First, there are some here who mock Epstein for the praise he gets. Yes, he has some advantages with the Cubs, but the guy is smart as hell. Second, Arrieta is not "just luck". The Cubs went out and payed 6M to sign Scott Feldman (a pitcher with a lot of former sucess who fell on hard times) while the Twins spent about the same amount on Kevin freaking Correia. A guy who had never even managed to hold Feldman's jock as a pitcher. We get what could've expected from Correia, while the Cubs gamble on Feldman came up aces. They turned that profit into a flailing former Opening Day starter and top prospect and a hard throwing reliever. (Strop and Arrieta were a huge return for a 6M gamble) Sometimes a change in scenery is all the "luck" you need. But the real point is that when you're aggressive and take chances to hit big....you hit big sometimes. When you always roll the dice not to lose, you rarely hit big. It's Ryan's greatest flaw - the unwillingness to step out and take big chances. The only time I can even think of him trying this is Span for Meyer and I still applaud him for trying, but let's keep things clear about Ryan and Epstein. There is a reason one is a superior GM and it ain't luck.