. Click here to view the article
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1. What's up with the catching depth? Kurt Suzuki is locked in as the starting backstop, but it's less clear how things will play out behind him. It appears that the plan is for Josmil Pinto will back him up and start once or twice a week, but the Twins are hardly enamored with his defense and have usually preferred to have a catch-and-throw specialist on the roster. If Suzuki or Pinto gets hurt, who is next in line? Chris Herrmann is on the 40-man roster but isn't a strong option offensively or defensively. Could someone like Stuart Turner emerge? 2. Who gets the fifth starter spot? This will be one of the most prominent storylines, and it's one we've already been covering extensively here. Make sure to check out Seth's writeups on various candidates for the job, including Trevor May, Tommy Milone, Tim Stauffer, Alex Meyer and Mike Pelfrey. 3. How will the bullpen shake out? We know Glen Perkins will be there. We basically know Casey Fien, Brian Duensing, Caleb Thielbar and Tim Stauffer will be there. That leaves one or two remaining spots, with a lengthy list of contenders set to make their cases. Hurlers like Michael Tonkin, Stephen Pryor, Ryan Pressly, A.J. Achter and Lester Oliveros will all be in the mix, not to mention the guys that lose out on the fifth starter competition mentioned above. 4. Who plays DH if not Kennys Vargas? Vargas had an exceptional rookie season, but the Twins have been insistent that nothing will be handed to him this spring. That makes sense, since he had played fewer than 100 games above Single-A prior to his promotion and took a downturn late in the season as big-league pitchers made adjustments. If Vargas doesn't appear up to the task in camp, who will the Twins turn to? Could Pinto be bumped into regular duty? Will Molitor rotate different players through the position? There's no obvious answer. 5. Will Danny Santana get a chance to stick at shortstop? We know that the Twins would like to give Santana an extended shot at holding down this job, but we also know that they liked what he did last year in center field, a position that remains in limbo. If Aaron Hicks fails to impress, will the club search for another answer so they can stick to their plan of bringing Santana along at short, or will they slide the 24-year-old to the outfield and fall back on Eduardo Escobar, hoping to replicate last year's results? I'm guessing the latter, though I hope that isn't the case; we need to see what Santana can do at shortstop. Where he plays in exhibition games should give us a good idea of the team's mindset. 6. How rusty are Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton? Sano hasn't played competitively for an entire year and will be learning to man the infield with a surgically reconstructed elbow. Buxton's 2014 campaign was full of fits and starts, and every time he came back from a long layoff, the rust was evident. The way these two start out should set the tone for their seasons. If they pick up quickly, either one could be in line for a first-half promotion to the majors. If not, September or 2016 would seem more likely. 7. Will Joe Mauer flash some power? You can't put too much stock into the way players -- particularly established veterans -- perform in spring exhibitions, but Mauer's bat was noticeably quiet in Grapefruit League play last year. While he was patient as usual, tying for the team lead with eight walks, Mauer managed just one extra-base hit (a double) in 48 at-bats, posting a .292 slugging percentage. That preceded a season in which he hit just four homers and slugged .371, both the worst marks of his career outside of an injury-ruined 2011 campaign. If Mauer comes out stinging the ball next month, we'll take it as a very promising sign. 8. What will we learn about Molitor? We likely won't be able to draw any meaningful conclusions about his in-game management, but Molitor's ideas about roster construction should tell us a few things about his general point of view. For instance, will he lean toward a seven-man bullpen at the expense of depth on the bench, as Ron Gardenhire often did? How highly does he value intangible qualities compared to demonstrable skills and production? Might he be more willing to take a chance on younger players given his heightened familiarity with many of these prospects through his work as a minor-league instructor? 9. What happens if Ricky Nolasco is a mess? Nolasco wasn't very impressive last spring, posting a 5.50 ERA that was highest of any rotation candidate other than Vance Worley. No one made a big deal out of it at the time, but after a disastrous 2014 season, Twins execs have emphasized repeatedly over the winter that nothing will be guaranteed for Nolasco this year despite his contract. It will be very interesting to see what happens if the right-hander comes out of the gates with a few ugly outings. 10. Which prospect will unexpectedly shine? A year ago it was Danny Santana, who batted .391 with five extra-base hits in 10 games. That wasn't enough to earn him a spot on the Opening Day roster, but the eye-opening production likely helped facilitate an early May call-up that led to an amazing rookie season. Who will be this year's Santana? Feel free to serve up your guesses on the answers to any of these questions, as well as any topics on your mind with camp approaching, in the comments section below.
