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TwinsDr2021

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Everything posted by TwinsDr2021

  1. TwinsDr2021
    I get what you are saying and per at bat it is true. but the Title of the article is Ryan Jeffers Is More Impactful Offensively Than Luis Arraez, maybe it should have included per at bat? This is one of the ridiculous arguments that somebody is trying to tell you not to trust your lying eyes. For some reason Jeffers is better but the twins have decided to give him 271 less plate appearances than Arraez and that somehow magically it is better to have a .271 BA, .372 OBP and .467 SLG compared to .349 BA, .391 OBP and .446 SLG. (The difference in SLG is .021). It is that silly argument that Arraez gets no credit for putting up the numbers over an additional 271 plate appearances and Jeffers gets no discount for not having those 271 plate appearances. We have no idea what numbers Jeffers would put up if he was put into more situations or against less favorable matchups, what we know he is has been pretty darn good in his limited time this year, but to compare a full time player to a part time player based on per at bat stats and claim the part time player is more impactful is like I said above SILLY.
  2. TwinsDr2021
    Geez, if only there would have been a way for the Twins to upgrade their bullpen.
  3. TwinsDr2021
    Well he has two pre-arb years left, so that should be pretty easy to figure out. Then he has 3 arb years, which also shouldn't be that difficult to figure out because history basically determines those numbers so they should at least be able to ball park that. For example Shane Bieber got 10 million in arb year two after winning a Cy Young, being in the top 7 two other times and a top 4 MVP. Juan Soto got 23 in arb year three top 1o MVP finishes.
  4. TwinsDr2021
    Unless I am missing something the Twins have him for next 5 years at something like 1 million, 3, million, and lets say 6, 12 , 18. Which would be 5 for 40, but lets say it is 5 for 60 worst case and you want to give him 6 for 102 or 7 for 119. Which really means the Twins are paying him around 40 million a year 6 or 30 a year for years 6 or 7. So of course Lewis would take that. But why in the world would the Twins pay him that?
  5. TwinsDr2021
    If this FO can't figure out or plan for what Lewis is going to make though his controllable years they don't deserve the job they have.
  6. TwinsDr2021
    And Polanco debuted at age 20 and Kepler 22. There is a huge difference, they bought out their prime years and couple of more. Same with Longoria(22), Franco(20), Albies (20), Acuna (20), Harris II (21), Rodrguez (21). See a theme? There is little to no reason to sign guys that debut at an older age. Of course if Lewis would have won the rookie of the year last year and didn't miss another 80 or so games this year it could be a different story, but that didn't happen. If you bring up guys that young and don't sign them you end up losing them or trading them like Soto or Machado for example. Lewis will turn 25 June next year and is going to have played around 100 total games. You can't compare him really any of the guys that have signed contracts.
  7. TwinsDr2021
    I didn't say they couldn't find somebody better, I said the opposite of that when I said he shouldn't have been signed and should have been cut a long time ago. I said it could be worse, and was told it couldn't be. I sound like Rocco? why because he complained about the signing at the time, or because he has been saying he should have been cut for months? I haven't heard him say any of that. IMO I sound like you, other than I am willing to admit it could be worse and you seemingly aren't.
  8. TwinsDr2021
    yes I sound like Rocco? I didn't like the signing at the time and been saying Gallo is terrible and should NOT be on the Twins. Saying there are players that could be worse than him is dependent on analytics? Gallo is a bad player but it could be worse. But you are saying is somebody couldn't hit worse than .180? or couldn't be get OBP less than .304 or SLG below .447.
  9. TwinsDr2021
    I am not a Gallo fan, and I believe he shouldn't be on the Twins. But has an OPS+ of 103 (which is higher than Buxton, Taylor, Correa, Farmer, Castro, and Vazquez) and a positive oWAR, so yes it could be worse
  10. TwinsDr2021
    I think the point is Lopez was free at 28 years old, and Ryan and Ober are going to be 31/32, which in a huge difference. They both could get one big contract at that age, but if they sign a deal for a smaller amount the odds are they never get a chance at the big contract. Plus by then the Twins should have replacements ready and the fans will be complaining about how old they are.
  11. TwinsDr2021
    I think the thing you are missing is the guys being locked up early are guys that came to the majors early (19,20,21, maybe 22)as well. Lewis didn't come up late like Ober and Ryan but the Twins already have him locked up though his prime years 26-29. It makes no sense for him (unless he is worried about more injuries) or the team to do this. Royce Lewis if healthy is going to get one shot at a FA contract and it is better for him to do that at age 29 and not the wrong side of 30.
  12. TwinsDr2021
    He spent the whole year at A+ as a 20 year old, that is great, sure it would be nice to have better stats, but if he spends next year AA at 21, he is knocking on the major league's door at 22, and that is awesome. I don't think he currently is behind the development curve I believe he is ahead of it.
