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stringer bell

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Everything posted by stringer bell

  1. stringer bell
    Kepler gets this promotion as a reward for a fine minor league season. That is fair and right. Would he have helped the Twins for the last three weeks? Maybe, but only because he would be a better pinch hitter than Danny Santana. It is not like he would be starting any games. As Seth said, service time shouldn't be an issue at all. Kepler will almost certainly start 2016 in AAA. Instead of having to stay for three weeks to gain another year of control, it would be five weeks.
  2. stringer bell
    I think this team might have reached its expiration date at 145 games.
  3. stringer bell
    Maybe not 100% efficiency on the route, but still an impressive catch.
  4. stringer bell
    Here's an additional thought. If the Twins win their next four games, they WILL be in the second wild card position. Texas is playing Houston, who leads them by 1.5 games. If Texas wins 3 of 4, the Twins will be tied with the Rangers and half a game ahead of the Astros. If they split, the Twins will be a game up on the TRs and a half game behind Houston.
  5. stringer bell
    What about Perra?
  6. stringer bell
    Great point. Defense, especially outfield defense is much improved. I'd like to see a defensive upgrade at catcher, but everyone is at least capable, with the three fast outfielders having a chance to be elite.
  7. stringer bell
    Zuke has picked it up and there is no question he's the best option in the organization. However, his overall numbers just don't merit all the playing time he has received. He should be sharing time with another catcher and it sure looks like that guy will have to come from someone else's system.
  8. stringer bell
    Thank you Robin Ventura.
  9. stringer bell
    The power hitting keystone combo.
  10. stringer bell
    Kinda makes up for the K in the first.
  11. stringer bell
    Sano called out on strike five. Of course, when a guy exhibits such lack of control, he isn't going to get many corners.
  12. stringer bell
    Baseball note: Suzuki is in the starting lineup tonight. He has had a less-than-productive season hitting and has problems throwing out base stealers, but is damn tough. I thought he was done for the season. Give it up for one tough Hawaiian!
  13. stringer bell
    Turner was in the organization on August 31st, so he could be added.
  14. stringer bell
    Way back this spring, I thought that Turner was a standout behind the plate, compared to any other catcher in the organization. Oftentimes defensive reputations are exaggerated, but Turner has very good defensive tools. I think Turner will get a look with the Twins at some point next year. If Suzuki is unavailable for more than a day or two, he probably would be recalled so that the Twins could pinch-hit for both Herrmann and Fryer.
  15. stringer bell
    I would like to see Dozier step up and carry the club. He's been in the doldrums for a while and he's a good player who still is able to help the club in the field, on the bases and with the bat. Mauer still might have a white-hot week or two in him, as well.
  16. stringer bell
    I do pretty much agree with what Jimbo said above. Pelfrey's fastball is OK, but it isn't dominant. His breaking ball isn't a plus pitch, so he went with the split-finger. However, he's never had command of the split, he got a lot of people to swing at it, but not many were in the strike zone. The key here is that in order for the split to be at all effective, Pelfrey needs to be ahead in the count. It seems he has been 2-0, 2-1 almost all the time. Both control and command of his fastball have been issues in the second half of the season.
  17. stringer bell
    I see that the Twins will use the off-day to skip Duffey's next start. To the point of the OP, Pelfrey absolutely has to pitch well tonight or they will go with other alternatives. I don't see May starting any more games while the Twins have a chance to make postseason, especially with the injury to Perkins. They need him in the bullpen. Darnell did not impress me when he pitched for the Twins last year. He started shaky at AAA, but was very good the last couple months, including about a month as a starter. To me, he is a AAAA guy, as are Dean and Bowden, and perhaps also Rogers, although I think Rogers can be a solid bullpen option.
  18. stringer bell
    There was a thread about a month ago when Rosario was going pretty well and the overwhelming consensus was that Rosario might regress, but his performance wasn't fueled by an out-of-this-world BABIB, as Santana's was. I don't expect Rosario to ever be a patient hitter, but I expect his discipline will increase after he has seen most of the pitchers in the league. He's already been a good player for the team as a rookie. A little fine-tuning could make him better, but not a superstar. Rosario's defense undoubtedly has value, not only for the extra outs he generates by throwing out runners, but for runners not taking an extra base, respecting his strong accurate arm. Not all assists are the same and I would say Rosario has had more than his share of "wow!" throws, rather than getting an assist by hitting the cutoff man who catches a runner wandering too far or trying to catch the Twins napping.
  19. stringer bell
    Can't do it. He has used his last option this year. If he doesn't make the Twins, they would have to DFA him to get him to Rochester and with the success he had the last two years, someone would claim him.
  20. stringer bell
    My very preliminary 2016 roster has Arcia as the fourth OF, getting at-bats as a DH as well to start the season. If Plouffe isn't moved, there is really no place for Vargas. I am pretty sure Kepler won't make the team out of spring training, but I do expect him to make his debut early in 2016, if not when the Southern League playoffs are over this fall.
  21. stringer bell
    I see numbers like ERA (for starters, not relievers) as showing what players have done. FIP and xFIP are predictors, sometimes on the button, sometimes way off. FIP and xFIP predict the Twins starters to be pretty lousy going forward. Given the composition of the rotation, I can't dispute that. Through the All-Star break, the pitching staff (and starters in particular) had overperformed their predictors considerably. Regression has occurred and stung Pelfrey and Gibson particularly hard. There are 24 games remaining, each one (I hope) will be crucial. The manager has to determine which guys will give him the best chance of winning. He's giving the ball to Pelfrey tonight, a pitch-to-contact pitcher against a pitch-to-contact lineup. I hope Pelf holds them down and the Twins can score a half dozen again tonight.
  22. stringer bell
    Buxton has one trip to AAA, he was sent there for rehab and then optioned. If he were optioned to start (wouldn't surprise me), that would be his second trip to Rochester. Buxton goes back far better than Hicks in center, and seems to get better jumps, so with his speed he is a pretty terrific center fielder. The hitting will take awhile, but I fully expect him to be an offensive weapon sometime in 2016. BTW, comparing Hicks to Buxton isn't apples to apples because Buxton is still just 21 years old, Hicks didn't make his debut until he was 23 and was optioned the last time at age 25.
  23. stringer bell
    I expect Texas to overtake Houston. The question is will Houston lose enough for the Twins to overtake them? The Twins are 3.5 behind the Astros who have to play Texas seven times yet.
  24. stringer bell
    Overtaking the Twins? Or just beating them several times now in crunch time? Absolutely Cleveland is playing its best ball now and they'll be a tough test in all seven games remaining with the Twins. I can't see the Tribe sneaking into the playoff picture, but I do expect they will be real trouble for the Twins.
  25. stringer bell
    There are four games in October that look like they are going to be very important. Add one road game against Cleveland and three home games against the Royals.
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