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Article: TD Top Prospects: #5 Alex Meyer
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
They are. I think it's important to keep in mind that Berrios and Stewart are both 4-5 years younger than Meyer. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #5 Alex Meyer
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The more specific reports I've heard suggest that he often has trouble getting the fastball down in the zone, which isn't surprising considering his height. It hasn't been a big problem for him up to this point but there are concerns that MLB hitters will elevate the heaters up in the zone. That being said, I think he can usually throw the FB for strikes when he wants to... the secondary stuff, less so. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #5 Alex Meyer
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not sure the data really backs that up. He threw 100 pitches in each of his third and fourth starts (both in April), and only reached triple-digits once the rest of the season. Circumstances came into play I'm sure, but it looks to me like maybe the Twins eased up on his early restrictions for a bit, then tightened them up again. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #5 Alex Meyer
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The only reason Johnson's name was brought up was to point out that tall lanky pitchers sometimes take time to develop command. Obviously it is unfair to compare the two beyond basic physical attributes. Regardless of his true expertise, he's repeating a viewpoint that, I assure you, has been expressed by many scouts. -
When the Twins acquired Alex Meyer in exchange for Denard Span back in November of 2012, the move was widely hailed as a big win for Terry Ryan because young pitchers with legitimate ace potential are among the most valuable commodities in baseball -- all the more true for a Minnesota team that sorely lacked high-end arms in its system. As a first-round draft pick with an upper-90s fastball and quality secondary stuff to boot, Meyer had that upside. He still does, which keeps him in our Top 5, but for various reasons he now seems less likely to reach his ceiling as a No. 1 starter than he did two years ago. That's not to say he doesn't project as an excellent pitcher and a highly valuable asset.Age: 25 (DOB: 1/3/90) 2014 Stats (AAA): 130.1 IP, 7-7, 3.52 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 153/64 K/BB ETA: 2015 2014 Ranking: 3 What's To Like Meyer has always excelled at throwing the ball past opposing hitters. During his junior year at the University of Kentucky, he led the Southeastern Conference with 110 strikeouts. The Washington Nationals took notice and selected him with the 23rd overall pick in the 2011 draft. In his first pro season, Meyer struck out 139 hitters in 129 innings between Low-A and High-A. The following year -- his first in the Twins organization -- he tallied 84 strikeouts in 70 innings (10.8 K/9) at Double-A, but was limited to 13 starts by shoulder problems. Last year, he led the International League with a 10.6 K/9 rate, piling up 153 whiffs in 130 innings. Meyer's stuff was as good as ever; he overwhelmed the opposition at the highest minor-league level with his power fastball and a nasty slider, along with a decent but inconsistent changeup. The big strikeout rates have helped enable Meyer to keep hits in check at every level. He has given up only 300 knocks (22 homers) in 363 professional innings, and last year held Triple-A batters to a .241 average and .690 OPS. What's Left To Work On Starting pitchers who average more than 95 MPH on their fastball are few and far between, and it's not hard to see why: There aren't many arms durable enough to withstand that kind of exertion over 200 innings every season. Unfortunately, Meyer's career up to this point has given little indication that he'll fall into that exclusive category. The big righty has been unable to throw more than 130 innings in any of his three pro seasons. This owes to a few different factors. First, he has struggled at times with his command. This is hardly unusual for a guy who stands nearly 6'9", and it's not something that he can't improve over time --Randy Johnson didn't figure out how to throw strikes until his 30s--but Meyer is coming off his worst season yet in that department, having averaged a walk every other inning at Rochester. Beyond the bases on balls -- which lead to more batters and higher pitch counts -- there are the long at-bats and the innings that can drag on. This, in combination with the Twins' cautious approach, led to Meyer averaging fewer than five innings per start in 2014. He never completed seven innings in an outing, and in fact has done so only once in his professional career, back in 2012. Despite the stringent restrictions on his usage -- Meyer threw 100 or more pitches only three times in 27 starts last year, and exceeded 90 pitches only seven times -- he still didn't hold up through the end of the season. Shoulder soreness had cost him a sizable chunk of his 2013 campaign, and while he was evidently healthy for most of 2014, that same shoulder began barking again in late August, forcing him out of his final start after one inning. No structural damage was found in the shoulder, but still, you can't help but be concerned about the long-term outlook for Meyer's wing, especially in light of the questions that have always surrounded his pitching mechanics. As Jeff Mans recently wrote for the Sporting News: "Meyer has issues repeating his delivery and while this makes his stuff nearly unhittable at times, it also means he cannot locate to save his life ... I strongly believe that the shoulder issues and mechanics are directly related and that once Meyer can solve his motion issues, the shoulder problems will fade away as well." Perhaps this is an area where new pitching coach Neil Allen can