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twinsfanstreif

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Everything posted by twinsfanstreif

  1. twinsfanstreif
    Not sure, I don't follow recruiting super close, I know he's been really good for us though
  2. twinsfanstreif
    This is similar to my list except I would add Jeter Downs and MJ Melendez as well as anyone who drops due to signing concerns, i.e. Carlson or Baz. I will also be hoping for Connor Wong from Houston (my alma mater), he is a very athletic catcher who plays good D and is a good hitter as well, he batted lead off as a catcher which is pretty rare and showed some pop as well with 11 HRs
  3. twinsfanstreif
    I'm starting to jump on board the Gore train.He looks like he could eventually be the best of the bunch and we could probably get him for a discount. I like Greene still but 100 mph pitchers scare me as very few have been able to maintain that kind of velocity without a lengthy injury history. I really just don't like McKay, he seems like his ceiling is Barry Zito on the mound and at 1st base he reminds me of Yonder Alonzo coming out of college with a little less power, not exactly 1-1 stuff. I like Wright but I'm really concerned that multiple mechanics people have stated potential injury concerns with him, I don't know a ton in that field but there's definitely some smoke on that one, that being said I would welcome him, I'm just cautious. I feel at this point like Gore or Lewis would be great options
  4. twinsfanstreif
    Did you watch the video?
  5. twinsfanstreif
    He wasn't predicting it, he is saying that he would be concerned about TJ if he continues with his same mechanics and doesn't strengthen his lower half. I think that's fair. If it means anything this guy was concerned about Birdi's mechanics as well
  6. twinsfanstreif
    I've been watching someone clips from a mechanics expert named Brent Pourciau and they are very interesting. I will say I don't know how legit this guy is but he has a professional business out of it and used to work for a ML scouting department. He has videos of pretty much all the top prospects. In short he thinks Greene could be a TJ candidate if a team doesn't let him develop right, most notably allowing him to maintain his athleticism and strengthening his lower half. He doesn't like McKay at all, he is very concerned about Wright's injury potential because of poor leg leverage (i.e. all arm), and he likes Gore however the clip he used is from Last year and he is concerned that once he matures he might loose some of his flexibility which is the source of most of his leverage. This guy is hyper critical in all of his clips so there is that to keep in mind but I would recommend checking it out
  7. twinsfanstreif
    I have trouble seeing Carlson dropping that far
  8. twinsfanstreif
    I like Lewis a lot and at this point he's becoming a more attractive option in my eyes. He could be a lower bonus option to save money for our next 2 picks.
  9. twinsfanstreif
    I'm a big fan of Ramos, I haven't seen any tape myself and I've heard his swing is kind of long but he has tremendous power and good athleticism as a potential corner OF in the future
  10. twinsfanstreif
    This was an excerpt from call to the Pen's mock draft where they picked Greene for us: "Twins brass were big on Greene this week and had a number of interesting comments hinting that he is still very strongly in consideration for the #1 pick. Previous weeks had indicated the team was moving toward college picks McKay or Wright." Does anyone have any idea what they are referring to? Most mocks are shying away from Greene but this intrigues me, might have to do with McKay slipping some
  11. twinsfanstreif
    Sam is pretty much out of the question at #35 as he will probably go higher, right?
  12. twinsfanstreif
    For our 35th and 37th pick I am intrigued by Ramos, I like his bat a lot and PR prospects tend to be under rated. I would also take a flier on Romero, he's just too talented to not try with, I would get him in anger management classes asap though.
