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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Looks like some tickets went down in price while others went up. Hard to tell if the aggregate is completely neutral - by a map it might be neutral, while if going by actual seat locations sold it might be a net increase in price. E.g. maybe Jimmer had sagely picked out a nice bargain the past and now the revenue management software has picked up the pattern and adjusted, while the unsold seats just behind him might be going for less but they weren't being snapped up anyway.
  2. ashbury
    The above verbiage is from https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/02/twins-acquire-jake-odorizzi.html, just to give credit where due.
  3. ashbury
    They do value pricing, don't they? So first, are you sure you aren't comparing an Orioles game three years ago to a Yankees game this time?
  4. ashbury
    Go all out, and double space between words, too.
  5. ashbury
    Did the bat go "tink" when it hit the ball? Oh well, no idyll is perfect.
  6. ashbury
    Few analogies are perfect, but IMO it's not wrong to compare to any business that sells to a given market. "Back in the day," I learned not to promise what would be in the next release of our product - it was painful to not answer customers' natural questions, but it would be more painful to promise something that R&D might not be able to deliver (even if it's already in QA), and if you're in business for the long haul it's better to have the reputation for under-promising than under-delivering.
  7. ashbury
    Psst, Brian. I think most here would be delighted if Derek and Thad just screwing around resulted in the baseball equivalent of a hole-in-one.
  8. ashbury
    This gets to the heart of it for me. If you plan to sign a free agent, you know you are going to pay too much. Why? Because other teams can offer "cost effective" and "market price" offers just as well as you can. Information is incomplete in this marketplace. You will have to outbid each and every one of those bids, save for the occasional exception where a player has a specific geographic preference. The better the free agent, the more this will be true. There are various economic terms for it. Winner's curse. Buyer's remorse. My nomination remains, "stupidity tax for not having developed your own player". Pay it; I say to ownership, past profits from false economies have come back to bite you. If you state that you are going after the top free agent, you know in advance that these are the ground rules. So don't talk about Darvish if you don't intend to pay the price. Make a compelling bid, not a lowball, and if you lose anyway, then so be it. In sum, my message to the front office: http://i3.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/newsfeed/000/089/062/thumbsup6.png
  9. ashbury
    While many scoff at the usefulness of W-L for individual pitchers, it is nevertheless true that by MLB rules each win and loss will be assigned to someone. Care to take a crack at allocating those decisions to the pitchers currently on the 40-man roster, in a way that plausibly adds up to 90-72?
  10. ashbury
    I was about to make note of that, but you ninja'd me.
  11. ashbury
    I don't believe it's automatically bad advice. Depending on the age of the player, a guaranteed 2-year deal for even as low as, say, $25M, might be preferable to 1 at $17.4M. Ditto, 4 years for $50M. These numbers of mine are purposely low; but bring them up a little, and they still are a lower AAV and yet preferable.
  12. ashbury
    In fairness, I found this quote at the end of Rhett Bollinger's report of the trade. The phrasing is unattributed, and thus I interpret it as his own synthesis of what he has heard and what he independently dug up. https://www.mlb.com/twins/news/anibal-sanchez-twins-agree-to-contract/c-266622502 The relationship between reporters for mlb.com and the teams themselves is not clear to me. This quote may reflect the front office's planning, or it may be a slight fun-house mirror version of their actual thinking.
  13. ashbury
    Good. I'm glad that's settled. Many Twins fans share your outrage.
  14. ashbury
    Kinley, yes, the other two, no. The 40-man is currently at 14 position players and 26 hurlers. I can't quite see making it 13-27. This is such a "yawn, let's take our time, and see what we've got" collection of pitching. When we have a position-player core poised to contend now.
  15. ashbury
  16. ashbury
    "Let's not make baseball out to be any more important than it really is. It's just a diversion that keeps us from pondering our own personal hells. So what do you say, folks? How about we kill another three hours on our slow and painful march to the grave? All right, top of the first. Should have a good one here this afternoon." -- Jim Brockmire
  17. ashbury
    I feel an Abbott and Costello routine coming on.
  18. ashbury
    It's not like he had embarrassed himself up to then - he was in line for Silver, he just gave himself the bump up to Gold. And what you said is kind of the paradox of clutch hitting debates - "if your mental discipline or whatever is so good, why don't you come through like that ALL the time?" But there is something different about some situations.
  19. ashbury
    Then you and Mr Sanchez have something in common.
  20. ashbury
    Do you really think so? I mean, he put together a career where at the end people would ask whether he had a chance for the Hall of Fame and the reply would be "uh, no, don't think so", as opposed to "ha ha ha ha ha!". That's a pretty good body* of work compared to most players, and it's not as though he was some can't-miss first-round prospect coming out of HS. It's hard to know with any certainty that he could have been better than he became. * Sure, go ahead, insert your Hrbek Weight joke here, why not?
  21. ashbury
    I think that is a decades-long "tradition" for this team. I've heard it explained under various rationales.
  22. ashbury
    Moderator's note: While the spirit behind this comment may be well-meant, let us not turn this thread into a critique of fellow posters by inferring intent. And yes, I recognize the circularity in my saying so...
  23. ashbury
    Clayton Kershaw could turn his career around if he'd quit noodling around with writing and volunteer work. Michael Cuddyer might still be a major leaguer if he had realized how much magic was harming his career. David Ortiz's penchant for golf really destroyed his baseball swing. "There are only two things standing between Kent Hrbek and the Hall of Fame: a walleye and a largemouth." Et. Cetera. https://www.foxsports.com/mlb/gallery/major-league-baseball-players-hobbies-off-the-field-activities-042612
  24. ashbury
    I'm pretty sure the reason is that the implementer believes 2 Spaces Are Wrong And Must Be Punished.
  25. ashbury
    We can save one of his minor league options by simply bringing him north with the big club.
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