help straighten Meyer out, in which case it behooves the Twins to get him up as quickly as possible, even if that means pitching out of the bullpen. What's Next Meyer has some incredible things going for him -- namely an eye-popping arsenal that will make him exciting for fans to watch and dreadful for opposing hitters to face -- but he also has enough red flags that one can understand why the Twins have moved him along rather slowly, despite his relatively advanced age and gaudy strikeout numbers at all levels. I maintain that he's among the most important individuals in the entire organization, because if he comes close to fulfilling his potential Meyer can make as large an impact as any player in the system, but he has much to prove in that regard. The Twins will surely give him a long look in spring training, especially now that he's been added to the 40-man roster, but if he makes the big-league club it seems more likely he'd do so as a reliever. That might be his future role, based on what we've seen, but I'd definitely like to see him get a chance to start in the majors and I suspect we will at some point before 2015 is over. Click here to view the article
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Age: 25 (DOB: 1/3/90) 2014 Stats (AAA): 130.1 IP, 7-7, 3.52 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 153/64 K/BB ETA: 2015 2014 Ranking: 3 What's To Like Meyer has always excelled at throwing the ball past opposing hitters. During his junior year at the University of Kentucky, he led the Southeastern Conference with 110 strikeouts. The Washington Nationals took notice and selected him with the 23rd overall pick in the 2011 draft. In his first pro season, Meyer struck out 139 hitters in 129 innings between Low-A and High-A. The following year -- his first in the Twins organization -- he tallied 84 strikeouts in 70 innings (10.8 K/9) at Double-A, but was limited to 13 starts by shoulder problems. Last year, he led the International League with a 10.6 K/9 rate, piling up 153 whiffs in 130 innings. Meyer's stuff was as good as ever; he overwhelmed the opposition at the highest minor-league level with his power fastball and a nasty slider, along with a decent but inconsistent changeup. The big strikeout rates have helped enable Meyer to keep hits in check at every level. He has given up only 300 knocks (22 homers) in 363 professional innings, and last year held Triple-A batters to a .241 average and .690 OPS. What's Left To Work On Starting pitchers who average more than 95 MPH on their fastball are few and far between, and it's not hard to see why: There aren't many arms durable enough to withstand that kind of exertion over 200 innings every season. Unfortunately, Meyer's career up to this point has given little indication that he'll fall into that exclusive category. The big righty has been unable to throw more than 130 innings in any of his three pro seasons. This owes to a few different factors. First, he has struggled at times with his command. This is hardly unusual for a guy who stands nearly 6'9", and it's not something that he can't improve over time --Randy Johnson didn't figure out how to throw strikes until his 30s--but Meyer is coming off his worst season yet in that department, having averaged a walk every other inning at Rochester. Beyond the bases on balls -- which lead to more batters and higher pitch counts -- there are the long at-bats and the innings that can drag on. This, in combination with the Twins' cautious approach, led to Meyer averaging fewer than five innings per start in 2014. He never completed seven innings in an outing, and in fact has done so only once in his professional career, back in 2012. Despite the stringent restrictions on his usage -- Meyer threw 100 or more pitches only three times in 27 starts last year, and exceeded 90 pitches only seven times -- he still didn't hold up through the end of the season. Shoulder soreness had cost him a sizable chunk of his 2013 campaign, and while he was evidently healthy for most of 2014, that same shoulder began barking again in late August, forcing him out of his final start after one inning. No structural damage was found in the shoulder, but still, you can't help but be concerned about the long-term outlook for Meyer's wing, especially in light of the questions that have always surrounded his pitching mechanics. As Jeff Mans recently wrote for the Sporting News: "Meyer has issues repeating his delivery and while this makes his stuff nearly unhittable at times, it also means he cannot locate to save his life ... I strongly believe that the shoulder issues and mechanics are directly related and that once Meyer can solve his motion issues, the shoulder problems will fade away as well." Perhaps this is an area where new pitching coach Neil Allen can help straighten Meyer out, in which case it behooves the Twins to get him up as quickly as possible, even if that means pitching out of the bullpen. What's Next Meyer has some incredible things going for him -- namely an eye-popping arsenal that will make him exciting for fans to watch and dreadful for opposing hitters to face -- but he also has enough red flags that one can understand why the Twins have moved him along rather slowly, despite his relatively advanced age and gaudy strikeout numbers at all levels. I maintain that he's among the most important individuals in the entire organization, because if he comes close to fulfilling his potential Meyer can make as large an impact as any player in the system, but he has much to prove in that regard. The Twins will surely give him a long look in spring training, especially now that he's been added to the 40-man roster, but if he makes the big-league club it seems more likely he'd do so as a reliever. That might be his future role, based on what we've seen, but I'd definitely like to see him get a chance to start in the majors and I suspect we will at some point before 2015 is over.