  13. twinsfanstreif
    Why would he be a tough sign? He was kicked off his college team so it's not like he can go back to college unless he goes juco or independent which would be very tricky for a guy who has had as many problems as he has. He pretty much has no leverage. If he is drafted in the top 2 rounds he better be happy with that and take it unless the team that drafts him is only offering him like 10th round money. Few guys who have been kicked off the college team get a second chance like that, he should be happy with that
  14. twinsfanstreif
    Not necessarily shocking per se, but according to some advanced statistics Kepler and Buxton are the best defensive players at their position and it's not really close. Buxton leads all OFs in Range Factor at 3.25 and it's not even close, Kepler is the best RF at 2.39 (The career active leader in CF is Lorenzo Cain with a 2.93 and the single season record is held by one Kirby Puckett with a 3.67 in his rookie season). Kepler leads all fielders in Total Zone Runs (basically runs saved above average for your position) with 14, Buxton is tied for #2 with 11 (for a little context Ozzie Smith averaged 12.5 per season for his career and Andruw Jones averaged 14). So essentially Buxton and Kepler have combined for 25 runs saved above average at their positions and pretty much played near HOF level defense. That's pretty neat
  15. twinsfanstreif
    Kind of amazing that we could turn Butera into Mejia.......or really anything meaningful
  16. twinsfanstreif
    The problem with this assessment is that hitting on a player reduces dramatically after the top 5 picks and even more so after the top 20, the baseball draft is such a crapshoot I wouldn't trust a guy in the comp balance or the 2nd round to be a sure thing. There are plenty of examples of taking the "safe" pick and it back firing. What happens if we take a guy at #1 who ends up being like Adam Johnson (who was considered a "signability" pick at the time) and then with the savings we pick a guy who slipped for signability reasons and he never makes it? That would be disastrous . Because the bonus pools started in 2012 we don't have a ton of precedence for this, the first year the Astros did it and hit on both players in Correa and McCullers which makes us think it's a great strategy. In the next draft the Royals reached on Hunter Dozier (who was not considered a 1st round talent) to sign Manaea with mixed results (Dozier made it to the majors but has played poorly and Manaea was traded for Zobrist who helped them win a WS). In 2015 the Astros did it again by drafting Bregman who has been decent but Daz Cameron who they gave a $4 million bonus to is batting .179 in low A ball. Those are really our only examples of this strategy and our bonus pools at the top are shrinking this year so we might not even be able to do it as effectively
  17. twinsfanstreif
    Do you guys put a lot of stock into the apparent "Tommy John Twist" that Wright does? I read a long article about it and it seems to have legs
  18. twinsfanstreif
    I really hope he uses Free Bird as his walk out song
  19. twinsfanstreif
    I wonder if the Twins would surprise everyone and go a completely different direction like the Astros did in 2012, maybe like Royce Lewis. Doesn't seem like a very "Twinsy" thing to do but we haven't seen a draft from the new FO so who knows
  20. twinsfanstreif
    I saw this coming for a while. He's been a head case since last year and the coaching staff put up with it because he has first round talent. This was the last straw for them. I hope the kid can get his act together
  21. twinsfanstreif
    I've liked Wright from the beginning, I liked him better than Faedo prior to the season. The thing with him right now is he reminds me a lot of Gausman in the 2012 draft. More of a #2 upside. I still like Greene better
  22. twinsfanstreif
    That's true but I have a feeling once teams find out about the bong incident they will stay away
  23. twinsfanstreif
    I'm a Houston fan and I'm afraid Romero is a huge headcase and I'd bet teams would be really reluctant to draft him. Apparently he was photographed in uniform with a bong which was one of the reasons for his suspension and he's openly rejected the coaching staff's conditioning efforts. Also his results really haven't matched his stuff so far this year. We will probably see a huge drop from him unless he somehow shows an ability to get his act together
  24. twinsfanstreif
    "but the last two No. 1 overall picks who had negative WAR over their careers were both college pitchers: Bryan Bullington (2002, PIT) and Matt Anderson (1997, DET)." This isn't taking into account Matt Bush who was a HS position player drafted in 2004 who never made it to the majors at all (isn't he in prison?)
  25. twinsfanstreif
    Wow, what a day for the system's starters! That's an ERA of 2.02, a WHIP of .9975, a K/9 10.93, and a K:BB ratio of 4.45. For those of you that are not numbers people, I'll just say those numbers are pretty good......pretty, pretty, good
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