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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    MLR, the roster looks decent. I'm not expecting as much money spent on relievers. Step 1, from most people, is settling or at least knowing someting, is Buxton. It still seems really possible to find a good pitcher via trade using some of the players whose roles are already taken (Arraez, Larnach, Rooker, a catcher). Hopefully teams do not wait until a CBA agreement.
  2. tony&rodney
    We are all wondering how the Twins plan to put together a roster to reach .500 in 2022. The attempts by TD readers are just "playing around" fun. It would be more interesting to see Falvey try something other than Shoemaker and it seems to make sense to look for a decent trade considering the apparent redundancy on the current roster.
  3. tony&rodney
    The Twins traded Berrios (quite significant) and it seems understandable and now face a decision on Buxton (also significant). Willie Banks was seen as a very significant asset and might be compared to any prospect currently in value. Often trades benefit both teams. I'm curious about how many players can carry a "significant" tag. The Twins have redundancy in some positions and needs in other positions as do other teams. Falvey will be looking to improve the team via trades if there is really a plan to compete at .500 or better baseball next season. The free agent market can only fill a few parts.
  4. tony&rodney
    Worked as a beer vendor from the first exhibition game - still have my id - until work moved me out of state a number of years later. The place was a dump but there were memorable moments, maybe none better than Game 163 on a night where rain turned to sleet, outside, while we watched in warmth inside. Target Field is great and I prefer outdoor baseball.
  5. tony&rodney
    I'm liking the pitching but wondering how much Stroman will sign for in the real world. I know the board had him at $20 million and that seems about right but it also seems like he might get more money.
  6. tony&rodney
    I like the willingness to trade for a few starters and to sign a few players as well. This is a practical roster. The Cardinals may value Flaherty too highly to trade him, Sano might be tough to trade, and the Dodgers may still love Taylor. I like the idea that change is possible. Having thought about ways to look at a roster for 2022, I appreciate the exercise you have completed and it looks solid.
  7. tony&rodney
    This is a fair position and one that you and some others have advocated. This is fine, but can you or someone who also has a similar position please lay out their specific roster for the 2022 Twins to support your ideas. The exchange of plans is a basic premise behind these discussions. Naturally, once Falvey begins to move on players in November there will be additional thoughts and adjustments based on those actions. But for right now the posts concern how individuals are building a team.
  8. tony&rodney
    To a fair degree the Twins position is largely due to their unfortunate past two winters. The management has a difficult job now. The players generally sign for the best contract offered but being on a competitive team is important too. Sometimes the future is the players you have plus what can be acquired via trade or free agency. Look back over time and the prospects face a stiff challenge to reach The Show and then make a mark. The Twins can afford to trade a number of prospects as well as some of their current rostered players. It is Falvey who must find the right mix and if the Twins fall back to 90-100 losses the patience for The Twins Way may dissipate quickly. In fact, the traffic on sites like Twins Daily is tied to the hopes of the fans. This is a big offseason for the Twins as viewership and tickets are on the line coming out of two tough Covid years. Unless the team shifts to a rebuild, the future is now.
  9. tony&rodney
    Almost, so you are saying it is possible too. C'mon Falvey, get it done.
  10. tony&rodney
    Do you have any specific trades as a guess?
  11. tony&rodney
    Is it possible that this site is messing with our ideas too much. I think they are often in the range of reasonable but when I see Buxton's value versus others, just to use one of many examples, I question how much anyone should quote or use the values. Kepler is a super valuable player in my opinion even though I am frustrated with his ground balls into the shift. Oakland does have an interest in trading Manaea or Bassitt due to cost but I want to overpay for Montas and believe it is possible.
  12. tony&rodney
    Yes, in fact, we are all guessing, but the Twins absolutely need to make a ton of calls to find a match and teams like Miami, Oakland, and Milwaukee have pitching to offer in return for filling their own needs. The parameters of deals may be beyond our guesses, but the potential for trading certainly exists. The Twins cannot roll with the pitching prospects next year. The free agent market might bring one or two pitchers. I cannot see the Twins going above $20 million for any of Stroman, Ray, or Gausman and a lesser FA like Pineda or Gray works only as a mid/bottom of the rottion pitcher. This leaves the Falvine to work a few trades. The bottom line, as always, is what Jim Pohlad sets as a budget. Most TD readers agree that everyone should expect around $130 million. While I cannot disagree, it sure seems like $145 million is possible and then the possibilities widen.
  13. tony&rodney
    Me too, I wondered about that possibility. In that event, .....sadness ..... trade opportunity. Ian Anderson and Drew Waters or something along those lines? Hopefully we keep Buxton.
  14. tony&rodney
    Shoot high. The baseball trade value site has some interesting numbers. I have looked at it but do not find it particularly relevant for teams. It does give some context, however, and I am certainly not dismissive of it. Trades? Ideas? I don't know actually what a GM would see as reasonable or risky but I will throw out a few just for ... whatever. The Twins have a difficult situation with Byron Buxton and I want to keep him, but also want some protection as well so - sign Starling Marte. Trade #1: Larnach, Jeffers, Sands, Celestino, Dobnak, and Canterino for Alcantara. Perhaps the Twins might look to get Lopez instead or widen the trade to pry away Meyer. Trade #2: Arraez, Rooker , Duffey, Cavaco for Montas. Oakland also has a couple of other pitchers worth discussing, such as Bassitt and Manaia (sp). The general idea is to add pitching, use the duplication that currently exists on the roster along with a couple of prospects. I also wonder if Royce Lewis, much coveted by Twins fans, might help the Twins get the pitching they need that would allow Winder, Duran, Balazovic, and W-R to develop and gain a little acclimation to MLB rather than being thrown into the fire. In any event, the Twins will need to have a plan going forward that brings fans to Target Field. I remain open to all ideas for an improved team in 2022.