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Article: TD Top Prospects: #10 Nick Burdi
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If he were giving up a lot of XBH I might be inclined to believe that, but 11 of the 13 hits he allowed were singles. I think it's just luck/sample static. Of course, any drop in BABIP will be offset by the fact that he's most likely not going to keep striking out half the batters he faces as he moves up. -
Article: TD Top Prospects: #10 Nick Burdi
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
What I mean is that if he's missing the zone while throwing triple digits against less advanced hitters, they might be more likely to chase and bail him out. -
You've probably heard this crazy statistic: In 2014, the Twins had one pitcher (late-season call-up Lester Oliveros) throw a pitch that was clocked at 97 MPH or above. By comparison, the American League Champion Kansas City Royals registered 2,287 such pitches. Major league baseball is trending toward pitchers -- especially relievers -- with big velocity, and while the Twins may appear far behind the curve based on the above finding, they're certainly not ignorant to this reality. The club's draft strategy in recent years has reflected an increased emphasis on power arms -- even those that are clearly slated for future roles in the bullpen -- and no one personifies this altered approach better than Nick Burdi. The Twins selected the hard-throwing righty in the second round of last year's draft, and already he has become one of the most noteworthy relief prospects in all of the minor leagues.Age: 22 (DOB: 1/19/93) 2014 Stats (A/A+): 20.1 IP, 2.66 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 38/16 K/BB ETA: 2015 2014 Ranking: NR What's To Like Burdi's fastball has always set him apart. In high school, when he was already touching the mid-90s with the heater, his coach called him a "once-in-a-lifetime pitcher," adding "I don't expect I will get another guy who can throw 95 plus in high school." The Twins took notice of Burdi's stunning velocity early on, and selected him in the 24th round of the 2011 draft following his senior year, but he opted instead to attend college at the University of Louisville. That turned out to be a good decision. Burdi quickly developed into one of the most dominant collegiate closers in the country, proving almost unhittable while averaging nearly two strikeouts per inning. By his sophomore year, he was hitting triple-digits on the radar gun with some frequency. In his junior year, he posted a 0.49 ERA while piling up 65 strikeouts in 37 innings and holding opponents to a .135 batting average. The Twins once again drafted him, with the No. 46 overall pick last June, and this time Burdi signed for a $1.2 million bonus. As a polished college closer, Burdi skipped rookie ball and reported straight to Class-A Cedar Rapids after signing. He struggled badly in his pro debut, walking all four batters he faced, but from that point forward he looked very much like the overpowering force that he'd been at Louisville, putting up a 0.89 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .186/.260/.214 line between Cedar Rapids and Ft. Myers. Oh, that was with opponents batting .406 on balls in play. Of the 82 hitters that Burdi faced between Low-A and High-A in his first taste of professional baseball, he struck out 38. That's 46 percent. What's Left To Work On With any tall, lanky pitcher who routinely works in the upper-90s, there are going to be two pre-eminent concerns: control and health. The latter has yet to become an issue for Burdi, and since he's being groomed strictly as a late-inning reliever, he may be able to avoid injuries stemming from overuse. Nevertheless, it will be worth keeping an eye on. As far as control, Burdi obviously had the major hiccup in his first pro appearance last summer, but otherwise had no issues, walking six hitters over his remaining 19 outings. Of course, when you're a 21-year-old coming out of a major college conference and firing 100-MPH fastballs at Single-A hitters, sometimes command issues can stay hidden. It'll be interesting to see how his walk rates shake out at the higher levels. What's Next There's nothing left for Burdi to prove in Single-A, so he will most likely open the season as the closer on a Class-AA Chattanooga roster that figures to be loaded with high-end prospect talent. From there, the righty will have a chance to rise very quickly if he continues to dominate with his devastating fastball/slider combo. It would be no surprise to see him in the majors setting up Glen Perkins by season's end. Click here to view the article
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Age: 22 (DOB: 1/19/93) 2014 Stats (A/A+): 20.1 IP, 2.66 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 38/16 K/BB ETA: 2015 2014 Ranking: NR What's To Like Burdi's fastball has always set him apart. In high school, when he was already touching the mid-90s with the heater, his coach called him a "once-in-a-lifetime pitcher," adding "I don't expect I will get another guy who can throw 95 plus in high school." The Twins took notice of Burdi's stunning velocity early on, and selected him in the 24th round of the 2011 draft following his senior year, but he opted instead to attend college at the University of Louisville. That turned out to be a good decision. Burdi quickly developed into one of the most dominant collegiate closers in the country, proving almost unhittable while averaging nearly two strikeouts per inning. By his sophomore year, he was hitting triple-digits on the