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Dodecahedron

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Everything posted by Dodecahedron

  1. Dodecahedron
    You are raising good points. What are scouts seeing that you're not when it comes to his defense? That's a valid question, whether you are a scout or not. It's also valid to point out that defense does not change from level to level. Are balls hit harder in the MLB? The median is higher I would wager, but AAA surely has a fair share of guys who can smoke the ball and the MLB has its share of guys who can't. However, Celestino skipped AAA. How much is the drop off to AA? I would imagine the difference is palpable to a young player. Celestino probably has the jitters as his numbers suggest he is a legit CF. However, his bat looks uninspiring. There is a reason the Twins called him up instead of starting the clock on someone else. It's not his bat, which suggests he is not in the long term plans (at least not right now).
  2. Dodecahedron
    Yes. It seems like the Twins had the most success when they tried to be the Twins*, not when they tried to be the As or the Rays. *Except when "Being the Twins" meant "spend nothing."
  3. Dodecahedron
    Is that Gleeman's opinion or is it based on something he knows? I tend to think that Sano is a "risk," but there are teams out there who would feel they can get what they need to get out of him on a consistent basis, at least for a short period of time. And right now, his remaining contract is short. The Twins may not like what they would get back in a Sano trade, but that's very different from nobody wanting him. He is not that expensive, and in the right environment he will do great things (though, yes, it may not last).
  4. Dodecahedron
    The measurement was intended to grade umpires' ability to properly judge a standardized strike zone. The metric very quickly became a measurement to rate catchers' ability to finesse strikes out of what should have been called balls, thus "pitch framing" was born. We know of course that there are reasons a ball may be called a strike other than the catcher's acting ability. Pitch framing has its merits, but it's not the game changer some people thought it was. The Twins overpaid for Jason Castro because of his ability to get good strike calls. He was considered one of the best at pitch framing, if not the best at it, when the Twins brought him in. Castro is back in Houston now, earning about what he was when he was in Houston before, and he's having a great year in the batter's box.
  5. Dodecahedron
    100%. The problems seem twofold: The Twins pitchers do a decent job getting ahead of batters, then they dink around the edges of the strike zone resulting in a long at-bat. The infielders are bored to sleep by these long at-bats and are seemingly not prepared when a play finally unfolds. 1a. Could easily be that the pitcher invariably tosses a meatball either due to long at-bat mental fatigue or frustration.
  6. Dodecahedron
    I count 8 pitches on that side of the plate for Seattle, v. 6 for the Twins.
  7. Dodecahedron
    Yes. Kind of sad. Analytics are a tool, not the entire factory.
  8. Dodecahedron
    You missed some data there. Of Dobnak's 7 relief appearances, he pitched in the 8th four times. He pitched in the 9th or 10th three times. Here are some highlights. April 1st, pitched in the 10th, takes the loss. April 5th, pitched in the 8th and 9th, allowed 5 runs. April 13th, pitched in the 8th, takes the loss. April 28th, pitched in the 8th and 9th. Did a good job! May 1st, pitched in the 8th, allowed 2 runs.
  9. Dodecahedron
    Gleeman's pitch framing tweet does not mean much without seeing the called strikes for the other pitchers in the game. This might that umpire's strike zone on the night.
  10. Dodecahedron
    Met Stadium was a cool place to watch a baseball game, but it had quirks, like seats on only one side of the outfield. Yes, that would be the side where the sun would be bleating in your face in the late afternoon so the field was impossible to see. A domed stadium was what everyone wanted at the time. Winters were harsh when the dome was built and a domed stadium was seen as a necessity and a shiny new thing. There was an idea that domes were the future and the Twin Cities at the time were desperate to be cutting edge. It was known at the time that the proposed dome was minimalist, even cutting some corners like that ridiculous roof, but anything other than a domed stadium would have been seen by the locals as a failure. The decision was either build a dome or stay at the Met -- it was dome or bust. As for Target field, the suburban/city narrative might be overplayed. Firstly, the Twin Cities are highly suburban anyway. It's difficult to compare the Twin Cities to other cities. Secondly, without Target Center being there, there's no way Target Field gets built in the same place.
  11. Dodecahedron
    Dobnak's troubles are, at the moment, still a small sample size. He earned the right to play and I'm sure he is trying to fix whatever issue is going on. The Twins giving him a long contract is a head-scratcher. I like Dobnak, but I would not have done that. At the same time, I would not have bounced him between the bullpen, minors, and back to starting. Whatever goodwill the Twins built up by giving him a contract was erased by the insanity of how they used him this year.
  12. Dodecahedron
    What is really baffling about this is that Baldelli repeated an error that no one else on the planet would have done in the first place. When he put Dobnak in the pen to start the year, he bounced him out there in the 8th and 9th innings. He did the exact same thing for Shoemaker. The 8th and 9th innings are for your best bullpen guys, not your experiments, not your reclamation projects. Losing games at the end affects the pitcher involved very negatively, and can also have a negative impact on the entire team.
  13. Dodecahedron
    The best thing about this is the Yankees players were probably incredibly angry after this loss. The Twins need to embrace making the Yankees angry and do it as often as possible.
  14. Dodecahedron
    Very small sample size, but yes he has been doing well so far this year. Don't expect the HOF numbers to be the norm, though. At best, Gordon can be a nice OBP guy to bat leadoff. Most likely, he slides into the bottom of the order where he would probably be better than a lot of other options. His defense in the infield is really the key.
  15. Dodecahedron
    When recording music, one feels like adding things to the mix and turning things up to make the music "better." Steely Dan found genius by doing the opposite, by turning everything down instead of turning it up. This is tougher to do than it seems. When you totally jam on a guitar lick or nail a vocal, you want to stick it front and center. Then you jam on the next bit, and you want that turned up too. Pretty soon, everything is turned up to 10. Or, at least, everything put in the mix by the "leader" is turned up louder. This article is genius for comparing Baldelli's apparent approach to Steely Dan.
  16. Dodecahedron
    When I look at his stats, there are two years where he hit OK, but in every other year he has hit worse than he has this year. How he is hitting now is the best he has hit in 3 years. I would say this year is who he is when it comes to hitting. Also, defensive metrics are hilarious. A .969 fielding percentage when the league is at a .971 fielding percentage can still work out to 10 outs above average? How does that work?
  17. Dodecahedron
    There are so many ways this team is failing. It has now officially become tiring trying to define them all. This is a rare situation where we can just say, "The Twins suck." You can pick any category you want and be confident that the Twins are bad at it.
  18. Dodecahedron
    If Rocco knew about this and still put Dobnak out there, yeah this is another Baldelli mistake.
  19. Dodecahedron
    The games don't matter anymore. Games against the Yankees, doubly so. To echo what other people have been saying, it's time to put the young people in the lineup. Dobnak is one of those guys, so I absolutely support keeping him in the game this time.
  20. Dodecahedron
    Simmons is a well-regarded rental player. He should be among the players that go.
  21. Dodecahedron
    Happy to hear about Buxton entering rehab. We're behind you, Byron! One day at a time, 12 steps, etc.!
  22. Dodecahedron
    Thanks for pulling this data. Injuries suck, but player performance on the field is the problem.
  23. Dodecahedron
    Not only has MLB admitted to deadening the baseball, but now 10 teams have installed or will install humidors for their baseballs, which further deadens them. The Twins knew these things were happening, but did not change their hitting approach. Big mistake.
  24. Dodecahedron
  25. Dodecahedron
    "Mike Pineda" could be a song by The Knack.
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