As the 2021 season enters its final leg, end of the year leaders have emerged. Members of the Twins won't threaten for much recognition, but I believe there is an outside chance for Luis Arraez to gain the notoriety of being the American League batting champion. Arraez currently is hitting .316 and has 321 plate appearances. In order to qualify to win the batting championship, a player has to average 3.1 plate appearances per game his team has played. This would require that Arraez average just over four plate appearances per game for the rest of the season.
There are a lot of factors to be considered in a season where the team is not in contention. Arraez recently has not been hitting leadoff, even against right handed pitching, costing him about a half plate appearance per game. He hasn't started much against left handed pitching and he has already spent two stints on the Injured List. This year, plate appearances in general have been limited by seven-inning doubleheader games and limited extra-innings due to the "gift runner" rule. If Arraez stays healthy for the final seven weeks, he can get the qualifying plate appearances, but that will depend on his manager continuing to put him in the lineup.
The other consideration is the competition to win the batting championship. Right now, Michael Brantley leads MLB with a .332 average, 16 points ahead of Arraez. Brantley has 403 plate appearances and would need 99 in the final 44 games, so unless he is injured, he will qualify for the batting championship. Assuming Brantley qualifies for the award and continues to get a hit in one-third of his at-bats, Arraez would have to go 58 for 160 for the rest of the season. That is hitting at over a .360 clip.
There are a few other American League players who are hitting better than .310 who could surge to a batting championship including Cedric Mullins, Yuri Gurriel, Vlad Jr. and Teoscar Hernandez. All of these players are bunched within five points of Arraez' batting average.
The odds are against Arraez overtaking Brantley, getting enough plate appearances and staying ahead of those with similar averages. It would be fun to have something to care about in the last weeks of the season and given Arraez' recent success, I do believe he has a chance. Time will tell.