radar gun with some frequency. In his junior year, he posted a 0.49 ERA while piling up 65 strikeouts in 37 innings and holding opponents to a .135 batting average. The Twins once again drafted him, with the No. 46 overall pick last June, and this time Burdi signed for a $1.2 million bonus. As a polished college closer, Burdi skipped rookie ball and reported straight to Class-A Cedar Rapids after signing. He struggled badly in his pro debut, walking all four batters he faced, but from that point forward he looked very much like the overpowering force that he'd been at Louisville, putting up a 0.89 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .186/.260/.214 line between Cedar Rapids and Ft. Myers. Oh, that was with opponents batting .406 on balls in play. Of the 82 hitters that Burdi faced between Low-A and High-A in his first taste of professional baseball, he struck out 38. That's 46 percent. What's Left To Work On With any tall, lanky pitcher who routinely works in the upper-90s, there are going to be two pre-eminent concerns: control and health. The latter has yet to become an issue for Burdi, and since he's being groomed strictly as a late-inning reliever, he may be able to avoid injuries stemming from overuse. Nevertheless, it will be worth keeping an eye on. As far as control, Burdi obviously had the major hiccup in his first pro appearance last summer, but otherwise had no issues, walking six hitters over his remaining 19 outings. Of course, when you're a 21-year-old coming out of a major college conference and firing 100-MPH fastballs at Single-A hitters, sometimes command issues can stay hidden. It'll be interesting to see how his walk rates shake out at the higher levels. What's Next There's nothing left for Burdi to prove in Single-A, so he will most likely open the season as the closer on a Class-AA Chattanooga roster that figures to be loaded with high-end prospect talent. From there, the righty will have a chance to rise very quickly if he continues to dominate with his devastating fastball/slider combo. It would be no surprise to see him in the majors setting up Glen Perkins by season's end.
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Last year, in a division that featured Max Scherzer, Chris Sale, James Shields and (eventually) David Price, few would have guessed that the best starting pitcher would come out of Cleveland. But the Indians did end up boasting the AL Central's best starter, and arguably its best position player too. In two years since Terry Francona took over as skipper, Cleveland has won 92 and 85 games. Led by reigning Cy Young winner Corey Kluber and breakout star Michael Brantley, they will now look to take the next step and win the AL Central, something they haven't done since 2007. Can the Tribe leapfrog the Royals and Tigers while holding off the much-improved White Sox?2014 Record: 85-77 Runs Scored/Allowed: 669 / 653 Key Additions: Gavin Floyd (SP), Brandon Moss (1B/OF) Key Departures: Asdrubal Cabrera (SS), Justin Masterson (SP) Why They'll Be Better It was a quiet offseason for general manager Chris Antonetti, but that's not such a bad thing as the Indians kept their solid young core intact. Almost everyone is returning from a pitching staff that ranked sixth in the AL with a 3.57 ERA. Masterson and his 5.51 ERA have been swapped out for Floyd, who looked excellent in limited action last year coming off Tommy John surgery. If he's fully recovered from an elbow fracture, Floyd could prove to be a very savvy pickup. He joins a group of starters that includes Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, Trevor Bauer, Josh Tomlin, Danny Salazar and T.J. House, all of whom are under 30 and capable of missing bats. That's a very favorable combination, and with Cleveland bringing back an outstanding relief corps, this club should excel at preventing runs. Run production is what can take the Indians to the next level. Brantley will be hard-pressed to repeat a spectacular 2014 campaign that landed him third in the AL MVP voting, but any regression there should be offset by contributions from prime-aged hitters like Jason Kipnis (who's due for a big rebound), Carlos Santana, Yan Gomes and Lonnie Chisenhall. Much could ride on young Francisco Lindor, the team's top prospect who is expected to eventually become the long-term shortstop. That door is now open with Cabrera gone, and although the 21-year-old Lindor is expected to open the season in Triple-A, he could wind up being a difference-maker for a team that got a .683 OPS from the shortstop position last year. Why They'll Be Worse The Indians have enough pitching to contend, but the offense needs to get better after scoring only 669 runs in 2014. While that's certainly a possibility, given the aforementioned group of capable young hitters, it's hardly a guarantee. Brantley's .890 OPS last year was the highest of his career by nearly 150 points, and if he comes crashing back to Earth while some other guys fail to progress, this team may not score enough to rise above mediocrity. In the rotation, the Indians need a few starters outside of Kluber to prove themselves. There's plenty of talent in the mix, but outside of the ace, no incumbent has come close to logging 200 innings in an MLB season, and the newly acquired Floyd is coming off two straight injury-ruined campaigns. What To Expect The Indians are counting on their two best players, Kluber and Brantley, to back up career years that were -- to some extent -- out of nowhere. That's always a risky proposition, but there are plenty of quality pieces in place around that duo, giving Cleveland the potential for an upper-echelon pitching staff and a strong offense to support it. Francona has had this team very competitive in both of his years at the helm, and I fully expect that to continue in 2015. Click here to view the article
