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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Agreed about Ryan, but this is not quite a buy "low" signing. Other than the arbitration yet to be determined guys, Schoop's salary without incentives is the 4th highest in this team and depending on the incentives might be the highest... Just sayin'
  2. Thrylos
    Alright. Looks like he is.
  3. Thrylos
    That's an easy thing: He had an oblique strain on April 14th. An injury that takes 6 weeks to heal. In less than 3 weeks they sent him to a rehab assignment in Bowie, and was back to the majors the next week after AA and AAA stops. Donuts to dollars he played hurt last season.
  4. Thrylos
    You do have an open spot on the 40-man roster. He is not on it. After he was DFA'd he became a free agent and signed a minor league contract
  5. Thrylos
    They didn't
  6. Thrylos
    I think that if the Twins had traded for Schoop after the 2017 season, nobody would have hated that deal. He is 27. His BABIP was 35 points off his career average and 69 points off his 2017 number last season. BB and K% numbers were consistent with the rest of his career, so were the contact % numbers. If he rebounds close to his 2017 numbers, he will be a bargain. Personally I'd rather have Murphy or Kintzler, but I like this signing. Some pitching now please. BTW Torreyes was signed to MiLB contract and likely will compete with Adrianza for a utility spot in ST. Another thing: Roster is full now so no Rule 5 silliness
  7. Thrylos
    Kepler has already 3 full seasons in the majors and the only two things that improved are his K% and his defense. wOBA, wRC+, BB%, isoP have been practically static (and league averagish.) Base running has actually declined. He looks like he has pretty much peaked. And he is just yet another one in the collection of lefty hitting and lefty throwing Twins' OF. If you can trade a league average OF with prospects for a top of the rotation pitcher, you got to do it in a heartbeat.
  8. Thrylos
    Can he pitch? The Twins need: 2 top of the rotation starters 2 back end of the bullpen relievers a middle infielder before they commit $17.5 MM a year + prospects to an aging 1B/DH while just acquiring a younger (and better last season, 122 wRC+) version. If they want to be relevant. They better get the money and prospects it will take towards pitching. On the other hand, Carlos Santana may be a perfect fit for a concert at Target Field.
  9. Thrylos
    Ehire hit .300/.355/.464 with men on last season. Much better than another now former Twins middle infielder who better stay unmentioned...
  10. Thrylos
    Buxton did not adequate man CF last year, does this mean that they need a centerfielder?
  11. Thrylos
    The Twins cannot afford to start the season with this rotation and pen and pretend that they are competing... To be competitive they need two starters better than Berrios/Gibson and I do not count Pineda to be one, and also a couple of late inning relievers. They have excess pitching and I would have no problem trading anyone of them other than Romero and Graterol at this point. Gordon quickly will fall behind Arraez in IF depth and with Lewis up and coming, the Twins better trade him while he has value. I'd like them to sign a veteran second baseman to an one-year contact, preferably Murphy or Kinzler, until Arraez is ready. I think that's about it as far as the position players go, but I also believe that Sano and Buxton will have good seasons and will finally be healthy.
  12. Thrylos
    This is what this deal looks like: Diaz 4 years of club control prearb, Cano 5 years $120M, Bruce 2 years $28M, Swarzak 1 year $8.5 M, plus prospects and whatever $ the Mariners might send over. The Twins do not have any bad contracts this time (OK, Addison Reed, so he will have to be in that deal) Cano is signed from his age 36 to his age 40 season. That's 5 geriatric years, and the assumption the Twins need to make is that his last 3 or 4 will be a DH. The most they should pay him is $10+8+5+5+2 = $30 million and let the Mariners responsible for 90-Reed's 8.5 = $ 81.5. The Twins can afford to let a leftie tossing OF go, and if it were up to me, I'd throw in Kepler. (Reed + Kepler is at least equivalent to Swarzak + Bruce, but likely better.) As far as prospects go, who am I to stay in the middle of a family reunion, so Nick goes to play with Dee, like the good old days, and Stephen Gonsalves could follow. (That's two top 100 prospects btw.) So we have: Addisson Reed + Max Kepler + Nick Gordon + Stephen Gonsalves for Robinson Cano + Edwin Diaz + $80M That said, there is no way in hay I would want Cano in my team...
