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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. TJ I believe and already fully healed. The Twins will initially have him ramp up slowly in February and the beginning of March. All restrictions should be removed by April.
  2. In 2023 there were a only a few occasions when I managed to watch Keaschall's plate appearances, not enough to really jump in on his abilities. Last season, again using milb.com, I watched a bunch of plate appearances by Keaschall. From the start of the season there was a marked difference in his approach and ability to control his at bats that separated him from his peers. The swing is strong and quick and he drives the ball. I'm guessing one of the factors that scouts like about Keaschall is how much he has improved with swing decisions. The guy adapts quickly. By last July I was sure that Keaschall was a top prospect, right there with Jenkins and Rodriguez. It was no surprise to me when a number of teams made attempts at the trade deadline to pilfer Keaschall from the Twins. Obviously, experience is a need and Luke's position as a defender is still uncertain. Luke had a mediocre reputation as a defensive infielder in college. He looked pretty athletic at first base last season but was playing there due to his arm injury. The call for a RH OF/2B/1B is right there, Luke Keaschall. Memorial Day starter?
  3. My belief is that this is the final correct answer. MLB does not publish all information regarding their finances, bylaws and agreements within the ownership groups. So, we don't know. My best guess is that some tweaking takes place in the next CBA, but based on how few teams actually come up for sale (and only that) a large majority of MLB clubs still turn a profit. Notably, we have yet to see a distressed sale for less than purchase price.
  4. Maybe I wrote too much which obscured my message. The Twins need bats. They don't need pitching if it cost any bats. It would be beyond foolish to trade any of Jenkins, Rodriguez, or Keaschall for Cease in consideration of the Twins need for bats.
  5. I'm guessing that most, not all, people who come to Twins Daily have identified offense as a key need going into 2025. Both Emmanuel Rodriguez and Luke Keaschall figure to contribute this summer. When is open for discussion. If pitching is what people want the Twins could easily interest Pittsburgh in Wallner and Seattle would probably trade Bryce Miller for Royce Lewis. Heck, the Mariners might even throw in Harry Ford if the Twins sent back Louie Varland and a low level prospect. But the Twins need bats and should not do those trades. Dylan Cease has one year left before he walks into the free agency world. His salary is $13.75 million according Fangraphs. Giving up any of Jenkins, Rodriguez, Keaschall, Festa, or Matthews would be foolish. Both Pittsburgh and Seattle will trade guys who have years of control left and are on MLB minimum contracts. It is fine to go with other combinations that do not pull from the top or from our prospective batting hopes. The cost for one year of Cease will not include a team's best prospect.
  6. You are probably right. Teams are very reluctant to trade their top prospects, more than ever. The Twins traded Wilson Ramos for Matt Capps and the Cubs traded Gleybar Torres for Aroldis Chapman. It can never hurt to have the conversations. I'm sure teams have asked about Jenkins. I was thinking Arizona is close and has a set team and would benefit short term from a closer. Lawler does have injury concerns but all players do to an extent. Still wondering who is available for any cost in a trade. I'm not trading any of Jenkins, Keaschall, EmRod, Festa, or Matthews for one year players. I would trade Jenkins for Yordan Alvarez. Not happening, I know, and YA has a big contract too. The Twins need bats.
  7. While I totally agree with that sentiment, I keep wondering who is available. I was ok with an idea of trading Pablo Lopez for Jarren Duran but that wasn't going to happen unless Boston couldn't sign anyone at all. Is what I offered for Lawler unreasonable? I would even throw in Julien.
  8. This I agree with, but then again since the season ended I have advocated for 2-3 deals. I'm not as high on Cease as some but he would help. I like the Twins pitching right now. They need bats. There aren't really any bats available. Emmanuel is my main added bat right now. I wonder if the Twins will give him a shot? My proposal which would be soundly rejected from many fronts (almost certainly AZ) is to trade Duran, Castro, Raya, and Kyle DeBarge for Jordan Lawler. Arizona isn't going to trade their top prospect but that is an enticing offer.
  9. The only reason San Diego will consider trading Dylan Cease is for salary relief, thus they will not pay any player returning to them more than $3-5 million. Additionally, Preller will want a starter who can fill a rotation spot now. This likely means SWR, Festa, or Matthews. San Diego will also want more too.
  10. I'm not looking back at Rooker. He is having a good run with the A's. Good for him. Rooker may have never worked out no matter what with the Twins. I do think Larnach and Wallner need plate appearances to show their worth. I agree with you, let us see what we got.