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2014 Record: 85-77 Runs Scored/Allowed: 669 / 653 Key Additions: Gavin Floyd (SP), Brandon Moss (1B/OF) Key Departures: Asdrubal Cabrera (SS), Justin Masterson (SP) Why They'll Be Better It was a quiet offseason for general manager Chris Antonetti, but that's not such a bad thing as the Indians kept their solid young core intact. Almost everyone is returning from a pitching staff that ranked sixth in the AL with a 3.57 ERA. Masterson and his 5.51 ERA have been swapped out for Floyd, who looked excellent in limited action last year coming off Tommy John surgery. If he's fully recovered from an elbow fracture, Floyd could prove to be a very savvy pickup. He joins a group of starters that includes Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, Trevor Bauer, Josh Tomlin, Danny Salazar and T.J. House, all of whom are under 30 and capable of missing bats. That's a very favorable combination, and with Cleveland bringing back an outstanding relief corps, this club should excel at preventing runs. Run production is what can take the Indians to the next level. Brantley will be hard-pressed to repeat a spectacular 2014 campaign that landed him third in the AL MVP voting, but any regression there should be offset by contributions from prime-aged hitters like Jason Kipnis (who's due for a big rebound), Carlos Santana, Yan Gomes and Lonnie Chisenhall. Much could ride on young Francisco Lindor, the team's top prospect who is expected to eventually become the long-term shortstop. That door is now open with Cabrera gone, and although the 21-year-old Lindor is expected to open the season in Triple-A, he could wind up being a difference-maker for a team that got a .683 OPS from the shortstop position last year. Why They'll Be Worse The Indians have enough pitching to contend, but the offense needs to get better after scoring only 669 runs in 2014. While that's certainly a possibility, given the aforementioned group of capable young hitters, it's hardly a guarantee. Brantley's .890 OPS last year was the highest of his career by nearly 150 points, and if he comes crashing back to Earth while some other guys fail to progress, this team may not score enough to rise above mediocrity. In the rotation, the Indians need a few starters outside of Kluber to prove themselves. There's plenty of talent in the mix, but outside of the ace, no incumbent has come close to logging 200 innings in an MLB season, and the newly acquired Floyd is coming off two straight injury-ruined campaigns. What To Expect The Indians are counting on their two best players, Kluber and Brantley, to back up career years that were -- to some extent -- out of nowhere. That's always a risky proposition, but there are plenty of quality pieces in place around that duo, giving Cleveland the potential for an upper-echelon pitching staff and a strong offense to support it. Francona has had this team very competitive in both of his years at the helm, and I fully expect that to continue in 2015.
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In the past we have annually highlighted our Top 10 Twins prospects, but because the system is currently so loaded with quality talent, we decided to expand the scope of our list this year, profiling the 20 best players on Minnesota's farm. Earlier this week, Seth ran through our choices for 16 through 20, and today I'll take a look at the players we ranked 11 through 15. These players narrowly missed out on making our Top 10, but any of them could very easily appear in that range for many other organizations throughout the league. One-by-one individual profiles for the Top 10 Prospects will kick off next week.15. Taylor Rogers - LHP Age: 24 2014 Stats (AA): 145 IP, 11-6, 3.29 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 113/37 K/BB ETA: 2016 You won't often see Rogers mentioned among the system's most promising young arms, because he lacks the high-end velocity and gaudy strikeout numbers of some others, but if you ask folks within the organization about pitchers who can help the Twins in the near future, his name is going to come up. The lefty was an 11th-round pick out of the University of Kentucky in 2011, and he continues to advance through the minor-league ranks while showing exceptional poise and polish on the mound. Many questioned how Rogers would perform at the higher levels, but he showed a lot in the Eastern League last year by allowing only four homers in 145 innings while boosting his K-rate. The biggest question is whether his high-80s arsenal will prove too hittable in the majors, especially against right-handed batters. 14. Adam B. Walker - OF Age: 23 2014 Stats (A+): .246/.307/.436, 25 HR, 94 RBI, 78 R, 9/14 SB ETA: 2016 In terms of pure power, Walker ranks with the likes of sluggers such as Miguel Sano and Kennys Vargas. He hit some legendary moonshots last year in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League, and won the league's All-Star Home Run Derby contest in June. His father was an NFL running back and his mother was a star college athlete, so the muscular 6'4" Walker has the bloodlines and build that you love to see. Unfortunately, while stepping up to High-A ball, the outfielder saw drops in batting average, OBP and slugging, which many anticipated due to his poor strike zone control and high whiff rate. He'll need to become a more complete hitter in order to have a future as a big-league regular, but the pure power alone makes him worth tracking. 