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Dodecahedron

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Everything posted by Dodecahedron

  1. Dodecahedron
    There is one year (2019) that Shoemaker looked awesome. It's a small sample size. Remove that year, and what happens? I agree, the Jays knew who he was. The Twins Tommy Milone'd themselves.* http://bbref.com/pi/shareit/H8Fb8 *Fun Fact: Milone is now a Blue Jay. They chose him over Shoemaker.
  2. Dodecahedron
    I think every fan wants their team to be making trades with Tampa Bay. Just like in the past everyone wanted their teams to trade with Oakland or the Dodgers. GMs might be thinking the same way (probably are) which means the likelihood of dumping rentals and has-beens on the Rays is probably not in the cards. The Rays are in a good position to where they can get the best deal for their needs. Cruz might be the best deal, but I'm not sure the Rays have the need.
  3. Dodecahedron
    3-4 of the items on this list are disputable, but that's OK. It's better than griping.
  4. Dodecahedron
    Because of the Twins-Sox rivalry, my first thought was Colome was gonna tank. I'm not saying he is tanking, and logically I doubt he is, but nonetheless that was my first thought. I did not like the Shoemaker signing, but I also did not realize how little depth this team has. Still, I probably would have passed and leaned on the farm.
  5. Dodecahedron
    Griffin Jax is the prototypical name for the Han Solo caricature that has been in every sci-fi show since Star Wars. Will he be pitching against The Empire Yankees this week?
  6. Dodecahedron
    Kirilloff can hit lefties, Sano can't. Platoon them until Sano is traded. This will give both players the best chance to succeed. Sano to boost his trade value, Kirilloff to help his confidence.
  7. Dodecahedron
    There are the 5 starters that broke camp, plus now Dobnak, Thorpe, and Ober. That's it. 8 guys. Plus, Ober seemed like a reach and Dobnak is unpopular. There is still a chance Dobnak's detractors are correct. So they broke camp with 6 viable arms in the organization? 5 if you admit that Shoemaker should have never been here? Yeesh. Without looking, I will make a guess that 8 starters used so far is probably around average for the league, if not less than average. I'm sorry but I can't buy the argument that Shoemaker is the best the Twins have when it does not look to me like the Twins have made an effort to address the starting pitching at all. There is no way this is the entire depth of the Twins system. Is there? Gosh I hope not. If it is, what were they thinking and how did we miss this fact 3 months ago? If a team can't even swap out the #5 guy after only using 8 starters, what else can't they do?
  8. Dodecahedron
    Tyler Duffey's initials are TBD. Just saying.
  9. Dodecahedron
    Right. Sell now if you want 110 losses and you want to put everyone's jobs in jeopardy while mucking up the revenue stream, making it that much harder to rebuild. Bad plan.
  10. Dodecahedron
    Exit velocity shows the hitter can hit the ball hard, not much more. However, launch angle + velocity = distance. Science. But baseball is smart. Focusing on hitting it hard and far means the hitters are no longer focusing on directional hitting. Thus, the shift, the annoyance of everyone. Puckett would probably not have a favorable view of how the game is played today. It's become very ... basic. Very brutalistic. Take a look at the hit that won the 1991 world series, where the Twins beat the shift with a perfectly placed hit. Baseball provided the data for this insight, then realized it was too much information and deadened the baseball. Good teams have to see this coming and constantly adjust. The MLB made no secret of their changes, so there isn't an excuse for failing to adjust. Signing garbage pitchers because you thought your team would hit 300 home runs did not work.
  11. Dodecahedron
    The Rays aren't the type of team who gives away prospects when they don't have to. They are hitting very well this year. I think every team in the AL that is over .500 at the moment would be interested in Cruz. Tampa would certainly take him if the Twins were just giving him away, but the other teams might actually make a worthwhile deal.
  12. Dodecahedron
    I truly thought next week would be the final nails in the coffin for the season, not this week.