  15. tony&rodney
    Does this mean you see Ryan and Ober as #3 & #4 pitchers? I don't necessarily disagree, but turning the team over to AAA pitchers does mean a steep learning curve, ala Detroit, Houston and so forth. I am not certain of the path that Falvey has planned for the future and just play with speculation like others, but it might be a tough time for the Twins to sit at the bottom of the AL Central for a few years.
  16. tony&rodney
    Why not play? We are all in the dark anyways. It would be nice to play at $150. I cheated a 5% raise.
  17. tony&rodney
    I'm not very open to considering a trade of Jorge Polanco. What specifically would anyone suggest as a trade? Right now, Polanco has more value than any other player on the team, in my opinion. His bat, glove, wheels, consistency, style, contract - it all comes together to make Jorge the team MVP. It would take a total haul.
  18. tony&rodney
    It seems like trades may provide the best quality plus value and the Twins need to be very aggressive in seeking out a few trading partners. It is completely true that we do not know what Falvey is thinking. It just seems like 2-3 trades and a number of smart FA pickups could improve the roster for 2022. $130-145 million should allow for the Twins to be really competitive next season.
  19. tony&rodney
    If the Twins decide that their 2022 team cannot be competitive, then I would expect a budget closer to $100 million or even lower. Any budget under $130 million sends a message to a degree, unless the Twins trade Donaldson without including any money.
  20. tony&rodney
    I'm enjoying the run that Eddie Rosario is on right now and hope it continues on through the World Series. There is no reason to look back on the events of one year ago when the Twins released Eddie. Move on.
  21. tony&rodney
    So true. Since this time a year ago, I have been pushing for an overpay (according to some) for Sandy Alcantara. Why? Alcantara pitches a ton of innings and is consistently a decent pitcher, which is somewhat similar to Jose Berrios. I have no idea what Miami would do but I'm offering Jeffers, Larnach, Celestino, Sands, Dobnak, and Canterino for Alcantara and Meyer. This may be totally bogus but I'm open to whatever brings pitching. Along the same line, Oakland needs a call as well. I'm wondering if Arraez, Rooker, Duffey, and Cavaco could pry away Montas or is that laughed off? The trading front could bring two really stable pitchers for around $10-11 million, which is a good thing for the budget. I love how steady Seager is at shortstop and at the plate, but he will get at least 6 years and probably $30 million per year. The Twins might want to go simple at shortstop, like Galvis, but their strategy at SS will clarify if Buxton is signed. Count me in on Adrianza - steady and predictable production with class. Knebel or Graveman are solid adds to the bullpen worth a shot at around the price used in the post. The offseason strategy still depends on the budget but most of us expect around $130 million, even if we want around $150 million.
  22. tony&rodney
    It almost seems like the Twins need to settle their situation with Byron Buxton before they can sign free agents or make some trades, because their needs and direction spin off of that outcome. If they cannot wait, Chris Taylor becomes an intriguing option because he can play a little centerfield. Another option is to sign Starling Marte very early in the free agency season to alleviate concerns related to Buxton. Nevertheless, pitching remains a huge part of any offseason plans and knowing if they can include a Gilberto Celestino or others (Lewis) in a trade for pitching because Buxton is signed remains important.
  23. tony&rodney
    Greinke is likely less interested in the Twins than the other way. He has had an amazing career and has forged his own path every step of the way. Zack Greinke is nearing the end of a fantastic career, still managing to pitch a ton of innings and leave his team in a position to win nearly every game. He may retire if the Astros win the World Series. He also might just want to keep playing baseball and sign for a lesser contract. Your post is correct - Greinke is not a TOR pitcher any longer but rather a back of the rotation innings guy. This year he pitched 171 innings. Your post was well done and accurately points out how Greinke has declined in effectiveness. Nevertheless, Greinke holds a special place as a former opponent with Kansas City and while we should not look to sign him for 2022, he can still be productive as a #4/#5 pitcher for 150 innings on another team. Thank you for the complete analysis at what Zack Greinke might look like going forward. I just wanted to acknowledge what a special player he has been for baseball.
  24. tony&rodney
    Where was it that there was an article stating that the actual correct number for WAR was just over $4 million? Fangraphs? Buxton would be wise to sign for 7/$140 million. If the Twins can get a 7/$80 million base, they should absolutely go really high with incentives.
  25. tony&rodney
    Makes good sense if it ever happens and I suppose it does happen actually. The Pohlad family, by most accounts, have been terrific community members and this is laudable. What we should remember is that the club of MLB owners is by invitation only. If you had $10 billion and wanted to pay $2 billion cash for the Twins, the sale would need to be approved and those not deemed worthy are not allowed at the table. So I am fine with owners making profits because it is none of my business, but I'm not worried about their welfare. I mean I want any normal business to make money so the employees get paid and money cycles through the economy. This doesn't apply to baseball because there are a ton of people to bail out any team. The final call on what to do with payroll is strictly with Jim Pohlad and how that budget gets used is on Falvine.
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