drjim
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Everything posted by drjim
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Disagree. I am looking at k and bb rates and performance against pitchers that pitch the majority of innings. He wasn't performing all that well and red flags were still there. This is an actual proactive move by the Twins - identifying a problem and being aggressive with a plan to fix it. Vargas is a better raw hitter than Escobar, and he clearly has talent, but a return to the minors will hopefully allow him to regroup and come back stronger. He still had barely more than half a minor league season above A ball, he can use the seasoning. My complaint, for what it's worth, is that they didn't call up Pinto and give him a crack at it.
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In his last 15 games played he had a k rate that exceeded his season k rate, all kinds of ways we can shift this to make whatever point you want. The bigger point is that this supposed "hot streak" was basically a mirage. A few extra singles and some low leverage bombs mixed in with lots of bad at bats. But he'll be back and get his chance again. Personally, when he was sent down I would have given Pinto a shot, but I'm not super offended in giving Escobar some extended at bats. But might be nearing time for a tweak to that plan.
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In his last 10 games, he had 9 ks in 35 pa, right in line with his k rate all season. 1 bb. Again, he scattered some singles and popped a couple hrs in the lowest leverage situations possible. This isn't a "hot streak" this is at best the bare minimum that should be expected from Vargas to stay considering he offers no other value to the team. I'm glad the Twins weren't fooled by this.
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I would rather they (along with Vargas) play every day, whether AAA or the bigs. This might work later in the year. And Arcia isn't ready yet.
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So he scatters some singles and pops some HRs against the Stauffer of other teams (when the lead was at least 8 runs and the two HRs added a combined 0 in WPA) and that's a turnaround? He barely walked and struck out a ton during that time. He does have talent but wasn't maximizing it, perfect guy to send back to AAA. I was glad they weren't fooled by some meaningless HRs and were actually proactive.
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What's going on is that Vargas struggles to hit major league pitching and brings less than nothing to table otherwise.
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His k/9 rates the last two years are certainly respectable. I never saw him pitch before, but this is what baffles me with him. 8.27 -> 9.37 -> 1.80.
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Still plays OF like we all remember.
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They should bring steroids back. Less injuries, quicker recovery time, longer careers, the best players playing more games for longer.
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And web clicks.
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And sadly all we have had as fans to comfort ourselves since then is wins.
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I think Bill Smith endorsed Hicks and Ramos for Lee too. Unfortunately the Mariners did not.
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I'm pretty sure we were promised nothing.
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I'll give you credit for optimism. I did notice that last year he had a 9.4/3.2 k/bb/9 that dropped to 1.9(!)/5.6 this year. I thought it was clear he was hurt, but his performance at Rochester in his rehab didn't inspire much confidence that he is any healthier. His k/9 last year would rank him #1 on the Twins right now.
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8 appearances so far. I think the Pohlad's money is safe.
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I try to pay attention to and understand all stats out there, but I have to admit that I never heard of BaseRuns until it became the go to reference of how the Twins are doomed.
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I think it is generally agreed that the Twins should drop Stauffer and add a bat. Hopefully (hopefully, hopefully) just waiting for Arcia to return. But yes, really no excuse for not having one of Pinto, Vargas or Arcia on the roster.
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Why does that matter? Pressly can go multiple innings and has better stuff, much better in the role as third righty, with Boyer and Fien as the setup guys.
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Saying Tonkin is better than Stauffer is obvious, but probably the wrong way to look at it. Stauffer is blocking a bat, not an arm. They wouldn't want Tonkin up and not pitching, and he would be the 4th righty out of the pen, alternating mop up duty with Graham.
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Pressly is better than Tonkin, so maybe he won the talent sweepstakes.
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I'm sure they are thinking this, but man, almost two months in and there is already some depth established in the minors.
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We know what's going on, it's just not something the front office can admit publicly. Seems like a little too much effort for a guy not making that much money in the grand scheme of things and who clearly has no future with the organization.
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Stauffer certainly doesn't belong on the roster, but he really should go for a bat, so it would have little to do with Oliveros. I didn't have a huge problem keeping Pressly and Tonkin in the minors to begin the season, they weren't good in the spring (from all accounts, official and media). Tonkin shouldn't be going down now.
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Molitor loses.
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OK, another question. Why do people think Oliveros is better than Pressly or Tonkin (or even Graham)? Is this anything other than seeing some numbers and dreaming on the mediocrity you can't see over the mediocrity right in front of your face? I understand wanting to get rid of Stauffer and (to a lesser extent) Duensing, but that would be for Fien and hopefully a bat. I also understand that Boyer and Thompson probably aren't sustainable, but shouldn't we at least wait until it actually happens. Just don't see the reason to send down Tonkin or Pressly for Oliveros. Oliveros is just fine as org depth, ready if there is an opening.
