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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    Can you explain where/how you see the number of people increasing by 2 to 4 times?
  2. TheLeviathan
    Thank you for finding those numbers. The Twins had a crappy deal that was paying 40M. You're looking at a 90% haircut going direct to consumer. I've been saying it for years - that model is NOT viable.
  3. TheLeviathan
    Apple or Amazon or Google may swoop in and save them. But make no mistake...unless non-baseball watchers are subsidizing the payouts, the payouts are going to drop substantially.
  4. TheLeviathan
    Correct, this reckoning has been coming for a long time now. Satellite companies were the first canaries - as DirectTv and others saw their numbers drop by the millions, the cable model was next. MLB loves all the money it gets in some markets with local contracts, but it needs to take the product nationally and split the revenue. The direct-to-consumer model isn't viable IMO. The amount of money lost would be crippling.
  5. TheLeviathan
    Goldschmidt might have been the worst "Bang for your buck" player in all of baseball last year. What makes the Padres so successful is that their GM has a real knack for when to move on and off players. There is no complacency and he has the skill to do it well. That said, they haven't won anything yet and have had some miserable seasons to go with their good ones. (Their season last year, at 82-80, was a similar disappointment. Just happened differently) But we should DEFINITELY be taking some cues from that organization.
  6. TheLeviathan
    Do we have any numbers on how viable that is long term? Padres and Diamondbacks went to this as a patch (the Twins should have as well) but they are making substantially less money this way in all likelihood. And maybe that's just the pill they have to swallow going forward. Padres are making 4.5M off of it. Yeah - good as dead. That isn't a viable strategy. It might've made fans happy to have it on air temporarily but it's not a solution.
  7. TheLeviathan
    I'm here to tell you that Option A is a bad one too. Sure, to hardcore baseball fans it seems great, but I guarantee you it's as good as dead at that price point. Casual fans are not going to spent $20 a month for nothing but baseball. Part of the dilemma here is that they waited too long for a viable long term solution. They kept hitching their wagon to the death throws as long as they could milk a few bucks in the short term.
  8. TheLeviathan
    No one needs reminders about that toxicity. But I should be clear because I conflated two ideas in my head and misspoke, the Twins had the best record in baseball from May-mid August and were in the top 4 of the AL. Fans weren't showing up in droves. It's no longer strictly about winning, not in this market.
  9. TheLeviathan
    Might give away your play call? Not sure. If the fear about Bradbury is that intense....that's really saying something. I thought he has played pretty well so far, even if Lawrence ate him a few times.
  10. TheLeviathan
    This team had the second best record in the AL in July. They were playing a fun, high scoring brand of baseball. What did Target Field look like? Ghost town. The disconnect is deeper than wins and losses. It's a culmination of decades of malfeasance on the part of the organization. Their broadcasting plans have always been pure foolishness. They thought partnering with a streaming service charging $25 a month was a viable platform. They avoided opportunity after opportunity to put their product in front of their fans. They have systematically killed baseball loving culture in this town. The on-field product hasn't helped (playoff streak, Yankee dominance, etc) but ownership has always been condescending, cheap, and idiotic. They're reaping the rewards.
  11. TheLeviathan
    If those teams are smart...and if the Twins don't want to fumble this for the eleventy-th season in a row....they should go to MLB and propose a league solution for all of them. Usher in a new era of non-stupid broadcasting of the sport.
  12. TheLeviathan
    Maki had a bunch of scrap heap dudes, rookies, and scrubs and they pitched behind a largely weak defense. The man deserves better.
  13. TheLeviathan
    I find it even more strange because baseball is trying to create more of a running game with rule changes. It's likely that trend continues. Why wouldn't we want to be ahead of that curve? Look at the difference it has made for Cleveland, Cincy, and Milwaukee. Those teams (well, not so much Cincy) don't have a ton of punch in their lineups put plate a lot of extra runs just by utilizing speed. We were dead last in steals Speed is an asset in the field and makes avoiding long run-scoring droughts less likely. It is my number one thing I want this organization to rethink.
  14. TheLeviathan
    I heard Provus tell Barreiro that he asked Falvey about pinch hitting too early in games. (His example was about removing Wallner in the 5th) He stated that Falvey said they are "definitely" looking to change that approach.
  15. TheLeviathan
    That's fair. Interestingly...even with the absolute nose dive at the end....this team still finished 11th in all of MLB in OPS. This was probably the right move, but the Twins weren't actually as bad as they were at the end. Way too streaky though.
  16. TheLeviathan
  17. TheLeviathan
    Dave St. Peter has been out of touch for what can only be counted in decades now rather than years. The single greatest thing the Twins could do to improve their long term outlook is fire him or shuttle him away to a corner office. Basic competence would be a massive upgrade.
  18. TheLeviathan
    My quick math is 38M for that. The other guys are 93M. So 131M based on those projections. Cool, -1 million is plenty of room to add talent right?
  19. TheLeviathan
    They all work.
  20. TheLeviathan
    Well hell.....let's make it alumni row then! Anyone and everyone who could help these fools not implode every other year!
  21. TheLeviathan
    Are there any limits on how many bench coaches you can have in MLB?
  22. TheLeviathan
    Only Detroit from where I sit. I think the line we just played in Green Bay looks pretty damn good too. They held our pass rush in check better than anyone else has and they were opening some gaping holes against our front. I do think concerns about Bradbury getting run over alters our 4th down play calling. I guess my takeaway was...Nailor....fall your butt forward the moment you can.
  23. TheLeviathan
    All moves like this tend to be scapegoats, but given how putrid the offense was down the stretch....I guess it's reasonable to target them. Again though...organizational philosophies need to change.
  24. TheLeviathan
    To add to all of this: all Falvey can do is make a reasoned guess about the future when he is signing Correa to a 6 year deal. With inflation alone it would be reasonable for him to assume his spending would not have to go down. Combine that with the largely steady climb in budget AND Dave St. Peter and others publicly stating that they had a plan for broadcast revenue....there was no reason he would expect such a substantial cut. Hell, by just common sense of "We just broke a two decade curse, the stadium was buzzing, let's be a smart business and invest in this momentum" he should've expected plenty of room to operate. Instead....knee-capped. HARD. With almost no time left to act. He didn't do well with the resources and time he had, but we should all be enraged at Joe Pohlad right now. Anyone protecting them by nit-picking the payroll cut is giving them cover for the indefensible.
  25. TheLeviathan
    I think the statement in the middle of this excellent article is the key: Say what you will about the moves made this offseason (they weren't good other than Santana) but the position they were in was completely unexpected. The FO was assuming a 150-160M payroll and the flexibility that would have came with that. Slashing the payroll took all manueverability from them and their scramble to add to the roster failed. Ownership knee-capped the franchise just when they finally had the place starting to buzz again. We talk about "winning fixes all" but this team was winning in July and nobody was showing up. The fanbase is exhausted with the Pohalds, this offseason broke them.
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