  13. Thrylos
    2017 is far away for a soon to be 33 year old former catcher with knee and back issues, and comparing WAR between players in different positions makes zero sense, because of the different weights on defense. Apples with apples: 2018 fWAR: Cron 2.1 Santana 1.9 I'd take the younger, healthier, more productive player for less $ and no prospect cost. No brainer, other than the memories of the ghost of Santana's past while with Cleveland in his prime. Comparing offensive production: 2018 wRC+ Santana: 109 Cron: 122 Grossman: 108 Still a no-brainer with even bigger difference. Cron (younger and cheaper in both $ and players) created 20% or so more runs than Santana who had pretty much the production of Grossman last season.
  14. Thrylos
    2018 numbers: Cron 2.1 fWAR Mauer 1.0 fWAR Austin 0.3 fWAR in 69 games or 0.6 fWAR/150 games Con is the best fist baseman they have now and about double as good as Mauer was last season. Wonder whether the Twins gave Mauer (a lesser player than Cron these days) an 1 yr / $6M contact, would had been so much negativity about the signing. Worse come to worst, they cut him if they find anyone better. Bottom line: The Twins are better with Cron than they were the minute before they signed him.
  15. Thrylos
    Couple of concerns about Reed: 1. His injury last season was puclicly described as 'triceps tightness' 2. His slider suffered more than his FB per pitch values Sounds like an elbow situation from here...
  16. Thrylos
    Sounds like Busenitz is being released to play in Japan as well...
  17. Thrylos
    As a matter of fact, it takes place the last day of the Winter Meetings...
  18. Thrylos
    Add Harrison Bader Paul DeJong Ian Happ David Fletcher And the fact that all but Swanson and Bregman were picked up after Jay and makes that pick pretty bad. Need to mention that several of the first round picks who did not make it to the majors are high schoolers, including Brendan Rodgers #15 overall prospect at MLB.com, for whom it is tough to make it to the majors 3 years after drafted . The Twins' drafts have been pathetic. Another data point: only Gibson is still with the team from the players who were drafted before 2012. That speaks tons.
  19. Thrylos
    The actual shame is that the person who made all of those first round picks, including the other wasted ones is still in the Twins' organization...
  20. Thrylos
    Stuart had a career.660 MiLB OPS and managed to achieve a .426 MLB OPS with the Reds before was sent down this season. Not much of a loss. Navaretto's career MiLB OPS is .575. If anyone wants him, more power to them, but will not even project to a .350 OPS in the majors...
  21. Thrylos
    and throwing with the other arm
  22. Thrylos
    2018 MiLB numbers in AA and AAA against RHP: .281/.391/.409 against LHP: .189/.266/.297 No. He does not hit LHPs. He is pretty much an automatic out against them. He does mash against RHP. The Twins already have 4 lefty throwing OFs on their 4 man roster. How given is a 5th? Or an 8th total OF? Meanwhile the infielder roster, including 1B sits at just 5. It is a numbers game
  23. Thrylos
    Suarez < Moya, but I would do De Los Santos for Lamonte Wade 1-1 any day of the week Regardless De Los Santos (and Suarez FWIW) need 40 men roster spots so the balance would be 0-2 for the Twins. I really don't like Santana, but I like De Los Santos. He is future closer material
  24. Thrylos
    Donaldson has chronic leg (calf) issues. Santana is not that great. He had a 105 OPS+ and he is in decline. That OPS+ is lower than the yet to reach his prime Tyler Austin (108 OPS+). I'd give advantage to Austin. Cruz is old. From that group only Murphy (whose defense if you ask UZR is about as good as Dozier's at second base) does something for me, esp. as a most-time DH. I like to buy low and my candidate for that is Jonathan Schoop who is a year removed from being an All Star, just entering his prime, and in a year full of injuries was ok in Baltimore before falling apart in Milwaukee.
  25. Thrylos
    At least they are braking the mold of 3 decades in which they were expecting different results if they were doing the same failed things over and over again. Openness to data (aka analytics) is one thing. The hardest is to formulate hypotheses based on that data (eg. Pressly should be throwing his curve more), be willing to test them when it counts (eg: Pressly actually throwing his curve ball more, like he did with the Astros), and be willing to adjust is another whole bunch of things. And the Twins' coaches need to do all of those things, and the Twins' players need to be receptive to all of those things. Open mindedness helps both ways. That said, let's see who will be the first and third base coaches
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