drjim
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Everything posted by drjim
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I would agree he starts at AA. What happens from there is up to him. I really honestly believe the Twins will call him up as soon as he is ready, whether that is from AA or AAA. Mid-2016 just seems too far away. I expect some rust early, but see no reason he can't regain his form from last year relatively quickly especially since he will get some Winter League action. But, as you said, this depends on him regaining his form. TJ for a hitter just doesn't seem to be a devastating long term injury (aside from time lost).
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I agree that it was unnecessary, but the only "cost" is that he locked up a 40 man roster spot this year. Aside from the nonsensical shenanigans, that really wasn't a big issue - and that had other causes aside from Kepler that could have easily prevented the issue. -
Article: Deal or No Deal: Considering Contract Extensions
drjim replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No (trades don't work that way) No Yes (and I'd add even more players to the list) Japan That is the vast majority of free agents. Do you recommend the Twins no longer sign free agents to plug holes? And payroll is not "tied up", they have enough money to spend. -
As I said - 2012 was a good draft. And Sickels ranks Correa higher, but BA, Law, mlb do not agree. I'll stay with the majority and say they whiffed on the top player. But it was a good draft, Correa is legit, and they got two other highly regarded guys too. 2013 was a bad draft. Appel still might turn it around but he is a college senior getting lit up in High A while the guy drafted right after him has exploded and the #3 pick is right on target. You can't sugar coat that. And Appel was absolutely not a consensus #1 guy at draft time so it is not just hindsight criticism. 2014 stands on its own merit so far.
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What actions? He knows he is planning on calling up but isn't going to announce it until he has to in case circumstances change. Isn't that being prudent? I understand criticizing the eventual choice he is going to make (Pino), but why is the process a problem?
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All rookies don't come up and immediately perform at peak level. What more proof do you need?
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There is certainly precedent of a team firing a manager, promoting from within, and then changing over parts of the coaching staff. Happened as recently as the Reds last offseason. I think this is a very possible scenario.
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Baseball America had a really good podcast discussing this situation that they released over the weekend. One aspect I didn't consider enough was the negotiating timeline. I believe the Astros believed in good faith that there was a medical situation with Aiken which made it worthwhile to drop his bonus. However, it seems that after the MRI results came back they just dropped the bonus to the required 40% (to keep them eligible for compensation) and then started negotiating with Marshall with the money they assumed they would save. It seems they never really budged from that 40% level until the last day when it was too late. I think that is an amazingly foolish way to negotiate. I suspect that if they negotiated in good faith from the day the MRI was revealed they could have reached a settlement, perhaps even at the $5 million dollar level. That should have been the top priority but they played hardball and got burned, and I suspect it will cost them going forward if they try to make agreements with players before the draft. BA also came in hard and asked the question of whether Astros ownership can trust Luhnow with the next draft. In their three drafts they have one good one (while still whiffing on the best player), one terrible pick, and one complete fiasco. Not a great way to start a tenure.
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Fully agree jokin. I never understood this "performance on rehab means nothing" or "call him up, leave him alone, and he'll be fine" attitude with younger players.
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Do you still view Dozier as "untouchable" ?
drjim replied to Trevor0333's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I don't necessarily agree with this premise. Meyer and May should be up as soon as they are ready - unless that is what you mean by ASAP. As a counter, do you really think Gibson would be even slightly better this year if had another month of mlb starts last year? I don't think it would make any difference. -
I don't know exactly how Apple runs their administration, but do they constantly hire upper level management from outside the company? Or do they constantly hire people to middle and lower level positions, let them show their talent and then promote appropriately? Apple is also an interesting example/parallel relative to the Twins. It will be interesting to see how they respond to losing their leader and if they can continue to stay in the same leading position. I'm not a huge follower of new technology, but I seem to recall some hits and some misses since Jobs passed away. Will they remain in their dominant position? Also, while th article is interesting, baseball is a unique industry. There is a set number of firms (30 franchises) that produces an unchanging product (baseball teams) under very controlled regulations (CBA). In this circumstance I think there is potential value to be gained from being a stable organization that promotes from within, as sort of a counter to other models. There are things I would like to see different from the Twins, but some of the losses that occur from those practices can be made up for by gains realized from their current model. I also think that they Twins are more flexible than people give them credit for, they just don't go out of their way to tell everyone about it.
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I agree with you, there will certainly be free agent additions between now and then, this has to be seen as more a look at organizational depth, much like BA does in the prospect handbook. I agree on Berrios, but Sano has a good shot to be up halfway through the season next year, assuming health. He was borderline last September.
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I agree that it would be quick for Berrios to be up that early, but May and Meyer have very little to do with Berrios.
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It proves nothing like this at all.
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Tuesday is too quick, but it could be setting up for him to start soon after that.
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I'm curious why it is assumed that promoting from within doesn't lead to new ideas? If people took over the job from their boss, would it go the same way? I think it is quite clear that Steil is quite different than Rantz (and for the better). Would it really have been better to bring a different farm director from outside the organization? To name one example.
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Fair enough and that may be how it shakes out. I suspect the next couple of months will tell us more on how this ultimately plays out. It might very well be Meyer in the minors to start just to keep innings down next season, but my prediction counted on talent winning out in the spring. I see May as number 4 type ultimately, maybe a 3 if everything breaks right, perfect type of player to start as depth guy.
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It was his first start in 4 weeks, I imagine he had a pretty strict pitch count.
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Escobar and Parmelee don't have any options left, so doubtful they would go down. I agree that they can all be bench players on a good team.
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Not to pick on you specifically, but I always chuckle when people bring up Boras like he is some unique entity among agents doing things no one else thinks of. Casey Close is more established agent with a better roster of players, he just isn't the media whore that Boras is.
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I would comfortably say the previous GM put the franchise in position for this nose dive. I would also say the current manager (and pitching coach) should be replaced. I think Terry Ryan is a top GM, based both on his success in the 2000s and how he has rebuilt the organization since he took over. Results haven't shown up on the major league side, but that is a product of the abyss he inherited, hard to turnaround a baseball franchise that quickly. Terry Ryan is not perfect, so there will of course always be fodder for critics.
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Do you still view Dozier as "untouchable" ?
drjim replied to Trevor0333's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
This. -
No.
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Luckily he has three.
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I doubt it. Smart marketing for a team like the Twins. Shouldn't sacrifice talent, but all things being relatively equal, makes sense to go with the Minnesota guy. It's not like people in the Twins front office are necessarily Minnesota lifers.
