PseudoSABR
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Everything posted by PseudoSABR
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That they'd need any where near the amount of data you're supposing. The cellphone need not ping the cell tower every second, it could be a much larger time frame than that; and the cell tower need not record every ping. They need two pings from the same tower at even intervals from the outgoing phone, in order to indicate a radial distance. That's really - a minimum - of six data points for triangulation, and I imagine the data has much more than that. We don't know how much data they were collecting and in what intervals. That the cell towers need to receive the ping at the exact same time - (that really wouldn't make much sense if they did), rather the towers need to receive the same outgoing ping from the cell phone in order be validly compared. Receiving the pings at different times would account for the disparate distances between the differing towers and the source of the ping. Again, we don't know what the data precisely consists of and what auxiliary evidence would help ensure it's validity. That regardless of the imprecision, such data could exists that would foreclose the possibility that the cellphone was on Avery's property throughout the affair. Even if the area of the location is very large, Avery's property could lie outside of it, and that's the essential fact. The data already exists. It was accumulated during the lead up to the trial. The defense failed to 'discover' it. So I don't really understand your past tense point.
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And I hate cognitive bias and assumption-laden analysis. Cheers.
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Without seeing what data they have, I don't know how you can make a probabilistic determination like that. (For my part, I think you're overestimating the precision in data they'd actually need for that data to have evidentiary value, but I don't really want to argue that point any further). And where's the implication that Zellner is somehow incompetent or grandstanding coming from? I guess I just can't dismiss what she's saying about the 12 miles away from the property as an obvious falsehood or overstatement.
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And if Avery's property falls outside the hypothetical 100 square mile area, it has evidentiary value. (The evidence is not where precisely she is, but rather where the data indicates she could not be.) It seems like you're suggesting there's some technological impasse that prevents the possibility of the ping data being meaningful -- that's not the case. The requisite data might actually exist.
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You don't need the cell companies to triangulate; all they'd need is the ping data from more than three cellular towers over a period of time, and from that data they could 'triangulate' a location. Though that being said, they tried this method to locate that plane that went missing that one time, I don't think they found it.
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I imagine they have enough data to deduce the 12 mile conclusion, and according the article, this kind of data has been used in cases before. It shouldn't matter how far away a cellular tower is, as the distance would be determined through multiple pings to the same tower. If it pinged enough towers over enough time, there could be enough data to indicate a location and a path of travel. I get cynicism abotu this type of evidence, but it could mean what it is purported to mean.
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There's a section titled Reduce the Defense Budget on Bernie's feelthebern website, under the Federal Budget and Nation Debt webpage; the relevant section is about two thirds of the way down. I don't know that Bernie's been stumping about cutting the military, but it looks like its part of his platform in some way, so I doubt that Mike simply imagined it.
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I thought of that as well, as that fact implies the county police found the vehicle somewhere other than the Avery property; the cellphone data could corroborate that implication to some degree.
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There's nothing simple about that explanation. So Avery leaves the compound with her cellphone after he murders her? And he leaves her body and the Rav 4 on the property somewhere, during this twelve mile escapade? And then he returns to burn the body, go to quarry, have a bon fire etc.? And why did he leave with her cellphone and where did he go and why did he go there? Sure, the prosecution could say that, but I don't find it particularly believable, and I'm sure once the events are all laid out chronologically and geographically, that narrative would be pretty specious. You can't deny that it would further problematize the prosecution's theory of what had happened. This is just another way to poke holes in their version of the truth, and combined with all the other problematic facts for the prosecution, the evidence could rise to the level of creating reasonable doubt. That said, a jury could still 'buy' that story, or rather they believe Avery is guilty despite the story and timing making much sense. And if we're going with that, here's to justice, then.
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Thanks for sharing. Thoughtful and persuasive. I especially like your point about the willingness to compromise.
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Good thing they still let baseball players hit. Clearly, it's the Twins lineup (and perhaps defense) that would have to make up the ground on the front half the other teams' starting pitching. Even if our rotation is staggeringly average, the Twins will still be competitive.
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The quarry, I believe, is still on the Avery property, though it may be some distance (not 12 miles) from the salvage yard. Here's a map, but there's no scale to show how far apart the two sites are. The evidence is said to document her route, and show that she left the property the same way she came in. This by itself does not prove Avery's innocence. This isn't a smoking gun per se, but another piece of evidence creating reasonable doubt. Now, the prosecution's narrative needs to explain those 12 miles. So Avery would have to have followed her somehow, abducted her, return to the property with her and the Rav4 (and his own vehicle), go to the quarry, and back to the bon fire, killing her at some point and disposing of her body at the multiple sites, all within the time frame where Avery was unaccounted for (I think before 5pm, and after what ever time she showed up to the salvage yard). All that said, this evidence will probably not result in a new trial (even if it was a smoking gun) because it was discoverable to the defense at the time of the trial; and unless it was hidden through prosecution misconduct, I don't see how Avery's team will be able to overcome that fact. (They might be able to argue a technological deficiency at the time of trial or that the courts weren't willing to recognize ping data as evidence at the time of trial, but the article suggests that argument won't hold the day.)
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I picked up OOTP17, great as always.
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Opening Day Roster Nearly Set
PseudoSABR replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't get the flexibility argument. If we had cut Tonkin and Nolasco we'd have less flexibility by not having them available at all. Sure we could replace them with more flexible options, but the well with which we could draw from would be two-pitchers short. In any case, if veterans prove ineffective the Twins will utilize the DL or even cut bait. IMO, there's more flexibility with Tonkin and Nolasco starting on the roster, then the other way around. (Though the argument of entrenched mediocrity argument does make some sense, there's too many other variables for that really to become a problem. If Nolasco is league average this year, and no other starters get hurt, isn't that a very good problem to have?)- 92 replies
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Back to antiquity, a plane was hijacked and landed in Cyprus.
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What I think's interesting is that although a lot of new media outlets are resisting covering the story (for good reason if they don't have independent reporting), but Cruz's statement that Trump is to blame will make news about the impending back and forth, and spread the story despite only the Enquirer reporting.
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1) I don't think voters are that complex in their motivations. 2) Ryan as a congressman hasn't been exposed to a state-wide election, so I'm not sure how many Wisconsinites would necessarily consider him their own. (Heck, Rubio as a Senator couldn't win his home State, and he was an actual candidate).
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Answering my own question: Here's a list from a bunch of twitter posts of reporters who had the story; evidently they were told to sit on it. Ugh.
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Right. To think he was capturing the supposed "moral" wing of the party's support...
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Seriously? That damn liberal media. Just curious where you're finding this information. All I can find is the National Enquirer story (which I guess did break the John Edwards scandal in 2008), and no other sourced reporting...
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When I first heard about this movie, I was like: Wha?
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Here's a really thorough state-by-state breakdown of whether Trump can win enough delegates: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/assessing-trumps-path-to-1237/ Worth the read, or at least a glance or two.
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I don't even talk these days, I just straight up impose my beliefs on others.
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Fascist!
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Well, that's where you and his supporters disagree. As soon as he drops out, the conversation about wealth disparity ends (at least on the national stage). I don't understand how you can just dismiss that.