  13. Dodecahedron
    False equivalency. The impact of an error to the baseball game does not depend upon the % chance of making the play. On an unrelated note, how many errors are charged when a system predicts a player only had a 10% chance to make the play? I would argue if a system is spitting out something like that, there is something wrong with the system. The theory in football is that if you can touch a ball, you can catch it. Whether or not 90% of other players can make it to a fly ball or not doesn't matter. If Player X can get in position but then still have a miscue, it's still the miscue that matters. If a superhero fielder can reach any spot on the field in 2 seconds, but drops everything that hits his glove, what truly matters about that player?
  14. Dodecahedron
    That's part of it. However, an error is more likely to affect the outcome of a game than an out, or even a base hit. Errors should be weighted highest, not disregarded. A fielder's choice is good, but it's not the same as a regular out. A base hit is a worse outcome than an out, and it should also be weighted higher than an out.
  15. Dodecahedron
    Defensive metrics have the wrong approach. This should be the hierarchy of valuable-to-least-valuable to measure: 1. Error 2. Not an out 3. Out In other words, defensive metrics have it backwards. Just like how a home run is not the same thing as a single, an error is not the same as getting an out or even not getting an out. Every fielder gets an out, what, I'm guessing 90% of the time? Higher? There's the baseline -- measure what happens in the rest of the plays and the how.
  16. Dodecahedron
    Gotcha. Part of the narrative for Berrios is the years of control. The Yankees used that to trade Gray a second time. Did the Yankees get the better deal? An equivalent deal?
  17. Dodecahedron
    Woah, hyperbole. He's not good for just 20 games a year. It's more like 25.
  18. Dodecahedron
    Sonny Gray was also not traded at the trade deadline, he was traded in the offseason. Unless of course we are talking about Gray's trade TO the Yankees, in which case note that the Yankees then turned around and traded him to someone else.
  19. Dodecahedron
    You would think that, but a lot of what moves at the trade deadline is not very exciting. Dudes with power who are feast or famine move. Defensive specialists move. Solid but not fantastic relievers move. Sure there are huge trades once in a while, but most are head scratchers. There are teams who would consider Sano for a playoff push, unless of course owners are still in no-spend mode as they were during the offseason. His talent is not being questioned by anybody, and managers always think they can turn people around.
  20. Dodecahedron
    The current solution is clogged! This is the replacement!
  21. Dodecahedron
    Sano will hit well again, at least in spurts, but maybe that should not be in a Twins uniform. My opinion is if the Twins do not cut ties with Sano, something is wrong, and I would hope we can at least put a pause on the narrative that this front office is doing a good job. Paying part of his salary to play for someone else should not be off the table. Getting him off the team will be a plus. Just like it's no surprise when Sano launches a pitch to the moon, it's also no surprise that there is often comical drama and inconsistency with him. Let him go. If no other team wants him, which is highly doubtful, this would only solidify the Twins mistake with keeping him around so long.
  22. Dodecahedron
    Colome is the reason the Twins lost this game, so anything the Twins do to Dobnak won't solve the problem.
  23. Dodecahedron
    Sano was a local celebrity with a large entourage before the Twins even signed him. How do you change a guy like that? How do you encourage him to work hard? Giving him a large up-front signing bonus probably isn't the way. This is the first year Sano is making north of $10M. And it's the year the bottom fell out. Is this surprising to anyone?
  24. Dodecahedron
    There is someone waiting outside with a metal basin to connect to the water supply and drain. Let that sink in.
  25. Dodecahedron
    For a pitcher described as a "tremendous success" it sure feels like he has been an invisible after-thought. If I were running things, I would not be against re-signing him. It would depend on what else happens with the team, what he is asking for, and what is going on in the FA market. One thing to point out is he is 32 and future contracts will be past his prime for a pitcher already showing signs of breaking down. He is solid enough to trade as the season winds down. This would give the Twins the opportunity to re-sign him later at FA rates, which for him would be a slight discount, should they feel the need or want.
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