13. Stephen Gonsalves - LHP Age: 20 2014 Stats (Rk/A): 65.2 IP, 4-3, 3.02 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 70/21 K/BB ETA: 2018 In 94 professional innings, Gonsalves has struck out 109 hitters and allowed only 72 hits. It's safe to say that the big 6'5" left-hander has been overwhelming the opposition at the lower levels of the minors, and he doesn't even turn 21 until July. There's not much to quibble about with his results so far, and as a tall southpaw with improving velocity, his projectibility is off the charts. So really, all that's holding Gonsalves back at this point is his limited sample size. If he can put in a full season and maintain his performance in High-A, he'll surely vault into the Top 10 next year and maybe even the Top 5. 12. Max Kepler - OF/1B Age: 22 2014 Stats (A+): .264/.333/.393, 5 HR, 59 RBI, 53 R, 6/8 SB ETA: 2017 When the Twins signed the Berlin native as a 16-year-old back in 2009 with an $800,000 bonus, Kepler was considered to be perhaps the best baseball talent ever to come over from Europe. But it was always known that developing him into a big-league player was going to be a long process. Kepler needed to adapt to living and playing in the United States, and sure enough, he's had his growing pains while rising through the minors. All along, though, he has managed to post solid numbers, and 2014 was another step in the right direction. Although his production was less than dazzling, his AVG/OBP/SLG were all above the Florida State League averages (.257/.325/.371), and the overall numbers mask his second-half improvement: From July 1st through the end of the season, Kepler hit .303/.359/.442 with 19 of his 31 extra-base hits. The biggest stride for the young outfielder was his success against lefty pitchers -- after hitting .117 with a hideous .365 OPS versus southpaws in 2013, he improved to .273 and .691 last year. 11. Lewis Thorpe - LHP Age: 19 2014 Stats (A): 71.2 IP, 3-2, 3.52 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 80/36 K/BB ETA: 2018 Thorpe sneaked into our Top 10 last year, and based solely on performance, he would have found himself there again this time around. Thorpe had already established himself as a rare commodity with a mid-90s fastball whizzing in from the left side, and he further solidified his legitimacy last year by heading to the Midwest League -- where at 18 he was the youngest player to throw a pitch -- and piling up 80 strikeouts over 71 innings. Thorpe struggled a bit with his control, issuing 4.5 BB/9 to go along with five hit batsmen and eight wild pitches, but the bigger concern is his health. Thorpe felt some pain in his elbow late in the season, and an MRI revealed a UCL sprain. For now, the Twins are taking a "wait and hope for the best" approach, but as we all know, that doesn't always work out. If the young southpaw ends up needing Tommy John surgery, it would obviously set him back substantially. Click here to view the article
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15. Taylor Rogers - LHP Age: 24 2014 Stats (AA): 145 IP, 11-6, 3.29 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 113/37 K/BB ETA: 2016 You won't often see Rogers mentioned among the system's most promising young arms, because he lacks the high-end velocity and gaudy strikeout numbers of some others, but if you ask folks within the organization about pitchers who can help the Twins in the near future, his name is going to come up. The lefty was an 11th-round pick out of the University of Kentucky in 2011, and he continues to advance through the minor-league ranks while showing exceptional poise and polish on the mound. Many questioned how Rogers would perform at the higher levels, but he showed a lot in the Eastern League last year by allowing only four homers in 145 innings while boosting his K-rate. The biggest question is whether his high-80s arsenal will prove too hittable in the majors, especially against right-handed batters. 14. Adam B. Walker - OF Age: 23 2014 Stats (A+): .246/.307/.436, 25 HR, 94 RBI, 78 R, 9/14 SB ETA: 2016 In terms of pure power, Walker ranks with the likes of sluggers such as Miguel Sano and Kennys Vargas. He hit some legendary moonshots last year in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League, and won the league's All-Star Home Run Derby contest in June. His father was an NFL running back and his mother was a star college athlete, so the muscular 6'4" Walker has the bloodlines and build that you love to see. Unfortunately, while stepping up to High-A ball, the outfielder saw drops in batting average, OBP and slugging, which many anticipated due to his poor strike zone control and high whiff rate. He'll need to become a more complete hitter in order to have a future as a big-league regular, but the pure power alone makes him worth tracking. 13. Stephen Gonsalves - LHP Age: 20 2014 Stats (Rk/A): 65.2 IP, 4-3, 3.02 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 70/21 K/BB ETA: 2018 In 94 professional innings, Gonsalves has struck out 109 hitters and allowed only 72 hits. It's safe to say that the big 6'5" left-hander has been overwhelming the opposition at the lower levels of the minors, and he doesn't even turn 21 until July. There's not much to quibble about with his results so far, and as a tall southpaw with improving velocity, his projectibility is off the charts. So really, all that's holding Gonsalves back at this point is his limited sample size. If he can put in a full season and maintain his performance in High-A, he'll surely vault into the Top 10 next year and maybe even the Top 5. 