  13. TwinsDr2021
    and someday we might look back and say the same about Luplow, Garlick, Moran, Winder, Headrick, De Leon, Sands, Ortega, Keuchel, Balazovic, Rodriguez. Or possibly, Stevenson, Helman or Williams, heck even Martin. It is always easy to say the next best things are better than the previous next best things. Because the current ones haven't had failed yet. For example two weeks ago people were saying Balazovic needs to be pitching in higher pressure situations, now not so much.
  14. TwinsDr2021
    Just a reminder the top prospects in 2013 were Sano, Hicks, Arcia, Buxton, Gibson, Meyer, Rosario, Kepler, and May, with Polanco, Tonkin, Goodrum, Chargois in the top 20 with guys like Duffey, Jorge, Pinto, Pressly, Rogers, Santana, Thielbar, and Vargas in the wings. (that isn't to shabby)
  15. TwinsDr2021
    Not meant just for you, but those that think they will miss the playoffs should be screaming to fire this FO. I mean not winning your division when you are the only team trying is gross and horrible.
  16. TwinsDr2021
    Bad plans generally go bad. Even if you think it was a good plan, when it started to go bad and wasn't changed it turned into a bad plan.
  17. TwinsDr2021
    So on one hand they have to prove they have outgrown AAA and the other hand they can show they are beyond AAA without actually playing? When in reality the guys that spend little to no time in AAA are pretty young really good baseball players and the guys that spend more time in the minors generally aren't as good and it takes them longer to compete at each level and when they do (if they do get the majors) generally don't spend a great deal of time there. There are exceptions of course but as a general rule, guys like Wallner, Martin, Williams and others like them can have a bit of short success but it usually levels off fairly quickly.
  18. TwinsDr2021
    Which is sad, how do we become part of those meetings?
  19. TwinsDr2021
    I agree with this, bring up Martin and see what he has. Doing what they did with Headrick last year just wasted a 40 man spot all year. They put a 25 year old minor league pitcher on the 40 man and then trusted him for all of 20 innings. Martin is basically in the same boat if they don't bring him up now and get his feet wet and see if he looks the part of a future major league player, instead of not bringing him up, putting him on the 40 and then not trusting him to start the year with the Twins.
  20. TwinsDr2021
    Because every one of his stats are worse than Jake Cave's stats this year in AAA (except stolen bases) and that is in 40 less games. 29 year old players are supposed to dominant the minor leagues. I wouldn't have been against having him come up to replace Castro when he got hurt.
  21. TwinsDr2021
    Well they pissed away 17/18 of his innings in AAA this year, so there is that. (which puts him at 136 for season) After the last two years my plan would have been for 24 or 25 major league starts for the year around 140-150 innings. With the playoffs looking like more of a for sure thing, I would probably give him extra rests between a few starts so he is closer to 23 to 24 starts plus the playoffs. I don't see why a 28 year old pitcher shouldn't be able to pitch 180 innings a year. Because the Twins messed up I think they think it is better to limit innings by keeping the starts short then messing up the days of rest routine.
  22. TwinsDr2021
    If the FO thinks there is even a chance they will be putting Funderburk on the 40 man this off season, there is no reason not to do it right now and see if he is even worth keeping on the 40 man this off season. He turns 27 this off season, so there is little to no reason to put him on the 40 and stick him in AAA next year. Relievers being this old before debuting isn't a problem, but having a relief pitcher this old and with no expiernce taking up a 40 man spot should be unacceptable.
  23. TwinsDr2021
    The idea that prospect can't be called up until he has outgrown AAA is silly. Mauer had 21 at bats as a 21 year old, Arraez 73 as a 22 year old (Kepler and Rosario are similar as well) and many other players have done the same. You might be better off saying if a minor league player is on the older side and needs to proven they have outgrown AAA, they probably aren't going to be a starting player in the majors.
  24. TwinsDr2021
    I am not saying July was bad, I am just pointing out that him and Gallo are the same player(type of player), low BA, Lower OBP and a SLG that depends on them hitting homers. Wallner hits a few more doubles on average and Gallo walks a bit more on average. Since July 17th Wallner's BA has dropped from .350 to .237 his OBP has dropped from .500 to .341, his SLG has dipped a bit from .550 to .518 (not saying this one is bad) Which goes to my original point they are not cutting Gallo because basically him and Wallner are the same player but Gallo has more defense and money of course. I would take Wallner over Gallo in a heartbeat and believe he should have been given more time last year and more time this year to see if he is a part of the 24 team and beyond. As of now and if his hitting trend continues, I have to say he isn't, if he was a couple of years younger I would say give him a chance but he turns 26 this off season. (IMO there are probably a dozen guys in the minors that I think are better players than Gallo, but none were given a chance because he is a Twin)
  25. TwinsDr2021
    💯I have been saying the same thing for a while now (probably not as well as you just did)
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