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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Exit velocity against a motley collection of opponents may or may not have greater meaning than the traditional Spring stats, though.
  2. ashbury
    The players that the Twins could&should trade are precisely the players the Rockies (or other teams) won't want or accept in trade.
  3. ashbury
    Yeah, a .647 OPS built upon a batting average of .107 is borderline hilarious. All three of his base hits have gone over the fence. Maybe it's time to launch this year's Fun With Numbers thread.
  4. ashbury
    Teams are not obligated to announce waivers publicly, and often don't. DFA is usually a little easier to know, because it's what removes a player from the 40-man, and we notice (if for no other reason) because a new player has been added. You know waivers have happened implicitly, after certain moves are made, for instance Randy Dobnak being sent to AAA yet again; the DFA period is longer than the waiver period and the latter may occur anytime during the former. Of course, this in turn requires accurate understanding of roster rules, which is the topic right now. The OOTP game has Rule-5 drafts, and I seem to recall being unable to swing a trade of such a player - I thought it was merely a quirk of the programming, but maybe it turns out that the game is spot-on 100% accurate in this detail. I'll have to check again sometime.
  5. ashbury
    Thanks! Please ask this high-ranker to get MLB's online Glossary updated/corrected/clarified so that I don't pass incorrect information thinking it's official. The Glossary is a fantastic resource and I use it often. It would be simpler if the Glossary left out the sentence about working out a trade with the original club. Pass the player through waivers, return the player to the original club, and then after that the clubs can do what they want. I often try to fact-check what I write* but I don't bother trying to find a second source for something mlb.com itself is telling me. * and more often don't 😀
  6. ashbury
    A few right-handers.
  7. ashbury
    In a similar vein, when at the ballpark I always ensure that I am seated in the area where beer and hot dogs are served, rather than down a few yards below where the people are sweating from exertion and sometimes even getting hurt.
  8. ashbury
    I think you are referring to the Jorge Lopez trade? I was lukewarm over it that day. My one post about it referred to him as a waiver-wire pickup, referenced non-trivial prospect capital to get him, and I expressed qualms about him turning back into a pumpkin, Still, I sandwiched in a comment that it was a reasonable trade; I'm not even sure what my intent was with that contradictory statement, except that for a long while I kept having faith that our FO was capable of sifting through all the data to find gems that looked like flashes in the pan to me. Have at it: Day-of comments have nothing to do with what I was saying, though, which was that Sonny Gray was a trade that has worked out (for the time being, until we know Chase Petty's destiny), and the Jorge Lopez trade absolutely did not. Certainly a FO must make decisions; but it's totally fair to review those decisions later on and it's part of how you judge a FO, by their results. As you say, it's easier to grade trades later on, so I didn't think what I said was the least bit controversial.
  9. ashbury
    If the Twins and Phils were in agreement on the framework of a trade, I don't think they would need to go through this process. Rule-5 allows the trade to take place without giving any other teams a shot at the player. And then the Twins could option the player to the minors, which would presumably be the motivation for giving the Phillies anything in trade. https://www.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/rule-5-draft
  10. ashbury

    A Surprising Spring Stat

    ashbury commented on Paul D's blog entry in Paul Danesi

    Yeah, it being nearly mid-March, I'm inclined to say wait until the other teams send their AA and AAA pitchers to the minor league fields and find out what happens next with the strikeouts. 😀
  11. ashbury
    No. Waivers happen when you want to remove someone from the 40-man and it's not a trade. DFA occurs first (usually) or simultaneously in all the cases. Even if you're releasing a guy you have to put him on waivers first in case some bottom-feeder team wants to jump the gun and claim him rather than let him pick who he wants to sign with.
  12. ashbury
    This likely sums it up. Other teams have scouting and talent-evaluation departments too. If two or more teams disagreed with the Twins' stance favoring someone costing money like Bader over Keirsey, they would make a competitive trade offer and the Twins likely would accept. Additionally, being actually "elite" among centerfielders is a very high bar to reach. It's unclear to me that Keirsey ranks higher than "average" in this realm. I think it's very likely that most organizations have someone in their high minors with skills similar enough to Keirsey that a trade for anything substantial would be pretty unlikely. And that in turn makes him a spare part, waiting for an opportunity. IMO that opportunity will come with the Twins as easily as with some other organization.
  13. ashbury
    I am reading your post as "Carl Pavano," just to be different.
  14. ashbury
    Apparently you CAN option someone when they're injured?
  15. ashbury
    He did it on purpose. I'm convinced of that. He went up to the plate and tried to do well, the jerk.
  16. ashbury
    Sigh. And then Julien goes and homers, mere minutes later, just to mess with me.
  17. ashbury
    Gonna stick my neck out and say he's punched his ticket on the Green Line to St. Paul, with more than two weeks to spare.
  18. ashbury
    That is probably what we're remembering, and misapplying to the DFA case.
  19. ashbury
    Concur. Stewart's low IP in the majors isn't due solely to injury. It's also due to him racking up a decent number of innings, but below the major league level, during his mid-20s, a period when good pitchers usually have established themselves.
  20. ashbury
    I don't think it was Soto, who was drafted in 2023 while Gray was still here. I forget which of those who were picked in 2024 was in the spot the Twins were awarded. Was it Kyle DeBarge? Anyway, yes, the extra draft pick matters, but 1) Petty was picked a little higher than the pick we were awarded, and 2) Petty was to some degree already panning out while there is greater risk associated with starting all over with a new pick, and 3) while I applaud planning for the distant future there is also value in having someone ready in the nearer term. All in all, chances are low that DeBarge (if it's him) is a straight replacement for what we lost in Petty, which is sometimes how it's portrayed.
  21. ashbury
    I'm wondering if Payton Eeles can be the next Eddie Gaedel.
  22. ashbury
    A second place finish for Cy Young is a tad better than "nice to have". And he was nearly as good in his other season here, except that he pitched in fewer starts. I really enjoyed the 2023 post-season and it wouldn't have happened without Gray. The price was high, however. I am torn; there is still a chance we regret this trade. Jorge Lopez, on the other hand, was not nice to have. He was a tremendous waste of trade capital. I can't believe how little the FO valued the pieces we offered Baltimore, and I can't believe how their analytics over-valued a flash in the pan reliever. There is a disconnect between the process that drafts these trade chips, and then values them for actual trades.
  23. ashbury
    Win Probability Added likely wasn't very good.
  24. ashbury
    Spell his name with one 'f' and you'll have better luck. 😀
  25. ashbury
    Spring Training Stats Are Extremely Important And All Roster Decisions Should Be Based On Them. Spring Training Stats Are Extremely Important And All Roster Decisions Should Be Based On Them. Spring Training Stats Are Extremely Important And All Work And No Play Makes Ashbury A Dull Boy.
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