12. Max Kepler - OF/1B Age: 22 2014 Stats (A+): .264/.333/.393, 5 HR, 59 RBI, 53 R, 6/8 SB ETA: 2017 When the Twins signed the Berlin native as a 16-year-old back in 2009 with an $800,000 bonus, Kepler was considered to be perhaps the best baseball talent ever to come over from Europe. But it was always known that developing him into a big-league player was going to be a long process. Kepler needed to adapt to living and playing in the United States, and sure enough, he's had his growing pains while rising through the minors. All along, though, he has managed to post solid numbers, and 2014 was another step in the right direction. Although his production was less than dazzling, his AVG/OBP/SLG were all above the Florida State League averages (.257/.325/.371), and the overall numbers mask his second-half improvement: From July 1st through the end of the season, Kepler hit .303/.359/.442 with 19 of his 31 extra-base hits. The biggest stride for the young outfielder was his success against lefty pitchers -- after hitting .117 with a hideous .365 OPS versus southpaws in 2013, he improved to .273 and .691 last year. 11. Lewis Thorpe - LHP Age: 19 2014 Stats (A): 71.2 IP, 3-2, 3.52 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 80/36 K/BB ETA: 2018 Thorpe sneaked into our Top 10 last year, and based solely on performance, he would have found himself there again this time around. Thorpe had already established himself as a rare commodity with a mid-90s fastball whizzing in from the left side, and he further solidified his legitimacy last year by heading to the Midwest League -- where at 18 he was the youngest player to throw a pitch -- and piling up 80 strikeouts over 71 innings. Thorpe struggled a bit with his control, issuing 4.5 BB/9 to go along with five hit batsmen and eight wild pitches, but the bigger concern is his health. Thorpe felt some pain in his elbow late in the season, and an MRI revealed a UCL sprain. For now, the Twins are taking a "wait and hope for the best" approach, but as we all know, that doesn't always work out. If the young southpaw ends up needing Tommy John surgery, it would obviously set him back substantially.
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"They've made a real statement with what they're doing," said an anonymous AL Central official. "It's apparent they're better. They're a good club," said Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski. "Rarely has a team so successfully and systematically answered so many of its major questions" in an offseason, wrote Jon Heyman of CBS Sports. With the possible exception of the crosstown Cubs, no team has drawn more attention and praise for its offseason moves than the Chicago White Sox. General manager Rick Hahn's pick-ups included a front-line starter, an elite closer, an All-Star caliber outfielder and more. How big of a leap can the revamped Sox make after finishing fourth in 2014?2014 Record: 73-89 Runs Scored/Allowed: 660 / 758 Key Additions: Jeff Samardzija (SP), Melky Cabrera (OF), David Robertson (RP), Adam LaRoche (1B), Zach Duke (RP) Key Departures: Paul Konerko (1B), Marcus Semien (IF) Why They'll Be Better Chicago lost 89 games last year despite boasting the Rookie of the Year in its lineup and the No. 3 Cy Young finisher in its rotation. There simply wasn't enough talent surrounding Jose Abreu and Chris Sale, but the White Sox have done plenty to address that over the past few months. LaRoche and Cabrera should re-energize an offensive unit that had grown stagnant with Paul Konerko and Adam Dunn running out the thread. Samardzija joins Sale and Jose Quintana to form a potent trio of starters. The Sox spent a whopping $60 million to upgrade their bullpen with the additions of Robertson and Duke. There's also a dynamic wild card in the mix here -- that being left-hander Carlos Rodon. Considered by many to be the best player in the 2014 draft, Rodon fell to Chicago at the third pick. He signed in July and was pitching in Triple-A by late August. Leaning on an absolutely filthy slider, he struck out 38 hitters in his first 24 professional innings. The 22-year-old was considered extremely polished coming out of North Carolina State University and could make an impact in the majors this year as a dominant arm slotting into either the bullpen or rotation. That's a nice weapon to have on deck. Why They'll Be Worse It's tough to imagine the White Sox not getting better in 2015, barring a rash of bad injuries. They do have some question marks around the infield and at the back end of the rotation, and of course there's no guarantee that all (or any) of their new acquisitions will work out, but manager Rob Ventura enters this season equipped with everything he should need to field a winner. The widespread adulation that Hahn has received is well warranted. What To Expect Driven by the likes of Abreu, Quintana, Adam Eaton and Avisail Garcia, the White Sox were already a young team on an upward trajectory. The bevy of substantial offseason additions will only hasten their rise, and should put them right in the thick of the division race. Unless they have major health issues, the Sox strike me as a team with a floor around .500 and a win ceiling in the 90s. ~~~ This is the third installment in a series at Twins Daily previewing the rest of the AL Central. You can read our write-ups on the Royals and Tigers, and check back in later this week for our take on the Indians. Click here to view the article