  11. The "self-imposed" was a creation of writers disgusted by the payroll being clipped last offseason. We all were disappointed. While I'm not expecting any major additions, there would be room for adding Cease if Falvey worked out a favorable deal. I don't believe Paddack will still be a Twin in May. While my take is that Paddack could be good in the bullpen and useful as a spot starter 4-6 times in 2025 his salary doesn't fit that role in Minnesota. The return might not be much but if it clears some dough for Cease it makes sense. On a different note, Willi Castro likely has wide appeal for a number of teams. Yes, Castro also has value to the Twins but if the Twins have any faith at all in Keaschall, Rodriguez, and Lee providing value this season, Castro becomes very useful as a player to trade and has the ancillary benefit of reducing payroll. Both Vazquez and Castro are gone by 2026 and Cease will be a free agent as well. Can a deal get finished? The Twins could take on all of Cease's money and half of Vazquez's contract if Paddack and Castro are up for discussion. The difficulty is getting Preller to agree on a return of young players. Perhaps a deal involves two of C. J. Culpepper, Marco Raya, Cory Lewis, and Kaelen Culpepper plus SWR. I don't know what Preller is looking for but I'm not listening on Festa, Matthews, Keaschall, Jenkins, or EmRod. The Twins don't need Cease. Heck, Preller may like one of Larnach, Miranda, or Julien for that matter.
  12. The Padres-Twins discussions are being discussed under Twins active in trade market under Twins Talk.
  13. The Twins have a big investment in both Royce Lewis and Brooks Lee. We can be pretty sure one of them will get the first shot at second base. That is how the Twins roll. It would be refreshing to see a competition for the positions in Spring Training. Other than Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton and maybe Matt Wallner, none of the other players looking to be in the starting lineup have proven themselves to be regulars. Payton Eeles pretty much showed he deserves an opportunity last summer. If he can play at a high level, give him a shot. I'm actually more worried about the catching position if there is an injury than I am about second base or any other position.
  14. Thank you for putting the work in to examine how Pablo Lopez can take a step to be more consistent and finish 2025 with improved numbers. I'm not at all concerned about Lopez. Dude is a big guy who is intelligent and disciplined in the routines needed to be good at pitching. Something about Lopez oozes confidence and success. The Twins need to put a better set of defenders behind him to turn those outs into outs at a far higher clip than the ragged defensive group from last season. I beieive Lopez is primed for a big year.
  15. I don't know that to be the case. Like I have said previously though, i have no idea what Falvey sees or wants.
  16. Wallner has quite a bit of value and I assure you that multiple teams would push forward some enticing offers to Falvey in order to acquire big Matt. Wallner can be streaky and look futile on occasions but he winds up with pretty consistent numbers for the last three years. If he gets close to 600 PA, expect an OPS near .900, 30+ HR, score about 90 runs, 100+ RBIs, and a BA from .260-280. If another team had Wallner he would play in 150-160 games. I'm expecting that this year. If the Twins are not going to use a pen to put him in the lineup, he should be traded.
  17. The problem is that the Twins need bats and catchers. I'm not fixated on RH/LH. I'm pretty sure the Twins could trade Wallner to Pittsburgh for Jared Jones or maybe even get both Bubba Chandler and Endy Rodriguez for Wallner plus Cory Lewis, but that merely reduces the offense. The good bats are not very easily found. A number of people would like Austin Hays but i'm not sure that is the answer. Right now the only bat I want to trade for is unproven and almost certainly not available. I'm interested in who other people feel is available. My gut tell me that Luke Keaschall and Emmanuel Rodriguez are going to be good as soon as June.
  18. Cease is not worth any of EmRod, Keaschall, or Jenkins included in any way. I'm not inclined to include Festa or Matthews in a deal either.
  19. Wondering who? What do you think?
  20. Reading the article it seems like San Diego has some interest and Minnesota is interested in Cease. The comments are typically insane because they take it as a rumor of a one to one trade, which is absurd. Riffing a little off of this article, perhaps San Diego wants Woods Richardson and Vazquez for Cease. The Padres need to drop their payroll and they are going to have a hard time making deals, just like the Twins.
  21. Wow. How did you come up those returns? Larnach, or any player, are business assets (doesn't that sound rude) to deal as a regular part of baseball activity when trying to improve the roster. Trading Larnach for players who are not as good? No. Also, the idea of too many left-handed hitting outfielders is a story to kill once and for all. Emmanuel Rodriguez (unless traded) and Walker Jenkins are on their way to MLB and they bat lefty as well. Oliva, Carew, Mauer, and Morneau were left-handed as well. I have no problem with trading Larnach but it isn't because he bats left-handed.
  22. The Twins need to get some good young catchers is my takeaway. For those who believe/ would bet that Ryan Jeffers can catch 120 games, bet the over on Buxton at 140 games. Can happen and Correa plays over 150 games too. Can and will ...
  23. Here is an idea I would like to see Falvey propose to Arizona, although I highly doubt it would receive a friendly ear. Duran, Paddack, Castro, Yasser Mercedes, and Kyle DeBarge go to the Dbacks for Jordan Montgomery, Jordan Lawler, and Druw Jones. Why not?
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